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815 Tyrone Pike
D Composite 42.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0

$220,000

815 Tyrone Pike · Philipsburg, PA 16866
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,564 sqft · Other public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1970 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

For comparable purposes only. This was for sale by owner.

Key facts

  • Private half bath
  • Dual closets
  • Finished basement

Tags

FINISHED BASEMENTRECREATION AREAHOME OFFICE SETUPPRIVATE HALF BATHDUAL CLOSETSCEDAR LINED GUN CLOSET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached front-entry garage with inside access; Two garage parking spaces; Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; On-site septic; Electric hot water; Electric heating
  • Home design: Detached structure; Shingle roof; Not in a federal flood zone
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Building not winterized
  • Exterior features: Outbuilding(s); Sidewalks; Shed; Garage(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Coal stove
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Additional bedroom (lower level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; One full bathroom on a lower level
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Breakfast area; Cedar closet(s); Dining area; Floor plan is traditional; Formal separate dining room; Pantry; Stove - coal; Entry-level bedroom; Has fireplace (wood-burning)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (17.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (28.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#851 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD (town): math 42% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #258 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Osceola Mills El Sch (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 295 students, 59% FRL); Philipsburg-Osceola Area Ms (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 379 students, 57% FRL); Philipsburg-Osceola Area Hs (math 67%, 520 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $158,250 (28.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.22%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$106,011
Equity at exit
$198,193
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
6.24×
Total profit
$323,017
Equity at exit
$427,412

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16866

Home prices YoY
12.0%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,582 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,657/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$-217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,857
Max offer price $181,729
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-92 -5% $-154 +0% $-217 +5% $-279 +10% $-341
Rent -10% $-342 -5% $-279 +0% $-217 +5% $-154 +10% $-92
Rate -1.0pp $-106 -0.5pp $-161 base $-217 +0.5pp $-274 +1.0pp $-332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $220,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-05-19
    listed $220,000 Active
  6. 2017-04-18
    soldstatus $155,400
  7. 2017-04-14
    soldstatus $155,400 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    For comparable purposes only. This was for sale by owner.

  8. 2017-01-01
    listed $169,000 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    For comparable purposes only. This was for sale by owner.

  9. 2015-07-02
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,657 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,067 · $256/mo
Expected delta
+$409/yr (+$34/mo · 15.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,990
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$2,657
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,519
− Management
−$1,519
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$6,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,567
After-tax cash flow
$-1,033/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD
NCES district ID
4219020
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,645
Composite
39.37/100
National rank
#3977
State rank
#258 of 539 in PA

Livability — Philipsburg

Score
69/100
State rank
#851
US rank
#8920

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,924

Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,113 people
By 2030
185,138 · +4.5%
By 2040
196,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
205,070 · +15.8%
By 2075
217,575 · +22.8%
By 2100
230,649 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Centre

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.47%
Current HPI
284.148
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $155,400 Public Records
  • 2017-04-14 Sold (MLS) $155,400 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-01-01 Listed $169,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,657 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…