401 Old Bremen Rd · Temple, GA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom 2 Bath Bungalow with great rental potential Needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan
Key facts
- Walking distance
- Flowing creek
- 1.39 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.8% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#60 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Temple Elementary School (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #474 of 1,228 statewide, top 39%, 662 students, 75% FRL); Temple Middle School (math 31% / reading 36%, grade F, #206 of 470 statewide, top 45%, 621 students, 67% FRL); Temple High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #213 of 424 statewide, top 51%, 746 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.77%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $223,940
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -41.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.83×
- Total profit
- $102,842
- Equity at exit
- $117,114
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.63×
- Total profit
- $277,664
- Equity at exit
- $252,561
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30179
- Home prices YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,726 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $698/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $503
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $577 | -5% $540 | +0% $503 | +5% $466 | +10% $429 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $367 | -5% $435 | +0% $503 | +5% $571 | +10% $639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $568 | -0.5pp $536 | base $503 | +0.5pp $469 | +1.0pp $435 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-31status $130,000 Pending 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $130,000 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 Beds 2 Baths bungalow with great rental potential ! Home needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan!! No blind offers
-
2026-04-14price $130,000 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 Beds 2 Baths bungalow with great rental potential ! Home needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan!! No blind offers
-
2026-02-09price $145,000 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 Beds 2 Baths bungalow with great rental potential ! Home needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan!! No blind offers
-
2026-02-09price $145,000 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 Beds 2 Baths bungalow with great rental potential ! Home needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan!! No blind offers
-
2026-01-28price $160,000 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 Beds 2 Baths bungalow with great rental potential ! Home needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan!! No blind offers
-
2026-01-28price $160,000 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 Beds 2 Baths bungalow with great rental potential ! Home needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan!! No blind offers
-
2026-01-14$175,000 New 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
3 Bedroom 2 Bath Bungalow with great rental potential Needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan
-
2026-01-14$175,000 Active 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
3 Bedroom 2 Bath Bungalow with great rental potential Needs some repairs!! May qualify for renovation loan
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $698 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,196 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$498/yr (+$41/mo · 71.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$698
- − Insurance
- −$1,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,657
- − Management
- −$1,657
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $4,189
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,005
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,031/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County
- NCES district ID
- 1300840
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,692
- Composite
- 35.62/100
- National rank
- #4888
- State rank
- #38 of 174 in GA
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #5802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple, GA
- County
- Carroll County · 124,888 people
- City population
- 19,882
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,882
- Household income
- $76,571
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 396.0
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,370 people
- By 2030
- 127,186 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 133,534 · +8.2%
- By 2050
- 137,612 · +11.5%
- By 2075
- 142,892 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 136,294 · +10.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.1% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -41.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.2 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.16%
- Current HPI
- 435.3863
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-25.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $130,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $145,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $145,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $160,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $160,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $175,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $698 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…