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187 W Quincy Ave
B- Composite 66.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$524,900

187 W Quincy Ave · Fresno, CA 93711
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,329 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1981 8,681 sqft lot Est $666k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Woodward Park Custom 4 Bdrm, 3 Upstairs & 1 Down Would Make Nice Office. Mature Landscaping. Fenced Heated Pool & Spa Plus Large Patio & Lawn Area. Perfect For Large Active Family. Seller Is Very Motivated & Has Priced Under What Similar Homes In This Area Have Recently Sold For. Most Of The Inside Has Recently Been Repainted, Some New Fencing & A 4 Year Roof Certification Has Just Been Done. Please Be Courteous And Call Ahead Show 10:00 A.M. To 7:00 P.M.

Key facts

  • Pool
  • Mature landscaping
  • Backyard patio area

Tags

MATURE LANDSCAPINGBACKYARD PATIO AREAPOOLVAULTED CEILINGSWOOD-ACCENT CEILING DETAILGOOD NATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public utilities; Electric service listed as off
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Composition roof; Concrete foundation; Built with no solar panels
  • Exterior features: Two-level property; Private in-ground pool with fencing; Front and rear sprinklers; Urban lot setting; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 124

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2.25 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laundry located inside; Masonry fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $525k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $969 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $525k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.7% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#469 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pinedale Elementary (488 students, 87% FRL); Kastner Intermediate (1,133 students, 56% FRL); Clovis West High (2,089 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 32% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,324/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($104k/yr) (locally 1235% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $174k; list at $525k implies a 203% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $524,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$666,094
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
315 W Bluff Ave 0.30mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,272 (-2%) 15mo $670,000 $295 65
203 W Brier Cir 0.31mi 3/3.0 2,244 (-4%) 20mo $630,000 $281 63
8420 N Poplar Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 2,100 (-10%) 16mo $600,000 $286 62
409 W Audubon 0.29mi 3/2.0 2,197 (-6%) 14mo $685,000 $312 61
8418 N Del Mar Ave 0.08mi 3/1.8 2,014 (-14%) 13mo $490,000 $243 58
131 W Muncie Ave 0.21mi 4/4.0 (+1) 2,461 (+6%) 17mo $585,000 $238 58
131 W Muncie Ave 0.21mi 4/4.0 (+1) 2,461 (+6%) 17mo $585,000 $238 58
431 W Audubon Dr 0.34mi 3/2.2 2,249 (-3%) 22mo $675,000 $300 57
104 E Audubon Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,248 (-4%) 14mo $669,000 $298 42
281 W Bluff Ave 0.52mi 3/2.5 2,558 (+10%) 20mo $895,000 $350 40
8060 N Augusta St 0.73mi 3/2.8 2,008 (-14%) 9mo $460,000 $229 35
8060 N Augusta St 0.73mi 3/2.0 2,008 (-14%) 9mo $460,000 $229 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-18,078
Equity at exit
$78,264
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$85,751
Equity at exit
$45,384

Cash invested: $146,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93711

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,324 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,753
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,189/yr
Insurance
$219
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,118
Net cashflow
$969

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,098
Max offer price $524,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$131,225
Closing costs
$15,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8476 N Del Mar Ave Fresno, CA 4.0 2.0 1797 $10,000 $5.56 24d 1 0.15mi
227 W Teague Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1894 $2,950 $1.56 44d 1 0.18mi
8109 N 5th St Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1750 $2,350 $1.34 3d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $524,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $524,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $524,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $524,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,189 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,989 · $332/mo
Expected delta
+$801/yr (+$67/mo · 25.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 44 unhealthy d/yr today · 51 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,892
− Mortgage interest
−$29,403
− Property taxes
−$3,189
− Insurance
−$2,624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,111
− Management
−$5,111
− Depreciation
−$15,270
Taxable income
$3,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$764
After-tax cash flow
$10,866/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Unified
NCES district ID
0609030
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$71,950
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#2003
State rank
#152 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Fresno

Score
62/100
State rank
#469
US rank
#15907

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fresno, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
593,114
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,245
Household income
$104,176
Rent vs Own
36.0% rent · 64.0% own
Severe rent burden
1235.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Asian 9% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Russian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -353.07%
Current HPI
301.849
Rent YoY
▲ 4.00%
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+319.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $524,900 FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $173,500 Public Records
  • 2000-10-11 Delisted FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-10-11 Price Changed $178,900 FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-08-08 Listed $173,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-01-07 Sold (MLS) $173,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 1994-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
  • 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,189 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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