CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
319 Jackson Point Cir
D- Composite 38.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0

$319,900

319 Jackson Point Cir · Huntsville, AL 35811
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,049 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 246 Days on market
Built 2021 0.26 ac lot $156/sqft · 12% below area Est $363k · 12% under $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Like new, 4 bedroom, 3 bath full brick home w/3 car garage! This is The Madison floor plan built by D. R. Horton. 9' ceiling, sprinkler system, granite counter tops, gas fireplace and crown molding! Lots of extras have been added by the seller: gutters, storm doors, whirlpool tub, etc. All this in a new neighborhood convenient to all that Huntsville has to offer! Also there is a community clubhouse for you and your family to enjoy with pool and playground!

Key facts

  • Gas fireplace
  • Whirlpool tub
  • Granite counter tops

Tags

FULL BRICK HOMESPRINKLER SYSTEMGRANITE COUNTER TOPSGAS FIREPLACECROWN MOLDINGWHIRLPOOL TUB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-451 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (24.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (41.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (41.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,140 (41.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.04%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
14.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$363,307
List price
$319,900
Delta
-11.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
340 Jackson Point Cir 0.16mi 4/3.0 2,019 (-2%) 1mo $334,900 $166 81
205 Antler Ridge Dr 0.12mi 4/3.0 2,019 (-2%) 4mo $319,900 $158 81
391 Jackson Point Cir Unit B 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,092 (+2%) 2mo $304,335 $145 74
392 Jackson Point Cir Unit A 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,092 (+2%) 2mo $303,300 $145 74
399 Jackson Point Cir 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,092 (+2%) 3mo $300,900 $144 72
390 Jackson Point Cir Unit A 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,841 (-10%) 2mo $282,400 $153 69
377 Jackson Point Cir 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,841 (-10%) 3mo $289,900 $157 69
392 Jackson Point Cir Unit B 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,841 (-10%) 3mo $283,400 $154 69
393 Jackson Point Cir Unit B 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,841 (-10%) 3mo $284,900 $155 69
393 Jackson Point Cir Unit A 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,841 (-10%) 4mo $285,900 $155 68
396 Jackson Point Cir Unit A 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,841 (-10%) 4mo $284,930 $155 68
168 Ladd Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (-13%) 3mo $290,000 $163 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.2%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-73,215
Equity at exit
$47,698
10-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-68,071
Equity at exit
$27,659

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35811

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
560
Price-to-rent
14.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,881 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,013/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$-451

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,452
Max offer price $240,226
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-270 -5% $-360 +0% $-451 +5% $-542 +10% $-632
Rent -10% $-600 -5% $-525 +0% $-451 +5% $-377 +10% $-302
Rate -1.0pp $-290 -0.5pp $-370 base $-451 +0.5pp $-534 +1.0pp $-618

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
227 Falcon Ridge Dr Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,591 $1.12 45d 1 0.82mi
300 Addison Ct New Market, AL 4.0 3.0 2167 $1,850 $0.85 15d 1 0.84mi
292 Tercel Dr New Market, AL 4.0 2.0 1608 $1,600 $1.00 45d 1 0.99mi
105 Fellington Ct New Market, AL 4.0 3.0 2103 $2,000 $0.95 22d 1 1.08mi
102 Derbyshire Dr New Market, AL 3.0 2.0 1537 $1,600 $1.04 45d 1 1.14mi
129 Canonbury Dr New Market, AL 4.0 2.0 1886 $1,950 $1.03 45d 1 1.21mi
129 Canonbury Dr New Market, AL 4.0 2.0 1884 $1,900 $1.01 22d 1 1.21mi
228 Tanner Point Dr New Market, AL 3.0 2.0 1645 $1,750 $1.06 45d 1 1.22mi
121 Rolling Green Dr New Market, AL 4.0 2.0 1863 $1,825 $0.98 24d 1 1.27mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr
Likely covers
gaspool

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $319,900 Active 246 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $319,900 Active 245 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $319,900 Active 244 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $319,900 Active 243 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $319,900 Active 241 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $319,900 Active 238 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $319,900 Active 237 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $319,900 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $319,900 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $319,900 Active 230 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $319,900 Active 229 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $319,900 Active 228 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $319,900 Active 227 DOM
  14. 2026-04-15
    status Active 463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (463 chars)

    Like new, 4 bedroom, 3 bath full brick home w/3 car garage! This is The Madison floor plan built by D. R. Horton. 9' ceiling, sprinkler system, granite counter tops, gas fireplace and crown molding! Lots of extras have been added by the seller: gutters, storm doors, whirlpool tub, etc. All this in a new neighborhood convenient to all that Huntsville has to offer! Also there is a community clubhouse for you and your family to enjoy with pool and playground!

  15. 2025-05-16
    listed $319,900 Active 463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (463 chars)

    Like new, 4 bedroom, 3 bath full brick home w/3 car garage! This is The Madison floor plan built by D. R. Horton. 9' ceiling, sprinkler system, granite counter tops, gas fireplace and crown molding! Lots of extras have been added by the seller: gutters, storm doors, whirlpool tub, etc. All this in a new neighborhood convenient to all that Huntsville has to offer! Also there is a community clubhouse for you and your family to enjoy with pool and playground!

  16. 2024-10-03
    price $339,900
  17. 2024-07-25
    listed $349,900 Active
  18. 2021-12-30
    soldstatus $317,855 Sold
  19. 2021-09-21
    status Pending
  20. 2021-09-02
    price $317,855
  21. 2021-08-26
    listed $314,855 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,013 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,312 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$298/yr (+$25/mo · 29.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,577
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$1,013
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,806
− Management
−$1,806
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$11,378
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,731
After-tax cash flow
$-2,682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
31,008
Household income
$90,812
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
517.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.13%
Current HPI
332.9423
Rent YoY
▲ 6.81%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted VMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $319,900 VMLS
  • 2024-10-03 Price Changed $339,900 VMLS
  • 2024-07-25 Listed $349,900 VMLS
  • 2021-12-30 Sold (MLS) $317,855 VMLS
  • 2021-09-21 Pending VMLS
  • 2021-09-02 Price Changed $317,855 VMLS
  • 2021-08-26 Listed $314,855 VMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,013 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…