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206 Sunnyside Dr
B- Composite 65.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

206 Sunnyside Dr · St. Marys, GA 31558
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,572 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1989 0.72 ac lot $118/sqft · 27% below area Est $252k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home features 1,572 square feet of solid living space on a spacious 0.72-acre lot, providing plenty of room for expansion, outdoor living, or future improvements. The home has great bones and a functional layout, making it a strong fixer-upper for buyers looking to customize or investors seeking value. A major highlight is the AC unit, approximately one year old. With generous square footage, a large lot, and endless potential, this property is being sold as-is, amazing for a renovation project, rental, or flip.

Key facts

  • Spacious lot
  • Strong fixer-upper
  • Endless potential

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTSTRONG FIXER-UPPERENDLESS POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.0% in St. Marys — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Camden County (town): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 484 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 383 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $185k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.87%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,078
List price
$185,000
Delta
-26.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
507 Sunnyside Ct 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-3%) 1mo $254,000 $167 90
107 Sunnyside Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-3%) 3mo $255,000 $167 88
421 Sunnyside Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,495 (-5%) 4mo $271,500 $182 82
114 Plantation Ct 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,575 (+0%) 3mo $282,500 $179 79
128 Dogwood Cir 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,640 (+4%) 1mo $203,700 $124 69
102 Pinedale Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,665 (+6%) 6mo $265,000 $159 69
308 Pinedale Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,758 (+12%) 4mo $269,000 $153 68
236 Silver Fox Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,495 (-5%) 1mo $299,590 $200 59
106 Piper Cv 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,416 (-10%) 3mo $260,000 $184 55
116 Dogwood Cir 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,414 (-10%) 6mo $250,000 $177 53
243 Hayden Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,733 (+10%) 3mo $332,970 $192 50
372 Silver Fox Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,733 (+10%) 7mo $314,780 $182 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-9,024
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$9,969
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31558

Home prices YoY
-11.1%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,908 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $932/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,424
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
413 Sunnyside Dr Saint Marys, GA 3.0 2.0 1231 $3,200 $2.60 43d 1 0.16mi
603 Plantation Village Dr Saint Marys, GA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,700 $1.36 23d 1 0.19mi
501 Westgate Cir Saint Marys, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,950 $1.60 1d 1 0.38mi
501 Westgate Cir Unit NA St Marys, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,950 $1.60 14d 1 0.38mi
223 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA 4.0 2.0 1861 $2,150 $1.16 16d 1 1.43mi
227 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA 4.0 2.0 1835 $2,150 $1.17 43d 1 1.44mi
227 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA 4.0 2.0 1835 $2,150 $1.17 7d 1 1.44mi
107 Green Turtle Ct Kingsland, GA 3.0 2.0 2067 $2,400 $1.16 43d 1 1.49mi
239 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,900 $1.09 7d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-02-10
    listed $185,000 New 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home features 1,572 square feet of solid living space on a spacious 0.72-acre lot, providing plenty of room for expansion, outdoor living, or future improvements. The home has great bones and a functional layout, making it a strong fixer-upper for buyers looking to customize or investors seeking value. A major highlight is the AC unit, approximately one year old. With generous square footage, a large lot, and endless potential, this property is being sold as-is, amazing for a renovation project, rental, or flip.

  16. 2025-10-09
    soldstatus $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$932 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,702 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$770/yr (+$64/mo · 82.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,901
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$932
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,832
− Management
−$1,832
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$1,635
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$392
After-tax cash flow
$4,201/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden County
NCES district ID
1300780
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$51,668
Composite
47.1/100
National rank
#2331
State rank
#9 of 174 in GA

Livability — St. Marys

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Marys, GA
County
Camden County · 46,661 people
Metro
St. Marys, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,591
Household income
$74,268
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
1046.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,358 people
By 2030
54,841 · +0.9%
By 2040
54,295 · -0.1%
By 2050
51,529 · -5.2%
By 2075
42,990 · -20.9%
By 2100
33,094 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.9% · R 67.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.5pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+33.9 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+23.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.90%
Current HPI
289.1157
Rent YoY
▲ 1.22%
Metro
St. Marys, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $185,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $932 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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