206 Sunnyside Dr · St. Marys, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home features 1,572 square feet of solid living space on a spacious 0.72-acre lot, providing plenty of room for expansion, outdoor living, or future improvements. The home has great bones and a functional layout, making it a strong fixer-upper for buyers looking to customize or investors seeking value. A major highlight is the AC unit, approximately one year old. With generous square footage, a large lot, and endless potential, this property is being sold as-is, amazing for a renovation project, rental, or flip.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Strong fixer-upper
- Endless potential
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.0% in St. Marys — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Camden County (town): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 484 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 383 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $185k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.87%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,078
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -26.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Sunnyside Ct | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-3%) | 1mo | $254,000 | $167 | 90 |
| 107 Sunnyside Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-3%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $167 | 88 |
| 421 Sunnyside Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (-5%) | 4mo | $271,500 | $182 | 82 |
| 114 Plantation Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+0%) | 3mo | $282,500 | $179 | 79 |
| 128 Dogwood Cir | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,640 (+4%) | 1mo | $203,700 | $124 | 69 |
| 102 Pinedale Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+6%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $159 | 69 |
| 308 Pinedale Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,758 (+12%) | 4mo | $269,000 | $153 | 68 |
| 236 Silver Fox Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (-5%) | 1mo | $299,590 | $200 | 59 |
| 106 Piper Cv | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,416 (-10%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $184 | 55 |
| 116 Dogwood Cir | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,414 (-10%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $177 | 53 |
| 243 Hayden Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,733 (+10%) | 3mo | $332,970 | $192 | 50 |
| 372 Silver Fox Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,733 (+10%) | 7mo | $314,780 | $182 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-9,024
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $9,969
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31558
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 484
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,908 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $932/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $383
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 Sunnyside Dr Saint Marys, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $3,200 | $2.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 603 Plantation Village Dr Saint Marys, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 501 Westgate Cir Saint Marys, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,950 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 501 Westgate Cir Unit NA St Marys, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,950 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 223 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1861 | $2,150 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 227 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $2,150 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 227 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $2,150 | $1.17 | 7d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 107 Green Turtle Ct Kingsland, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $2,400 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 239 Brooklet Cir Saint Marys, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1747 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 7d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-02-10$185,000 New 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home features 1,572 square feet of solid living space on a spacious 0.72-acre lot, providing plenty of room for expansion, outdoor living, or future improvements. The home has great bones and a functional layout, making it a strong fixer-upper for buyers looking to customize or investors seeking value. A major highlight is the AC unit, approximately one year old. With generous square footage, a large lot, and endless potential, this property is being sold as-is, amazing for a renovation project, rental, or flip.
-
2025-10-09soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,702 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$770/yr (+$64/mo · 82.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,901
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$932
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,832
- − Management
- −$1,832
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $1,635
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$392
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden County
- NCES district ID
- 1300780
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,668
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #2331
- State rank
- #9 of 174 in GA
Livability — St. Marys
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Marys, GA
- County
- Camden County · 46,661 people
- Metro
- St. Marys, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,591
- Household income
- $74,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1046.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,358 people
- By 2030
- 54,841 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 54,295 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 51,529 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 42,990 · -20.9%
- By 2100
- 33,094 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.9% · R 67.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.5pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+33.9 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+23.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.90%
- Current HPI
- 289.1157
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.22%
- Metro
- St. Marys, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+68.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Listed $185,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $932 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…