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97 Chestnut St
B- Composite 68.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$125,000

97 Chestnut St · Salem, NJ 08079
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,214 sqft · Townhouse public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1901 2,165 sqft lot Est $135k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Investment potential
  • Room to renovate

Tags

BONUS ROOMSPACIOUS LIVING AREASSTRONG STRUCTURAL POTENTIALROOM TO RENOVATEINVESTMENT POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Shared driveway; Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic; 100 amp electric service; Hot water: natural gas; Heating fuel: natural gas and oil
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Asbestos shingle roof; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Radiator heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Attic; Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Wood floors

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John Fenwick Academy (411 students, 77% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $389 of equity ($864 loan paydown + $-475 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $125k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.46%
Cash-on-cash
11.31%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,754
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
191 Wesley St 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+1%) 15mo $135,000 $110 72
284 Morrison Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-3%) 1mo $155,000 $132 70
98 Thompson St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,318 (+9%) 9mo $80,000 $61 67
96 Thompson St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,318 (+9%) 9mo $80,000 $61 67
286 Morrison Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (-3%) 1mo $35,000 $30 64
236 Wesley St 0.29mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,262 (+4%) 12mo $140,000 $111 63
77 Walnut St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,316 (+8%) 22mo $102,000 $78 60
118 8th St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-1%) 14mo $150,000 $125 56
217 Wesley St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,364 (+12%) 10mo $135,000 $99 50
106 Eighth St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,170 (-4%) 10mo $154,500 $132 49
31 Eighth St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,303 (+7%) 0mo $180,000 $138 49
27 7th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+5%) 21mo $205,000 $161 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$11,005
Equity at exit
$33,938
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$45,544
Equity at exit
$38,958

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,593 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,649/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,259
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $334 -5% $299 +0% $263 +5% $228 +10% $193
Rent -10% $138 -5% $200 +0% $263 +5% $326 +10% $389
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $295 base $263 +0.5pp $231 +1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26 Walnut St Unit A Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,225 $1.23 1d 1 0.24mi
218 Sinnickson St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,500 $1.49 1d 1 0.27mi
56 Olive St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 1d 1 0.37mi
1 9th St Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 1d 1 0.42mi
242 Grant St Unit 1ST FLOOR Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 925 $1,675 $1.81 1d 1 0.50mi
380 E Broadway Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 1d 1 0.63mi
37 Eighth St Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,850 $1.69 1d 1 0.72mi
23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 4d 1 0.72mi
124 Yorke St Unit 37 Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,350 $1.11 2d 1 0.86mi
124 Yorke St Unit 2BR Salem, NJ 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 10d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $125,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $130,000 Active
  17. 2026-02-16
    historical $1,450
  18. 2026-01-31
    price $1,450
  19. 2025-12-03
    listed $1,550
  20. 2025-06-12
    soldstatus $68,750
  21. 2019-08-13
    soldstatus $49,900
  22. 2019-07-15
    soldstatus $49,900 Closed 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.

  23. 2019-06-20
    status Pending 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.

  24. 2019-06-13
    historical
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.

  25. 2019-06-13
    listed $49,900 Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.

  26. 2019-06-10
    listed $49,900 Active
  27. 2015-01-02
    historical
  28. 2013-06-04
    listed $59,900
  29. 2011-09-19
    historical
  30. 2011-03-11
    listed $103,900
  31. 2010-11-30
    historical
  32. 2010-11-30
    historical
  33. 2010-08-11
    listed $115,000
  34. 2010-07-22
    listed $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,649 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,881 · $240/mo
Expected delta
+$232/yr (+$19/mo · 8.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,111
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,649
− Insurance
−$1,422
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,529
− Management
−$1,529
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,344
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$323
After-tax cash flow
$2,838/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Rental Removed $1,450 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $1,450 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-03 Listed for Rent $1,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $68,750 Public Records
  • 2019-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
  • 2019-07-15 Sold (MLS) $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-06-20 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-06-13 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-06-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-06-10 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-01-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-06-04 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-09-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-03-11 Listed $103,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-11-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-11-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-08-11 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-07-22 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,649 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…