97 Chestnut St · Salem, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Investment potential
- Room to renovate
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway; Driveway; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic; 100 amp electric service; Hot water: natural gas; Heating fuel: natural gas and oil
- Home design: Semi-detached property; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Asbestos shingle roof; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Radiator heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Attic; Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Wood floors
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John Fenwick Academy (411 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $389 of equity ($864 loan paydown + $-475 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $125k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.31%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,754
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191 Wesley St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+1%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $110 | 72 |
| 284 Morrison Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-3%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 98 Thompson St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,318 (+9%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 96 Thompson St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,318 (+9%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 286 Morrison Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-3%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $30 | 64 |
| 236 Wesley St | 0.29mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,262 (+4%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $111 | 63 |
| 77 Walnut St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,316 (+8%) | 22mo | $102,000 | $78 | 60 |
| 118 8th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 217 Wesley St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,364 (+12%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $99 | 50 |
| 106 Eighth St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (-4%) | 10mo | $154,500 | $132 | 49 |
| 31 Eighth St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,303 (+7%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $138 | 49 |
| 27 7th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+5%) | 21mo | $205,000 | $161 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $11,005
- Equity at exit
- $33,938
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $45,544
- Equity at exit
- $38,958
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08079
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,593 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $299 | +0% $263 | +5% $228 | +10% $193 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $138 | -5% $200 | +0% $263 | +5% $326 | +10% $389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $295 | base $263 | +0.5pp $231 | +1.0pp $198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Walnut St Unit A Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,225 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 218 Sinnickson St Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 56 Olive St Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1 9th St Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 242 Grant St Unit 1ST FLOOR Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,675 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 380 E Broadway Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 37 Eighth St Salem, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,850 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 124 Yorke St Unit 37 Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 124 Yorke St Unit 2BR Salem, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16price $125,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-06$130,000 Active
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2026-02-16historical $1,450
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2026-01-31price $1,450
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2025-12-03$1,550
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2025-06-12soldstatus $68,750
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2019-08-13soldstatus $49,900
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2019-07-15soldstatus $49,900 Closed 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.
-
2019-06-20status Pending 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.
-
2019-06-13historical
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.
-
2019-06-13$49,900 Active 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS!! Spacious duplex with long term tenants! Easy commute from Delaware Memorial Bridge & NJ Turnpike! Property is being sold in it's "AS-IS" condition. Certificate of occupancy was obtained for current tenants.
-
2019-06-10$49,900 Active
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2015-01-02historical
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2013-06-04$59,900
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2011-09-19historical
-
2011-03-11$103,900
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2010-11-30historical
-
2010-11-30historical
-
2010-08-11$115,000
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2010-07-22$115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,649 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,881 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- +$232/yr (+$19/mo · 8.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,111
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,649
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,529
- − Management
- −$1,529
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,344
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3414550
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,118
- Composite
- 11.51/100
- National rank
- #9702
- State rank
- #464 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #462
- US rank
- #17533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, NJ
- County
- Salem County · 24,175 people
- City population
- 10,762
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,762
- Household income
- $54,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,351 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 51,837 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 46,356 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 36,452 · -39.2%
- By 2100
- 28,907 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Current HPI
- 258.0047
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+13.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-16 Rental Removed $1,450 APPFOLIO
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $1,450 APPFOLIO
- 2025-12-03 Listed for Rent $1,550 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $68,750 Public Records
- 2019-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 2019-07-15 Sold (MLS) $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-20 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-13 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-10 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-01-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-06-04 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-09-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-03-11 Listed $103,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-08-11 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-07-22 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,649 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…