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407 Middleton St
B Composite 72.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,900

407 Middleton St · Iuka, IL 62849
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1935 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.

Key facts

  • Pole barn
  • Workspace
  • Ample storage

Tags

POLE BARNWORKSPACEAMPLE STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area per assessor; Home not reported as rebuilt or rehabilitated
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Vinyl siding exterior; Built before 1978 (age 91–100 years)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 112 x 120; Lot roughly 0.25–0.49 acre; Unincorporated location

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 14)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (Master on main; two additional bedrooms on second floor: 13 x 14 and 12 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (12 x 18)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,045 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem Chsd 600 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #571 of 919 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Salem Community High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 732 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.46%
Cash-on-cash
14.89%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$40,391
Equity at exit
$49,874
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
5.69×
Total profit
$104,997
Equity at exit
$90,140

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62849

Home prices YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$965 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $391/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $614
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $79,900 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-05-21
    listed $79,900 Active
  13. 2022-08-26
    soldstatus $55,000
  14. 2022-08-25
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.

  15. 2022-08-25
    soldstatus $55,000 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.

  16. 2022-07-25
    historical Under Contract 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.

  17. 2022-07-22
    price $55,000 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.

  18. 2022-06-01
    listed $62,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.

  19. 2022-06-01
    listed $55,000 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.

  20. 2017-11-20
    soldstatus $39,900 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over

  21. 2017-11-20
    soldstatus $39,900 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over

  22. 2017-10-03
    listed $39,900 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over

  23. 2017-10-03
    listed $39,900 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$391 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,102 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$711/yr (+$59/mo · 181.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,582
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$391
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$513
After-tax cash flow
$2,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem Chsd 600
NCES district ID
1735190
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$39,305
Composite
26.04/100
National rank
#12738
State rank
#571 of 919 in IL

Livability — Iuka

Score
59/100
State rank
#1045
US rank
#20042

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iuka, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,904

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,071 people
By 2030
34,598 · -4.1%
By 2040
31,754 · -12.0%
By 2050
28,912 · -19.8%
By 2075
22,527 · -37.5%
By 2100
16,455 · -54.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.5) · D 24.6% · R 74.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -49.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.5 2020: R+46.6 2016: R+44.9 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
120.6826
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-25 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-22 Price Changed $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-01 Listed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-01 Listed $62,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-03 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-03 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $391 · -49.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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