407 Middleton St · Iuka, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.
Key facts
- Pole barn
- Workspace
- Ample storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area per assessor; Home not reported as rebuilt or rehabilitated
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Vinyl siding exterior; Built before 1978 (age 91–100 years)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 112 x 120; Lot roughly 0.25–0.49 acre; Unincorporated location
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 14)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (Master on main; two additional bedrooms on second floor: 13 x 14 and 12 x 13)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (12 x 18)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,045 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Salem Chsd 600 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #571 of 919 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Salem Community High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 732 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.89%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $40,391
- Equity at exit
- $49,874
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $104,997
- Equity at exit
- $90,140
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62849
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $965 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $391/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-13status $79,900 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$79,900 Active
-
2022-08-26soldstatus $55,000
-
2022-08-25soldstatus $55,000 Closed 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.
-
2022-08-25soldstatus $55,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.
-
2022-07-25historical Under Contract 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.
-
2022-07-22price $55,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.
-
2022-06-01$62,900 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.
-
2022-06-01$55,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Great starter home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot, located very close to the Iuka Grade School. 3 bedroom 1 bath with the master bedroom located on the main level. All appliances and furniture are included with an accepted offer. 24X14 pole building with electric and a concrete floor. Additional lots with a water meter (buyer would need to hook up) are on the corner of Main Street and Middleton Street, they have been surveyed and could easily be sub-divided should the new owner desire.
-
2017-11-20soldstatus $39,900 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over
-
2017-11-20soldstatus $39,900 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over
-
2017-10-03$39,900 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over
-
2017-10-03$39,900 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Nice Corner Block, well maintained older 3 bedroom home sits on 5 lots! Located just across from grade school. Washer, Dryer, Wall Over
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $391 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,102 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$711/yr (+$59/mo · 181.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$391
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$927
- − Management
- −$927
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem Chsd 600
- NCES district ID
- 1735190
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,305
- Composite
- 26.04/100
- National rank
- #12738
- State rank
- #571 of 919 in IL
Livability — Iuka
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1045
- US rank
- #20042
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iuka, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,904
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,071 people
- By 2030
- 34,598 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 31,754 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 28,912 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 22,527 · -37.5%
- By 2100
- 16,455 · -54.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.5) · D 24.6% · R 74.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -49.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.5 2020: R+46.6 2016: R+44.9 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 120.6826
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+100.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-25 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-22 Price Changed $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-01 Listed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-01 Listed $62,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-03 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-03 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2024): $391 · -49.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…