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1203 Whitecreek Dr
C Composite 59.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

1203 Whitecreek Dr · Glenn Heights, TX 75154
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,704 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 2005 6,578 sqft lot $92/sqft · 24% below area Est $328k · 24% under $33/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home perfectly located in a highly sought-after neighborhood! To help visualize this homes floor plan and to highlight its potential virtual furnishings may have been added to photos found in this listing.

Key facts

  • 6,578 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2005

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Glenn Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,051 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Desoto ISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #754 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 565 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.59%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$327,720
List price
$250,000
Delta
-23.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1121 Bradford Dr 0.08mi 4/2.5 2,618 (-3%) 8mo $249,900 $95 84
1207 Whitecreek Dr 0.02mi 4/2.5 2,455 (-9%) 8mo $327,000 $133 77
1815 High Meadow St 0.22mi 4/2.5 2,692 (-0%) 22mo $380,000 $141 71
1219 Glencoe Dr 0.09mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,640 (-2%) 15mo $350,000 $133 70
1808 High Meadow St 0.18mi 4/2.5 2,441 (-10%) 7mo $320,000 $131 70
1922 High Meadow St 0.28mi 4/2.5 3,065 (+13%) 4mo $375,000 $122 62
2010 Gardenridge Dr 0.36mi 4/2.5 2,644 (-2%) 23mo $375,000 $142 60
1819 High Meadow St 0.23mi 4/2.5 2,989 (+10%) 14mo $369,000 $123 60
1246 Yukon Dr 0.48mi 4/2.5 2,336 (-14%) 2mo $259,900 $111 53
2018 Gardenridge Dr 0.40mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,544 (-6%) 16mo $361,000 $142 51
1408 Bobwhite Trl 0.66mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,703 (-0%) 20mo $360,000 $133 46
904 Blue Quail Run 0.68mi 4/3.5 2,876 (+6%) 14mo $337,500 $117 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-19,481
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$10,801
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75154

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
565
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,077 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$657 /mo · $7,880/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$646
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,664
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1114 Fleming Ct Glenn Heights, TX 5.0 3.5 3655 $3,495 $0.96 1d 1 0.18mi
2002 Bentwood Dr Glenn Heights, TX 4.0 2.5 3168 $2,720 $0.86 10d 1 0.28mi
900 Grouse Rd Glenn Heights, TX 3.0 2.0 1752 $2,300 $1.31 44d 1 0.74mi
73 Palouse St Red Oak, TX 4.0 3.0 2097 $2,950 $1.41 19d 1 1.19mi
169 Yale Ave Red Oak, TX 4.0 2.0 2001 $2,750 $1.37 24d 1 1.39mi
154 Northwestern Ave Red Oak, TX 4.0 2.0 2014 $2,449 $1.22 44d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $250,000 Pending 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $250,000 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (250 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home perfectly located in a highly sought-after neighborhood! To help visualize this homes floor plan and to highlight its potential virtual furnishings may have been added to photos found in this listing.

  16. 2026-04-22
    status Active 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (250 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home perfectly located in a highly sought-after neighborhood! To help visualize this homes floor plan and to highlight its potential virtual furnishings may have been added to photos found in this listing.

  17. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Option Contract 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (250 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home perfectly located in a highly sought-after neighborhood! To help visualize this homes floor plan and to highlight its potential virtual furnishings may have been added to photos found in this listing.

  18. 2026-03-25
    listed $260,000 Active 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (250 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home perfectly located in a highly sought-after neighborhood! To help visualize this homes floor plan and to highlight its potential virtual furnishings may have been added to photos found in this listing.

  19. 2025-08-06
    price $325,000
  20. 2025-06-12
    status Active
  21. 2025-06-11
    historical Active Option Contract
  22. 2025-04-28
    listed $330,000 Active
  23. 2025-04-10
    historical
  24. 2025-03-24
    price $320,000
  25. 2025-02-04
    price $100,000
  26. 2024-12-16
    listed $163,451 Active
  27. 2024-05-30
    price $324,900
  28. 2024-05-22
    price $339,900
  29. 2024-05-07
    listed $344,900 Active
  30. 2023-12-07
    status Pending
  31. 2023-12-01
    historical Active Option Contract
  32. 2023-12-01
    historical
  33. 2023-11-27
    price $329,900
  34. 2023-11-09
    price $335,000
  35. 2023-11-09
    listed $329,900 Active
  36. 2011-08-19
    historical
  37. 2011-04-20
    listed $126,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,880 · $657/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,880 · $657/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,929
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$7,880
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,954
− Management
−$2,954
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$218
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$52
After-tax cash flow
$3,863/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desoto ISD
NCES district ID
4816860
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$61,556
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8851
State rank
#754 of 826 in TX

Livability — Glenn Heights

Score
60/100
State rank
#1051
US rank
#18686

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glenn Heights, TX
County
Ellis County · 199,237 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
52,516
Household income
$100,388
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
1081.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 39% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.06%
Current HPI
294.5836
Rent YoY
▲ 2.99%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $250,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $260,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $325,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-12 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-06-11 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2025-04-28 Listed $330,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-04-10 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-03-24 Price Changed $320,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-02-04 Price Changed $100,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-12-16 Listed $163,451 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-30 Price Changed $324,900 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-22 Price Changed $339,900 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-07 Listed $344,900 NTREIS
  • 2023-12-07 Pending NTREIS
  • 2023-12-01 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2023-12-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2023-11-27 Price Changed $329,900 NTREIS
  • 2023-11-09 Price Changed $335,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-11-09 Listed $329,900 NTREIS
  • 2011-08-19 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2011-04-20 Listed $126,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,880 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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