CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
56 Sullivan St
B Composite 72.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$225,000

56 Sullivan St · Wurtsboro, NY 12790
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1900 0.28 ac lot $163/sqft · 37% below area Est $358k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 56 Sullivan Street, an exciting opportunity in the heart of Wurtsboro. Located along the village’s main commercial corridor and offering C-1 zoning flexibility for permitted commercial or residential use, this turn key 3 bedroom, 1 bath home combines location and versatility. The property features a ground level primary bedroom, full bath, laundry hookup, driveway parking, very low property taxes, a newer septic system, and updated electric. Just steps from local restaurants, coffee shops, antique stores, and a health conscious market, and conveniently located near Route 17 only 90 minutes north of NYC, this home offers both accessibility and small town charm. Call today to

Key facts

  • Updated electric
  • Newer septic system
  • Laundry hookup

Tags

C-1 ZONING FLEXIBILITYGROUND LEVEL PRIMARY BEDROOMLAUNDRY HOOKUPDRIVEWAY PARKINGNEWER SEPTIC SYSTEMUPDATED ELECTRIC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Frame construction; Unfinished basement; Scuttle attic
  • Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Eat-in, open kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Open kitchen; Storage; Bilco door(s) to unfinished basement; Scuttle attic
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Unfinished basement for utilities/storage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#453 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Monticello Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #577 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Emma C Chase School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 228 students, 57% FRL); Robert J Kaiser Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 595 students, 66% FRL); Monticello High School (math 82% / reading 34%, grade C, #879 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 844 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $225k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $218,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.42%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$357,501
List price
$225,000
Delta
-37.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2 Marc Ln 0.32mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,356 (-2%) 14mo $371,000 $274 64
19 Third St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,340 (-3%) 21mo $283,000 $211 57
59 Grand St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,352 (-2%) 23mo $285,000 $211 55
259 Kingston Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,504 (+9%) 1mo $330,000 $219 55
17 Helm St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+6%) 10mo $300,500 $204 43
148 Kingston Ave 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,311 (-5%) 22mo $249,900 $191 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$143,915
Equity at exit
$202,698
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
7.46×
Total profit
$407,284
Equity at exit
$437,126

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12790

Home prices YoY
26.8%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,525 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$332 /mo · $3,979/yr
Insurance
$94
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$530
Net cashflow
$334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,102
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 Pine St Unit 4 Wurtsboro, NY 2.0 1.5 1200 $2,525 $2.10 14d 1 0.39mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $229,900 730-char remark
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $239,900 Active 730-char remark
  17. 2026-04-09
    historical
  18. 2026-03-03
    price $229,000
  19. 2026-02-27
    price $229,900
  20. 2026-02-18
    historical
  21. 2026-02-18
    historical
  22. 2026-02-17
    historical
  23. 2026-02-12
    price $259,888
  24. 2026-02-12
    listed $279,888 Active
  25. 2026-02-09
    price $239,000
  26. 2026-02-01
    price $259,000
  27. 2026-01-05
    price $225,000
  28. 2025-12-01
    price $230,000
  29. 2025-11-14
    price $245,000
  30. 2025-08-02
    listed $250,000 Active
  31. 2025-07-02
    historical
  32. 2025-03-21
    price $250,000
  33. 2025-01-25
    price $260,000
  34. 2025-01-14
    listed $270,000 Active
  35. 2023-07-14
    listed $264,900 Active
  36. 2023-07-14
    listed $264,900 Active
  37. 2023-07-09
    historical
  38. 2023-01-09
    status Active
  39. 2022-12-19
    historical
  40. 2022-11-23
    price $224,900
  41. 2022-11-23
    price $224,900
  42. 2022-09-27
    status Active
  43. 2022-09-26
    historical
  44. 2022-09-12
    price $229,900
  45. 2022-09-12
    price $229,900
  46. 2022-05-10
    price $239,900
  47. 2022-05-10
    price $239,900
  48. 2022-03-26
    listed $254,900 Active
  49. 2022-03-26
    listed $254,900 Active
  50. 2019-07-22
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,979 · $332/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,979 · $332/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,300
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,979
− Insurance
−$1,792
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,424
− Management
−$2,424
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable income
$533
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$128
After-tax cash flow
$3,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monticello Central School District
NCES district ID
3619740
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$44,696
Composite
25.28/100
National rank
#7491
State rank
#577 of 590 in NY

Livability — Wurtsboro

Score
70/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#7914

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wurtsboro, NY
Population (ZIP)
4,341

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Russian 7% Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 95.79%
Current HPI
452.7233
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+350.0% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $225,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $229,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $239,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $229,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $229,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-18 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $259,888 UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $279,888 UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $239,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-01 Price Changed $259,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $225,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $230,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $245,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-02 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-02 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-25 Price Changed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-14 Listed $270,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-14 Listed $264,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-14 Listed $264,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2023-07-09 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-09 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-19 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-23 Price Changed $224,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2022-11-23 Price Changed $224,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-26 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-12 Price Changed $229,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2022-09-12 Price Changed $229,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-10 Price Changed $239,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2022-05-10 Price Changed $239,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-26 Listed $254,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-26 Listed $254,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2019-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,979 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…