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4516 Wood St
D- Composite 35.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

4516 Wood St · Willoughby, OH 44094
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1940 7,200 sqft lot $187/sqft · 6% below area Est $292k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4516 Wood Street, a truly exceptional traditional colonial nestled in the heart of downtown Willoughby, where timeless character meets thoughtful modern updates in one of the area’s most desirable and walkable neighborhoods. Perfectly positioned just minutes from vibrant downtown shops, dining, and entertainment, this stunning four bedroom, two full bathroom residence offers both charm and convenience with a highly functional layout that includes a rare first floor bedroom and full bath. From the moment you arrive, the home’s classic curb appeal is enhanced by mature landscaping, a beautifully maintained yard, and a welcoming front entry, while an oversized two car ga

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Maintained yard
  • Outdoor picnic area

Tags

FIRST FLOOR BEDROOMFULL BATHMATURE LANDSCAPINGMAINTAINED YARDOUTDOOR PICNIC AREAHARDWOOD FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community includes sidewalks, park, playground and nearby restaurants

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Updated/remodeled condition
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Partial basement; Basement storage; Suburban setting; Sidewalks; Nearby park and playground; Nearby restaurants

Interior

  • Kitchen: Granite counters; Built-in features; Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Additional bedrooms on second floor
  • Flooring: Hardwood in kitchen/eat-in area and dining room; Carpet in living room, loft, mud room and several bedrooms; Tile in entry/foyer; Ceramic tile in one bathroom
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Storage; Updated/remodeled
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer; Dryer; Utility room (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-488 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (34.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (38.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (38.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.8% in Willoughby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in OH, #3,972 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Willoughby-Eastlake City (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #434 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $152k; list at $250k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $155,092 (38.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
3.95%
Cash-on-cash
-8.37%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
13.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$292,500
List price
$250,000
Delta
-14.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4615 Center St 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,352 (+1%) 4mo $295,000 $218 88
4587 Wood St 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,398 (+4%) 3mo $290,000 $207 84
4294 Campus Ln 0.28mi 3/3.0 1,312 (-2%) 2mo $510,000 $389 78
37646 Jordan Dr 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,356 (+1%) 2mo $213,000 $157 77
4329 River St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,373 (+2%) 8mo $140,000 $102 75
37948 Barnes Ct 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-10%) 2mo $163,900 $137 74
37510 Park Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,436 (+7%) 2mo $270,000 $188 64
4278 Murray Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,216 (-9%) 3mo $299,900 $247 64
38217 Wilson Ave 0.19mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,166 (-13%) 3mo $225,000 $193 62
38107 Hastings Ave 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,217 (-9%) 2mo $215,000 $177 59
4138 Buckeye Ave 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,461 (+9%) 2mo $340,000 $233 49
37710 Vine St 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (-13%) 10mo $190,000 $164 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.0%
Equity multiple
-0.00×
Total profit
$-70,005
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-27.3%
Equity multiple
-0.35×
Total profit
$-94,279
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44094

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$298 /mo · $3,580/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$-488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,169
Max offer price $163,737
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37848 Euclid Ave Unit down Willoughby, OH 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,599 $1.33 3d 1 0.19mi
4088 Erie St Willoughby, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 44d 1 0.54mi
1323 E 360th St Eastlake, OH 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,599 $1.54 16d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $279,900 Pending 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-05-01
    price $299,900 2010-char remark
  13. 2026-04-24
    listed $325,000 Active 2010-char remark
  14. 2001-07-31
    soldstatus $152,500
  15. 2000-01-30
    historical
  16. 1999-10-02
    listed $149,990
  17. 1997-02-03
    soldstatus $127,500
  18. 1996-06-09
    historical
  19. 1995-12-11
    listed $129,900
  20. 1994-11-30
    historical
  21. 1994-06-03
    listed $129,900
  22. 1990-03-20
    soldstatus $80,500
  23. 1988-12-15
    soldstatus $53,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,580 · $298/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,740 · $312/mo
Expected delta
+$160/yr (+$13/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,611
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,580
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$10,473
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,514
After-tax cash flow
$-3,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Willoughby-Eastlake City
NCES district ID
3904510
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$52,500
Composite
42.96/100
National rank
#3110
State rank
#434 of 656 in OH

Livability — Willoughby

Score
75/100
State rank
#249
US rank
#3972

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Willoughby, OH
County
Lake County · 204,927 people
City population
36,873
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
36,873
Household income
$78,772
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
1381.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,022 people
By 2030
228,151 · -0.8%
By 2040
221,018 · -3.9%
By 2050
212,754 · -7.5%
By 2075
200,309 · -12.9%
By 2100
183,315 · -20.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -229.28%
Current HPI
179.81
Rent YoY
▲ 4.01%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+367.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $250,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-06-12 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-06-04 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $279,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $299,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $325,000 MLSNOW
  • 2001-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $152,500 Public Records
  • 2000-01-30 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 1999-10-02 Listed $149,990 MLSNOW
  • 1997-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $127,500 Public Records
  • 1996-06-09 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 1995-12-11 Listed $129,900 MLSNOW
  • 1994-11-30 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 1994-06-03 Listed $129,900 MLSNOW
  • 1990-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,500 Public Records
  • 1988-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,580 · -15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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