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56073 Mill Rd
D Composite 40.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

56073 Mill Rd · Franklinton, LA 70438
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,152 sqft · SingleFamily · 153 Days on market
Built 1977 3.60 ac lot $98/sqft · at area comps Est $208k · at est. ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this inviting residence featuring three well-appointed bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a spacious bonus room ideal for a home office, media space, or playroom. Set on over 3 acres of land, the property offers exceptional versatility--whether you envision a thriving garden, a tranquil pond, or the charm of keeping livestock such as cows and chickens. With ample space and endless possibilities, this home combines comfort with the freedom to create your perfect lifestyle.

Key facts

  • Thriving garden
  • Over 3 acres of land
  • Spacious bonus room

Tags

SPACIOUS BONUS ROOMOVER 3 ACRES OF LANDTHRIVING GARDENTRANQUIL POND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($711/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (20.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Franklinton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#67 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Washington Parish (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 98 in LA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $166,740 (20.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.21%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,141
List price
$210,000
Delta
0.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-30,348
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-21,947
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70438

Home prices YoY
-14.2%
Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,667 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $831/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,592
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 148 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 142 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 137 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 136 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 135 DOM
  14. 2026-03-10
    price $210,000 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting residence featuring three well-appointed bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a spacious bonus room ideal for a home office, media space, or playroom. Set on over 3 acres of land, the property offers exceptional versatility—whether you envision a thriving garden, a tranquil pond, or the charm of keeping livestock such as cows and chickens. With ample space and endless possibilities, this home combines comfort with the freedom to create your perfect lifestyle.

  15. 2026-03-10
    price $210,000 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting residence featuring three well-appointed bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a spacious bonus room ideal for a home office, media space, or playroom. Set on over 3 acres of land, the property offers exceptional versatility—whether you envision a thriving garden, a tranquil pond, or the charm of keeping livestock such as cows and chickens. With ample space and endless possibilities, this home combines comfort with the freedom to create your perfect lifestyle.

  16. 2026-02-16
    price $215,000 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting residence featuring three well-appointed bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a spacious bonus room ideal for a home office, media space, or playroom. Set on over 3 acres of land, the property offers exceptional versatility—whether you envision a thriving garden, a tranquil pond, or the charm of keeping livestock such as cows and chickens. With ample space and endless possibilities, this home combines comfort with the freedom to create your perfect lifestyle.

  17. 2026-02-16
    price $215,000 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting residence featuring three well-appointed bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a spacious bonus room ideal for a home office, media space, or playroom. Set on over 3 acres of land, the property offers exceptional versatility—whether you envision a thriving garden, a tranquil pond, or the charm of keeping livestock such as cows and chickens. With ample space and endless possibilities, this home combines comfort with the freedom to create your perfect lifestyle.

  18. 2026-01-16
    listed $229,000 Active 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting residence featuring three well-appointed bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a spacious bonus room ideal for a home office, media space, or playroom. Set on over 3 acres of land, the property offers exceptional versatility—whether you envision a thriving garden, a tranquil pond, or the charm of keeping livestock such as cows and chickens. With ample space and endless possibilities, this home combines comfort with the freedom to create your perfect lifestyle.

  19. 2026-01-16
    listed $229,000 Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting residence featuring three well-appointed bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a spacious bonus room ideal for a home office, media space, or playroom. Set on over 3 acres of land, the property offers exceptional versatility—whether you envision a thriving garden, a tranquil pond, or the charm of keeping livestock such as cows and chickens. With ample space and endless possibilities, this home combines comfort with the freedom to create your perfect lifestyle.

  20. 2004-09-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$831 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,155 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$324/yr (+$27/mo · 39.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,009
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$831
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,601
− Management
−$1,601
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$2,946
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$707
After-tax cash flow
$1,418/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington Parish
NCES district ID
2201860
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$34,972
Composite
28.03/100
National rank
#6844
State rank
#38 of 98 in LA

Livability — Franklinton

Score
69/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#8352

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
19,935

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,642 people
By 2030
43,302 · -3.0%
By 2040
40,345 · -9.6%
By 2050
37,434 · -16.1%
By 2075
29,954 · -32.9%
By 2100
21,579 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 22% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2% German 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 29.3% · R 69.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+32.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.73%
Current HPI
191.4762
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $210,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $210,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $215,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $229,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $229,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2004-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $831 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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