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4205 Dwight Cir
B Composite 70.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

4205 Dwight Cir · Fayetteville, NC 28311
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market
Built 1945

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss out on this hidden gem with over 3/4 acres. This ranch style home and storage building is awaiting your vision. This home located within 10 minutes of fayetteville State University and 15 minutes of Fort Bragg could become a showpiece for a personal residence or investment property. This is a blank slate at a price you wont want to miss. Home not habitable and needs repair… * * * AS IS/ SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS * * *

Key facts

  • Built 1945
  • Listed 112 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Subdivision: NONE; GPS directions accurate to the home

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedrooms not itemized)
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Other heating type
  • Interior features: No fireplace; Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.3% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $55k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,050 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.61%
Cap rate
21.31%
Cash-on-cash
53.63%
DSCR
3.39
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$169,360
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1661 Veanna Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,163 (+0%) 3mo $145,000 $125 63
2558 Sourwood Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,137 (-2%) 2mo $193,000 $170 58
5212 Delco St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,095 (-6%) 1mo $174,000 $159 55
1713 Veanna Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,212 (+4%) 10mo $185,000 $153 51
1600 Veanna Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,266 (+9%) 10mo $185,000 $146 39
1677 Veanna Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,331 (+15%) 7mo $192,000 $144 37
205 Waddell Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 990 (-15%) 10mo $125,500 $127 35
5200 Delco Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-10%) 19mo $181,500 $175 33
217 Waddell Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-14%) 24mo $102,000 $102 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.6%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$34,721
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
56.8%
Equity multiple
6.58×
Total profit
$85,862
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28311

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,433 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,588/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$688

Break-even live

Break-even rent $562
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $719 -5% $704 +0% $688 +5% $673 +10% $657
Rent -10% $575 -5% $632 +0% $688 +5% $745 +10% $801
Rate -1.0pp $716 -0.5pp $702 base $688 +0.5pp $674 +1.0pp $659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1216 Superior Pointe Pl Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1288 $1,450 $1.13 24d 1 0.65mi
3613 Pine Lake Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $1,645 $1.47 15d 31 0.78mi
3446 Sandystone Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1489 $1,700 $1.14 24d 1 0.92mi
1907 Eichelberger Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1463 $1,650 $1.13 24d 1 0.94mi
848 Tamarack Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0 705 $1,171 $1.66 15d 49 0.94mi
1404 Hibiscus Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1418 $1,350 $0.95 22d 1 0.95mi
927 Fiske Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 926 $1,200 $1.30 24d 1 0.96mi
1014 Enclave Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $1,685 $1.52 15d 19 0.98mi
5523 Livingston Dr Fayetteville, NC 4.0 1.5 1305 $1,600 $1.23 24d 1 1.00mi
1615 Morehead Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,400 $1.30 24d 1 1.01mi
1350 Shaw Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1339 $1,399 $1.04 15d 1 1.02mi
4310 Coolidge St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1212 $1,250 $1.03 15d 1 1.14mi
3523 Rosehill Rd Fayetteville, NC 4.0 1.0 1448 $1,450 $1.00 15d 1 1.14mi
1156 Acorn St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 24d 1 1.15mi
5745 Holland St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,650 $1.45 24d 1 1.16mi
715 Ashburton Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,600 $1.25 24d 1 1.18mi
4206 S Dowfield Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 24d 1 1.18mi
4202 S Dowfield Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $930 $1.16 24d 1 1.18mi
1808 Tryon Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1066 $995 $0.93 24d 1 1.19mi
733 Ashburton Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1118 $1,300 $1.16 24d 1 1.20mi
844 Anita Rd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 850 $850 $1.00 15d 1 1.26mi
1882 Tryon Dr #4 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1063 $1,100 $1.03 15d 1 1.28mi
1861 Tryon Dr Unit 3 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $995 $0.95 24d 1 1.28mi
1849 Tryon Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1061 $998 $0.94 24d 2 1.34mi
3963 Loufield Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 1.36mi
1909 Tryon Dr #7 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,050 $0.99 24d 1 1.40mi
4420 Blanton Rd Unit 4420-H Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 990 $1,025 $1.04 15d 1 1.40mi
3318 Rogers Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,750 $1.26 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
  17. 2026-05-16
    price $55,000
  18. 2026-04-16
    price $64,995
  19. 2026-02-27
    listed $65,000 Active
  20. 2002-04-03
    soldstatus $33,000
  21. 1993-02-15
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,588 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,588 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,193
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$1,588
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$7,898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,896
After-tax cash flow
$6,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
36,629
Household income
$62,170
Rent vs Own
47.5% rent · 52.5% own
Severe rent burden
1645.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.88%
Current HPI
203.0731
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+511.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $55,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $64,995 LPRMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
  • 2002-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1993-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,588 · +18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…