1213 Century Oaks Dr Unit A · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy coastal living in this 3-bedroom, 3-bath townhome in the gated Century Oaks community. Located just one block from the beach, this spacious home features an open-concept living area, a balcony, and plenty of room for family and guests. Community amenities include a pool, gated access, and private parking. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, entertainment, and the beautiful Gulf Coast beaches, this property is ideal as a primary residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity. Schedule a showing with an agent today!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Near dining
- Near shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association with a monthly fee of $165; HOA covers grounds maintenance and pool service; Community features include gated access, pool, and proximity to entertainment
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking for 2; Concrete parking
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Townhouse; House structure; Two levels; Gated community
- Construction: Siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Back yard fencing; Perimeter fencing; Security fencing; Near beach; Cul-de-sac lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Double pane windows; Fiberglass doors; Balcony
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $180k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.59%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,504
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1181 Century Oaks Dr Unit B | 0.06mi | 3/3.0 | 1,156 (0%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $190 | 91 |
| 1121 Century Oaks Dr Unit C | 0.06mi | 3/3.0 | 1,314 (+14%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $144 | 70 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #503 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,277 (+10%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $234 | 65 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #401 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $240 | 65 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #801 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 8mo | $349,500 | $280 | 64 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #202 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,277 (+10%) | 8mo | $259,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 1225 Century Oaks Dr Unit C | 0.06mi | 3/3.0 | 1,327 (+15%) | 15mo | $229,900 | $173 | 56 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #1101 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 20mo | $349,500 | $280 | 55 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #501 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 20mo | $324,500 | $260 | 54 |
| 137 Markham Dr Unit C | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,287 (+11%) | 19mo | $231,900 | $180 | 51 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #1103 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,277 (+10%) | 23mo | $355,000 | $278 | 48 |
| 14 Independence Dr #14 | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,311 (+13%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $126 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-14,378
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $13,785
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,893 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$165
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $295 | -5% $244 | +0% $193 | +5% $142 | +10% $91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $118 | +0% $193 | +5% $268 | +10% $342 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $283 | -0.5pp $239 | base $193 | +0.5pp $146 | +1.0pp $99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1131 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1156 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1101 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1330 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1229 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1100 Century Oaks Dr Unit A Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1156 | $2,200 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1270 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1158 | $1,950 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 986 Waterford Ln Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 229 Milray Ln Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 889 | $1,795 | $2.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1276 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1283 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 696 Hunters Glen Ln Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,519 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1114 Washington Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 1605 Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,355 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3503 Hancock Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 200 Commerce St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 124 30th 1/2 St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1400 Mill Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $2,550 | $1.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1339 Foxwood Pl Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $165 · $1,980/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 538-char remark
-
2026-06-13$179,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,428 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,428 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,428
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,817
- − Management
- −$1,817
- − HOA
- −$1,980
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$540
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$130
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,443/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+140.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $179,900 MLSU
- 2025-12-16 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $169,900 MLSU
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $174,900 MLSU
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $183,900 MLSU
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $184,900 MLSU
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $189,900 MLSU
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $197,900 MLSU
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $198,900 MLSU
- 2025-07-21 Listed $208,900 MLSU
- 2023-06-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 2015-10-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,428 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…