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222 Jewett Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 78.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

222 Jewett Ave · Buffalo, NY 14214
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,400 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1920 3,600 sqft lot Est $218k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Check out this well-maintained 3/3 two-family home located in the desirable Central Park area of Buffalo. Whether you're an investor looking to add to your portfolio or a first-time homebuyer seeking rental income to offset your mortgage, this property checks all the boxes. Each unit presents a spacious layout featuring formal dining rooms, natural woodwork, and charming architectural details throughout. Some hardwood floors add warmth and character, while the classic Buffalo style shines through in every room.

Key facts

  • Natural woodwork
  • Two-family home
  • Formal dining rooms

Tags

TWO-FAMILY HOMESPACIOUS LAYOUTFORMAL DINING ROOMSNATURAL WOODWORKCHARMING ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSHARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $711/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,331/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $175k implies a 483% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $172,276 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
16.05%
Cash-on-cash
34.86%
DSCR
2.55
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
172 Rodney Ave 0.17mi 6/2.5 2,430 (+1%) 7mo $222,499 $92 82
258 Leroy Ave 0.06mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-8%) 6mo $220,000 $100 79
2002 Fillmore Ave 0.43mi 6/2.0 2,390 (-0%) 4mo $206,500 $86 76
2006 Fillmore Ave 0.42mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,390 (-0%) 3mo $84,800 $35 72
168 Rodney Ave 0.17mi 6/2.0 2,199 (-8%) 7mo $175,000 $80 72
92 Wakefield Ave 0.06mi 6/2.0 2,046 (-15%) 8mo $190,000 $93 66
73 Monticello Pl 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,424 (+1%) 3mo $160,000 $66 63
2032 Fillmore Ave 0.38mi 6/2.0 2,226 (-7%) 10mo $150,000 $67 62
84 Monticello Pl 0.67mi 6/2.0 2,591 (+8%) 0mo $145,000 $56 55
1 Palos Pl 0.56mi 6/2.0 2,541 (+6%) 12mo $230,000 $91 54
1681 Amherst St 0.53mi 6/2.0 2,728 (+14%) 10mo $335,000 $123 44
96 Sussex St 0.69mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,152 (-10%) 4mo $255,000 $118 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$72,010
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
5.53×
Total profit
$221,685
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14214

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,331 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$700
Net cashflow
$1,423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,530
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,544 -5% $1,483 +0% $1,423 +5% $1,362 +10% $1,302
Rent -10% $1,160 -5% $1,291 +0% $1,423 +5% $1,554 +10% $1,686
Rate -1.0pp $1,511 -0.5pp $1,467 base $1,423 +0.5pp $1,377 +1.0pp $1,331

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
145 Minnesota Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 2551 $4,900 $1.92 15d 1 1.06mi
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 44d 1 1.10mi
175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 15d 1 1.16mi
85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2193 $3,750 $1.71 15d 1 1.17mi
24 Custer St Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 15d 1 1.17mi
133 Merrimac St Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 2327 $4,450 $1.91 15d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-27
    listed $174,900 Active
  3. 2021-11-01
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  4. 2021-10-28
    historical
  5. 2021-10-01
    listed $144,900 Active
  6. 2019-11-12
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  7. 2019-11-12
    historical
  8. 2019-10-21
    status Active
  9. 2019-09-27
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  10. 2019-08-11
    listed $99,900 Active
  11. 2018-10-10
    historical
  12. 2018-09-21
    listed $99,900 Active
  13. 2018-07-16
    soldstatus $30,000
  14. 2005-06-01
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,972
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$2,624
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,198
− Management
−$3,198
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$15,193
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,646
After-tax cash flow
$13,427/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,314
Household income
$58,228
Rent vs Own
57.7% rent · 42.3% own
Severe rent burden
1820.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -282.52%
Current HPI
373.377
Rent YoY
▲ 5.81%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+871.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $174,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-11-01 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-10-28 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2021-10-01 Listed $144,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-11-12 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-11-12 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2019-10-21 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2019-09-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-08-11 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-10-10 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2018-09-21 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $308 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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