1115 Pansy St · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity! Here's your chance to add value and build equity. Property has strong potential for fix-and-flip, rental income, or portfolio expansion. Convenient location with upside potential. Being sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Vinyl and brick exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built in public-records year (year built from public records)
- Exterior features: Private yard
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace in the living room; Other appliances (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Johnson Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 290 students, 100% FRL); Lanier High School (math 3% / reading 2%, grade F, #197 of 197 statewide, top 100%, 603 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.83%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $40,128
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1311 Fernwood Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-5%) | 12mo | $74,900 | $87 | 63 |
| 2307 Mobile Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-10%) | 1mo | $29,000 | $36 | 54 |
| 1430 Pillars St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+4%) | 21mo | $42,000 | $44 | 53 |
| 2235 Mobile Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 994 (+9%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $30 | 51 |
| 2226 Oak Park Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (+10%) | 8mo | $7,500 | $7 | 45 |
| 357 Dewitt Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 877 (-4%) | 13mo | $43,950 | $50 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $60,060
- Equity at exit
- $49,548
- IRR
- 46.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.95×
- Total profit
- $153,206
- Equity at exit
- $106,853
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39213
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $607/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $473
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $504 | -5% $488 | +0% $473 | +5% $457 | +10% $441 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $389 | -5% $431 | +0% $473 | +5% $514 | +10% $556 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $500 | -0.5pp $487 | base $473 | +0.5pp $458 | +1.0pp $444 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Unit D Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $832 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Unit B Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $871 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $871 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2157 Ludlow Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2157 Ludlow Ave Unit Na Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2566 Williamson Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 940 | $1,150 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3625 Liberty St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,190 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1225 Bailey Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $750 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2475 Greenfield Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1175 Eminence Row Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1240 Lawnview Pl Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $845 | $1.30 | 14d | 13 | 1.38mi |
| 1818 Saint Charles St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $995 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 255 S Prentiss St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-05-15$55,000
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2024-02-25historical $850
-
2024-02-10$850
-
2018-12-03soldstatus
-
1999-07-01soldstatus
-
1948-12-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$607
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,014
- − Management
- −$1,014
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,220
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,691
- Household income
- $29,541
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1138.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.42%
- Current HPI
- 329.1844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-05-15 Listed $55,000 MLSU
- 2024-02-25 Rental Removed $850 Avail
- 2024-02-10 Listed for Rent $850 Avail
- 2018-12-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1948-12-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $607 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…