617C Huntington Dr · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 617C Huntington Drive, nestled in the desirable 55+ Leisure Village community of Lakewood. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfortable single-level living with an attached one-car garage. A bright and welcoming sunroom greets you in the foyer and flows through sliding glass doors into a spacious living and dining room combination, ideal for everyday living or entertaining. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space and functionality. Both bedrooms are generously sized, including a primary suite with a private full bath. Leisure Village offers an exceptional lifestyle with amenities including a lake, golf course, swimming pool, clubhouse, and more. Enjoy low-maintena
Key facts
- Sunroom
- Quiet location
- 1,306 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Leisure Village Association; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include swimming/pool, golf course, common area, bocce; Association fee covers trash, common area maintenance, liability insurance, lawn maintenance, pool, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Attached property; Winfield model; Fee simple ownership
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level topography
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooking; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the first level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceramic tile flooring; Breakfast area; Dining room; Living room; Sunroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $211k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-96/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (0.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $211k).
- Recommended offer: $192k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Street Elem School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,030 of 1,303 statewide, top 80%, 534 students, 97% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 16% / reading 30%, grade F, #376 of 431 statewide, top 88%, 995 students, 94% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 399 statewide, top 81%, 1,423 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $211k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.16%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-34,426
- Equity at exit
- $31,446
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-29,581
- Equity at exit
- $18,235
Cash invested: $59,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,298 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,106
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,429/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$427
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $-8
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $111 | -5% $52 | +0% $-8 | +5% $-68 | +10% $-127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-190 | -5% $-99 | +0% $-8 | +5% $83 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $98 | -0.5pp $46 | base $-8 | +0.5pp $-63 | +1.0pp $-118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,725
- Closing costs
- $6,327
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1305 Marshall St Lakewood, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $2,900 | $2.48 | 9d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 540 Davids Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1512 | $2,350 | $1.55 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 523 Sophee Ln #1000 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,800 | $2.02 | 1d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 610 Sophee Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1164 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1100 Deer Path Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1187 | $2,575 | $2.17 | 1d | 4 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $427 · $5,124/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-03-24price $210,900
-
2026-03-24price $210,000
-
2026-01-23$219,900 Active
-
1999-06-07soldstatus $82,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,429 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,840 · $320/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,411/yr (+$118/mo · 58.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,574
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,814
- − Property taxes
- −$2,429
- − Insurance
- −$1,054
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,206
- − Management
- −$2,206
- − HOA
- −$5,124
- − Depreciation
- −$6,135
- Taxable loss
- −$3,395
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$815
- After-tax cash flow
- $718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5757.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+155.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $210,900 MOMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $210,000 MOMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $219,900 MOMLS
- 1999-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,429 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…