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353 Ludington St Duplex
A Composite 86.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,900

353 Ludington St · Buffalo, NY 14206
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,567 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1910 3,600 sqft lot Est $205k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Charming duplex located in Buffalo’s Lovejoy neighborhood, offering space, character, and versatility! This over 100-year-old home features beautiful natural woodwork, classic arched doorways, and a welcoming large front porch. The front unit is expansive, offering 4 bedrooms (all upstairs, including one especially large bedroom), a full bath, living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and a bonus room—perfect for additional living or office space. The rear unit features a spacious layout with a large kitchen and living room with built in bookshelves, full bath, and 2 bedrooms upstairs plus a loft-style bonus space for added flexibility. The property also includes a carport and a

Key facts

  • Natural woodwork
  • Large front porch
  • Arched doorways

Tags

NATURAL WOODWORKARCHED DOORWAYSLARGE FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LAYOUTBUILT IN BOOKSHELVESLOFT-STYLE BONUS SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: other / see remarks; Rent includes: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking area; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric system with fuses
  • Home design: 2-story multi-family (2-unit) residence; Resale property; Residential 2-unit zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens in both units; Formal dining room in one unit
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies by room
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Hot water heat
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork; Varied flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $656/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,973/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
16.80%
Cash-on-cash
37.53%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
53 Gold St 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,412 (-6%) 11mo $170,000 $70 71
402 Shanley St 0.31mi 6/2.0 2,748 (+7%) 11mo $200,000 $73 64
153 Ideal St 0.35mi 6/2.5 2,390 (-7%) 10mo $141,500 $59 62
217 Benzinger St 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,508 (-2%) 21mo $170,000 $68 62
1047 E Lovejoy St 0.46mi 6/2.0 2,640 (+3%) 15mo $220,000 $83 61
45 N Ogden St 0.10mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,712 (+6%) 20mo $223,000 $82 60
136 Longnecker St 0.42mi 6/2.0 2,705 (+5%) 14mo $195,000 $72 60
55 N Ogden St Unit E 0.09mi 6/2.0 2,184 (-15%) 14mo $220,000 $101 60
361 Ludington St 0.01mi 6/2.5 2,209 (-14%) 21mo $258,000 $117 57
317 Gold St 0.49mi 6/2.0 2,497 (-3%) 22mo $215,100 $86 54
965 E Lovejoy St 0.63mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,696 (+5%) 17mo $150,000 $56 43
1514 William St 0.73mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-14%) 4mo $175,000 $80 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$145,965
Equity at exit
$114,479
10-year hold
IRR
45.6%
Equity multiple
9.61×
Total profit
$361,494
Equity at exit
$227,810

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14206

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,973 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$624
Net cashflow
$1,313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 51%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,973

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,676
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,854
− Management
−$2,854
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$14,212
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,411
After-tax cash flow
$12,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,631
Household income
$50,450
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
841.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.06%
Current HPI
457.3935
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $261 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…