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37748 Markland Ave
B- Composite 65.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$91,500

37748 Markland Ave · Zephyrhills West, FL 33542
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1969 4,250 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.

Key facts

  • Upgraded widows
  • Renovated
  • Asphalt driveway

Tags

OWN YOUR LANDNO HOA FEESRENOVATEDUPGRADED WIDOWSUPGRADED ELECTRICASPHALT DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exemption indicated; Zoned RMH; Property listed as unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No association indicated; No lease restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 car)
  • Utilities: Private water source; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-wide mobile home; Residential property type; One story; Faces north
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Concrete foundation; Completed condition; Approximately 2006 square feet building area source indicates owner (building area total 720)
  • Exterior features: Located within city limits; Street is a dead-end; Shed(s) on the property; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen and family room are combined; Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry room located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: West Zephyrhills Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 615 students, 81% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $633 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $92k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,755 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.72%
Cash-on-cash
15.82%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$3,397
Equity at exit
$13,643
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$17,956
Equity at exit
$7,911

Cash invested: $25,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33542

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,106 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$480
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $214/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $678
Max offer price $91,500
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,875
Closing costs
$2,745
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38706 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 445 $974 $2.19 16d 2 1.39mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $91,500 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $91,500 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $91,500 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $91,500 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $91,500 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    remarks 520-char remark
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $91,500 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,500 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,500 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $92,500 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $92,500 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,500 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,500 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,500 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-17
    listed $92,500 Active
  16. 2020-12-11
    soldstatus $44,000 Sold 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.

  17. 2020-12-01
    status Pending 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.

  18. 2020-11-24
    listed $39,900 Active 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (461 chars)

    HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.

  19. 2015-10-02
    soldstatus $34,500
  20. 2015-10-01
    soldstatus $34,500 Sold 61-char remark
    Show marketing remark (61 chars)

    Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in

  21. 2015-05-15
    status Pending 61-char remark
    Show marketing remark (61 chars)

    Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in

  22. 2015-05-12
    historical 61-char remark
    Show marketing remark (61 chars)

    Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in

  23. 2015-05-06
    status Pending 61-char remark
    Show marketing remark (61 chars)

    Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in

  24. 2015-05-06
    price $36,500 61-char remark
    Show marketing remark (61 chars)

    Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in

  25. 2015-05-06
    listed $34,500 Active 61-char remark
    Show marketing remark (61 chars)

    Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in

  26. 2008-05-01
    soldstatus $40,000
  27. 2007-12-03
    soldstatus $22,000
  28. 2007-06-26
    listed $24,900
  29. 2006-10-25
    listed $32,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$214 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$759 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$546/yr (+$45/mo · 255.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,267
− Mortgage interest
−$5,125
− Property taxes
−$214
− Insurance
−$458
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,061
− Management
−$1,061
− Depreciation
−$2,662
Taxable income
$2,686
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$645
After-tax cash flow
$3,407/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Zephyrhills West

Score
61/100
State rank
#772
US rank
#17403

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Zephyrhills West, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,612
Household income
$49,316
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
831.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.25%
Current HPI
313.3993
Rent YoY
▼ -3.56%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $92,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-11 Sold (MLS) $44,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-24 Listed $39,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
  • 2015-10-01 Sold (MLS) $34,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-12 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-06 Price Changed $36,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-06 Listed $34,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2007-12-03 Sold (MLS) $22,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-26 Listed $24,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-25 Listed $32,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $214 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…