37748 Markland Ave · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$91,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.
Key facts
- Upgraded widows
- Renovated
- Asphalt driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exemption indicated; Zoned RMH; Property listed as unfurnished
- HOA & community: No association indicated; No lease restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 car)
- Utilities: Private water source; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; Residential property type; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Concrete foundation; Completed condition; Approximately 2006 square feet building area source indicates owner (building area total 720)
- Exterior features: Located within city limits; Street is a dead-end; Shed(s) on the property; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen and family room are combined; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry room located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: West Zephyrhills Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 615 students, 81% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $633 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $92k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.82%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,397
- Equity at exit
- $13,643
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $17,956
- Equity at exit
- $7,911
Cash invested: $25,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33542
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,106 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$480
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $214/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,875
- Closing costs
- $2,745
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38706 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 445 | $974 | $2.19 | 16d | 2 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $91,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $91,500 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $91,500 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $91,500 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $91,500 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-09remarks 520-char remark
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2026-06-09pricedays on market $91,500 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $92,500 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $92,500 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $92,500 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $92,500 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $92,500 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $92,500 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $92,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-17$92,500 Active
-
2020-12-11soldstatus $44,000 Sold 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.
-
2020-12-01status Pending 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.
-
2020-11-24$39,900 Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
HAPPY PLACE TO ENJOY ON A BUDGET. 2 bedrooms, bath with walk-in shower, screen room, storage room and nice grilling area in backyard under the shade. This home has a roof- over and has newer kitchen cabinets & counter top. Newer, dark laminate floors in living room & kitchen area. A few touch ups here and there and the remodel will be finished. Excellent location with easy access to restaurants. Being Sold as is with the Buyers right in inspect.
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2015-10-02soldstatus $34,500
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2015-10-01soldstatus $34,500 Sold 61-char remark
Show marketing remark (61 chars)
Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in
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2015-05-15status Pending 61-char remark
Show marketing remark (61 chars)
Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in
-
2015-05-12historical 61-char remark
Show marketing remark (61 chars)
Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in
-
2015-05-06status Pending 61-char remark
Show marketing remark (61 chars)
Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in
-
2015-05-06price $36,500 61-char remark
Show marketing remark (61 chars)
Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in
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2015-05-06$34,500 Active 61-char remark
Show marketing remark (61 chars)
Great Location , Needs Repairs, Sold as is condition Close in
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2008-05-01soldstatus $40,000
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2007-12-03soldstatus $22,000
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2007-06-26$24,900
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2006-10-25$32,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $214 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $759 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$45/mo · 255.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,267
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,125
- − Property taxes
- −$214
- − Insurance
- −$458
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,061
- − Management
- −$1,061
- − Depreciation
- −$2,662
- Taxable income
- $2,686
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zephyrhills West, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,612
- Household income
- $49,316
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 831.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.25%
- Current HPI
- 313.3993
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.56%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+181.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $92,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-11 Sold (MLS) $44,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-24 Listed $39,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
- 2015-10-01 Sold (MLS) $34,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-12 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-06 Price Changed $36,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-06 Listed $34,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2007-12-03 Sold (MLS) $22,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-26 Listed $24,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-25 Listed $32,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $214 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…