Multi-family
411 James St · Utica, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Key facts
- 2,555 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units; Two electric meters; Four separate gas meters
- Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Operating expenses include water/sewer; One unit currently rented at $950/month
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (see remarks)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story multifamily property; Resale property; Aluminum and vinyl siding (see remarks)
- Construction: Built (existing); Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigerator; Unit 1: dining area with kitchen; Unit 2: dining area with living room
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit has 3 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bath and 1 half bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Radiator heating
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Each unit includes washer and dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($926 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $134k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.62%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $271,696
- List price
- $134,000
- Delta
- -50.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1534 Brinckerhoff Ave | 0.13mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,044 (-4%) | 1mo | $158,000 | $77 | 82 |
| 1559 Taylor Ave | 0.10mi | 6/2.0 | 2,304 (+8%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $87 | 76 |
| 1529 Dudley Ave | 0.12mi | 6/2.0 | 2,194 (+3%) | 21mo | $55,000 | $25 | 71 |
| 1681 West St | 0.36mi | 6/2.0 | 2,216 (+4%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $90 | 58 |
| 1418 Brinckerhoff Ave | 0.27mi | 6/2.0 | 2,406 (+13%) | 9mo | $105,001 | $44 | 58 |
| 1539 Brinckerhoff Ave | 0.13mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,412 (+13%) | 17mo | $179,900 | $75 | 53 |
| 141 Eagle St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,193 (+3%) | 6mo | $36,500 | $17 | 52 |
| 504 Arthur St | 0.27mi | 6/3.0 | 2,288 (+8%) | 24mo | $130,000 | $57 | 51 |
| 1415 Elm St | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,260 (+6%) | 19mo | $90,000 | $40 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.09×
- Total profit
- $116,018
- Equity at exit
- $120,718
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.20×
- Total profit
- $307,763
- Equity at exit
- $260,333
Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13501
- Home prices YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,933 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$703
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $676
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $752 | -5% $714 | +0% $676 | +5% $638 | +10% $600 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $523 | -5% $600 | +0% $676 | +5% $752 | +10% $829 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $743 | -0.5pp $710 | base $676 | +0.5pp $641 | +1.0pp $606 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,500
- Closing costs
- $4,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-13$134,000 Active
-
2023-11-17historical
-
2023-05-17$119,000 Active
-
2023-05-15historical
-
2022-11-15$119,000 Active
-
2021-04-06historical
-
2021-01-05$57,900
-
2006-12-04soldstatus $85,000
-
2005-09-01historical
-
2005-03-05$59,900
-
2003-11-04soldstatus $30,000
-
1998-03-11historical
-
1997-10-11$29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,110 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,687 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$577/yr (+$48/mo · 52.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,506
- − Property taxes
- −$1,110
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,856
- − Management
- −$1,856
- − Depreciation
- −$3,898
- Taxable income
- $6,300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,512
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,931
- Household income
- $52,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.28%
- Current HPI
- 382.3726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+362.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $134,000 CNYIS
- 2023-11-17 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2023-05-17 Listed $119,000 CNYIS
- 2023-05-15 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2022-11-15 Listed $119,000 CNYIS
- 2021-04-06 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2021-01-05 Listed $57,900 CNYIS
- 2006-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-01 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2005-03-05 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
- 2003-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-11 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 1997-10-11 Listed $29,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,110 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…