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58 Jeb Stuart Ln
B Composite 73.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

58 Jeb Stuart Ln · Falling Waters, WV 25403
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily · 170 Days on market
Built 1986 1,000 sqft lot Est $73k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Completely remodeled mobile home for sale in the Rocky Glen mobile home community just minutes from all the convenancies in Spring Mills West Virginia The home had three bedrooms two baths and has been completely remodeled New lvp flooring though out New updated kitchen with brand new cabinets new kitchen sink new countertops and a new breakfast bar installed Home comes with all appliances Refrigerator stove microwave washer & dryer All new light fixtures throughout the entire house all new electrical switches and plugs were installed Brand new remodeled bathroom with new tub new shower surround a new vanity sink and a new mirror were installed New Ceiling fans in all 3 bedrooms a

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • New ceiling fans
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

REMODELED MOBILE HOMEUPDATED KITCHENREMODELED BATHROOMNEW LIGHT FIXTURESNEW CEILING FANSVINYL INSULATED WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: House
  • Construction: Approximately 950 sq ft living area
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1,000 sq ft lot

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 4.0% in Falling Waters — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 255 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.76%
Cap rate
24.13%
Cash-on-cash
63.70%
DSCR
3.83
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$73,150
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
606 Fancy Filly Cir 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 975 (+3%) 10mo $75,000 $77 67
164 Appomattox Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 858 (-10%) 16mo $48,000 $56 65
527 Fancy Filly Cir 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+5%) 20mo $106,000 $106 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.8%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$47,522
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
63.6%
Equity multiple
7.39×
Total profit
$116,306
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25403

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,792 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$911

Break-even live

Break-even rent $639
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 167 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 164 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 162 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 161 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 160 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 159 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 151 DOM
  15. 2025-12-30
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,498
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$992
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,720
− Management
−$1,720
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$10,560
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,534
After-tax cash flow
$8,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berkeley County Schools
NCES district ID
5400060
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$54,599
Composite
26.16/100
National rank
#7273
State rank
#24 of 55 in WV

Livability — Falling Waters

Score
66/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#12314

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Berkeley County · 85,235 people
City population
13,201
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
16,470
Household income
$87,512
Rent vs Own
18.6% rent · 81.4% own
Severe rent burden
120.0

Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,359 people
By 2030
134,684 · +5.8%
By 2040
148,219 · +16.4%
By 2050
159,300 · +25.1%
By 2075
179,920 · +41.3%
By 2100
183,896 · +44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.8) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -35.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.8 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.15%
Current HPI
190.9235
Rent YoY
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $65,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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