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806 Nys Route 22
B- Composite 69.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

806 Nys Route 22 · Westport, NY 12993
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 363 Days on market
Built 1900 0.50 ac lot Est $179k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Part of our Heritage Collection. Fixer-Upper Opportunity in Historic Wadhams, NY. This 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom center hall Colonial built in 1900 sits on a beautiful half-acre lot with a one car detached garage in the charming hamlet of Wadhams, NY. Perfect for a handyman, investor, or house flipper. It is perfectly livable, so you can renovate a room at a time, if you wish. The home has a newer oil hot water boiler and a 2 year old oil tank, plus a hot air wood furnace. The foundation is rock solid, and it has municipal water and sewer. The home offers a classic layout with spacious rooms and great bones. The exterior and interior needs paint, including on the good metal roof, and the interi

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Two covered porches
  • Spacious living room

Tags

FULL EQUIPPED KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMTWO COVERED PORCHESDIRECT ACCESS TO PARKDIRECT ACCESS TO BOUQUET RIVER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Total of 7 parking spaces; Attached garage (faces rear) with workshop — 1 garage space; On-site open parking pad with 6 open spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected with 200+ amp service and circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Property listed as fixer condition
  • Construction: Clapboard frame construction with batt insulation; Metal roof; Block and stone foundation; Built above grade with finished area
  • Exterior features: Multiple covered porches (front, rear, side) including a screened porch; Sloped, mostly private lot with few trees; State road frontage on paved/asphalt road; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Linoleum; Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Wood heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Built-in storage; Double-pane windows with wood frames
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in basement; Full, unfinished basement with interior and exterior entry (concrete)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#777 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 363 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $135k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 363 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.57%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$178,752
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24 Decker Rd 0.20mi 5/2.5 2,052 (-4%) 15mo $173,040 $84 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$52,207
Equity at exit
$87,001
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
4.82×
Total profit
$144,422
Equity at exit
$159,647

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12993

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,469 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,649/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,247
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $252 -5% $214 +0% $175 +5% $137 +10% $99
Rent -10% $59 -5% $117 +0% $175 +5% $233 +10% $291
Rate -1.0pp $243 -0.5pp $210 base $175 +0.5pp $140 +1.0pp $105

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $135,000 Pending 363 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 361 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 360 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 359 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 358 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 356 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 355 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 352 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 351 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 350 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 349 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 346 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 345 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 344 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 343 DOM
  16. 2025-08-20
    price $135,000
  17. 2025-06-22
    listed $145,000 Active
  18. 2024-09-19
    price $145,000
  19. 2005-10-17
    soldstatus $45,000
  20. 1997-08-21
    soldstatus $41,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,649 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,649 · $221/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,625
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,649
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$8
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2
After-tax cash flow
$2,106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Westport

Score
64/100
State rank
#777
US rank
#14817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,730

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,758 people
By 2030
35,697 · -2.9%
By 2040
32,697 · -11.0%
By 2050
29,248 · -20.4%
By 2075
22,641 · -38.4%
By 2100
16,602 · -54.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Serbian 8% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Essex

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+5.0 2016: R+3.4 2012: D+15.0 2008: D+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
322.8909
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+225.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $135,000 ACVMLS
  • 2025-06-22 Listed $145,000 ACVMLS
  • 2024-09-19 Price Changed $145,000 ACVMLS
  • 2005-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1997-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,649 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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