1231 Pennsylvania Ave · Miami Beach, FL 33139

$259,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 675 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market

Built 1965 Good condition $768/mo HOA · 21% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.7/30.0
• 1% rule +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Appreciation +3.9/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0

Listing remarks

Rare opportunity in the heart of South Beach! Bright and spacious 1 bedroom with den, assigned parking, in-unit washer & dryer, and a full kitchen — a major advantage compared to many South Beach studios with only kitchenettes. Functional layout with flexible den space ideal for a home office or guest area. Just blocks from Lincoln Road, Española Way, Flamingo Park, and only minutes from the beach. Enjoy being surrounded by top restaurants, cafés, shopping, nightlife, and everything that makes Miami Beach living unique. Excellent investor opportunity with tenant in place through June 2027 paying $2000/month, providing immediate rental income and an estimated 4,5%

Key facts

• Full kitchen
• In-unit washer
• Assigned parking

Tags

• ASSIGNED PARKING
• IN-UNIT WASHER
• FULL KITCHEN
• FLEXIBLE DEN SPACE
• BLOCKS FROM LINCOLN ROAD
• MINUTES FROM THE BEACH

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $768

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; 1 covered parking space; 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-story; Faces west; Effective year built
• Construction: Block construction; Concrete roof
• Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
• Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Wood
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Dining area; Den; Second floor entry; Bathtub with shower; Bedroom on main level
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-338/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (1.6% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $259k).
• Recommended offer: $255k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 1208 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,742/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 4052% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $254,929 (1.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.59%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.19% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.38×
• Total profit: $-45,031
• Equity at exit: $48,092

10-year hold

• IRR: -18.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.00×
• Total profit: $-72,824
• Equity at exit: $39,013

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33139

• Home prices YoY: -0.8%
• Rents YoY: -0.4%
• Active inventory: 1208
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,742 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,358
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
• Insurance: −$108
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$768
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$786
• Net cashflow: $-28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,778

Max offer price $254,929

Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $64,750
• Closing costs: $7,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1602 Meridian Ave Miami Beach, FL	4.0	1.0–3.0	917	$6,932	$7.56	14d	1	0.47mi
2201 Collins Ave Miami Beach, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1121	$22,000	$19.62	24d	2	1.10mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $768 · $9,216/yr
• Likely covers: parking

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-20
   listed $259,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $44,906
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,508
• − Property taxes: −$3,885
• − Insurance: −$6,414
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,592
• − Management: −$3,592
• − HOA: −$9,216
• − Depreciation: −$7,535
• Taxable loss: −$3,836
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$921
• After-tax cash flow: $583/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This property is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to the kitchen and bathroom. It offers a great investment opportunity with a tenant in place and immediate rental income.

Repairs flagged

• Moderate kitchen cabinets — Appears dated and could benefit from an update.
• Moderate bathroom fixtures — Appears dated and could benefit from an update.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Kitchen renovation — Updating the kitchen will enhance both resale and rental value.
• Both Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathroom will enhance both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
kitchen cabinets · Appears dated and could benefit from an update.	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · Appears dated and could benefit from an update.	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$6,000–30,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Kitchen renovation — Updating the kitchen will enhance both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathroom will enhance both resale and rental value. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami Beach

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #108
• US rank: #1672

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment B Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Miami Beach, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• City population: 90,533
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,753
• Household income: $69,793
• Rent vs Own: 62.8% rent · 37.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 4052.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 51% White 40% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 15% Salvadoran 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 56% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 37% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -2.19%
• Current HPI: 277.9321
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.36%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $259,000 MARMLS