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1231 Pennsylvania Ave
C Composite 56.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$259,000

1231 Pennsylvania Ave · Miami Beach, FL 33139
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 675 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1965 Good condition 1-car garage $384/sqft · 31% below area Est $377k · 31% under $768/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rare opportunity in the heart of South Beach! Bright and spacious 1 bedroom with den, assigned parking, in-unit washer & dryer, and a full kitchen — a major advantage compared to many South Beach studios with only kitchenettes. Functional layout with flexible den space ideal for a home office or guest area. Just blocks from Lincoln Road, Española Way, Flamingo Park, and only minutes from the beach. Enjoy being surrounded by top restaurants, cafés, shopping, nightlife, and everything that makes Miami Beach living unique.

Key facts

  • Full kitchen
  • In-unit washer
  • Assigned parking

Tags

ASSIGNED PARKINGIN-UNIT WASHERFULL KITCHENFLEXIBLE DEN SPACEBLOCKS FROM LINCOLN ROADMINUTES FROM THE BEACH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-484 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (27.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 0.6% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Miami Beach Feinberg/Fisher K-8 (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,144 statewide, top 79%, 842 students, 61% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); Miami Beach Senior High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 2,175 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 64% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 1748 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 50d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,166/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,023 (27.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$377,293
List price
$259,000
Delta
-31.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
740 Meridian Ave #11 0.42mi 2/2.0 (+1) 671 (-1%) 0mo $370,000 $551 70
500 14th St #101 0.13mi 1/1.0 543 (-20%) 0mo $165,000 $304 69
1100 West Ave #1101 0.59mi 1/1.0 700 (+4%) 0mo $360,000 $514 66
1601 West Ave #101 0.65mi 1/1.0 691 (+2%) 0mo $400,000 $579 65
1025 Alton Rd #602 0.46mi 1/1.5 730 (+8%) 1mo $325,000 $445 62
750 Collins Ave #306 0.39mi 2/1.0 (+1) 612 (-9%) 1mo $343,000 $560 61
1200 West Ave #1101 0.57mi 1/1.0 609 (-10%) 0mo $275,000 $452 57
1500 Bay Rd Unit 1244s 0.69mi 1/1.0 731 (+8%) 0mo $508,000 $695 54
1500 Bay Rd #364 0.71mi 1/1.0 731 (+8%) 0mo $510,000 $698 53
225 Collins Ave Unit 5J 0.82mi 1/1.0 723 (+7%) 1mo $685,000 $947 53
2555 Collins Ave #1714 1.35mi 1/1.5 798 (+18%) 0mo $850,000 $1,065 38
1800 Sunset Harbour Dr #2109 1.03mi 1/1.5 800 (+18%) 1mo $698,000 $873 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.19% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.3%
Equity multiple
0.00×
Total profit
$-72,358
Equity at exit
$48,092
10-year hold
IRR
-37.3%
Equity multiple
-0.76×
Total profit
$-127,479
Equity at exit
$39,013

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
11 active · 5 under contract
Median asking
$2,600 ($4/sqft)
Median days on market
1 d
This list price
100% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+14258.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33139

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
1748
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,166 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax est. 1.5%
$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
Insurance
$108
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$768
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$665
Net cashflow
$-484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,778
Max offer price $189,023
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-305 -5% $-394 +0% $-484 +5% $-573 +10% $-663
Rent -10% $-734 -5% $-609 +0% $-484 +5% $-359 +10% $-234
Rate -1.0pp $-353 -0.5pp $-418 base $-484 +0.5pp $-551 +1.0pp $-619

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1602 Meridian Ave Miami Beach, FL 4.0 1.0–3.0 917 $6,932 $7.56 110d 1 0.47mi
1508 Bay Rd Miami Beach, FL 5.0 1.0–5.0 2535 $7,236 $2.85 0d 42 0.69mi
2201 Collins Ave Miami Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1121 $22,000 $19.62 120d 2 1.10mi
2201 Collins Ave Miami Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1232 $19,000 $15.42 36d 3 1.10mi
2201 Collins Ave Miami Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1232 $21,500 $17.45 50d 3 1.10mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Monthly association fee of $768

Exterior

Parking
Driveway1 covered parking space1-car garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
Single-storyFaces westEffective year built
Construction
Block constructionConcrete roof
Exterior features
BalconyOpen balcony/porch

Interior

Kitchen
Gas rangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
Bedroom on main level
Flooring
Ceramic tileHardwoodWood
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Electric coolingCeiling fan(s)
Interior features
Dining areaDenSecond floor entryBathtub with showerBedroom on main level
Laundry & utility
Gas water heater

HOA detail $768/mo · $9,216/yr

Likely covers
parking

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    listed $259,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,987
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$3,885
− Insurance
−$6,414
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,039
− Management
−$3,039
− HOA
−$9,216
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$9,648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,315
After-tax cash flow
$-3,488/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $3,375–$10,125 screening

This property is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to the kitchen and bathroom. It offers a great investment opportunity with a tenant in place and immediate rental income.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — Appears dated and could benefit from an update.
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — Appears dated and could benefit from an update.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Kitchen renovation — Updating the kitchen will enhance both resale and rental value.
  • Both Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathroom will enhance both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 41/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Miami Beach Feinberg/fisher K-8 F FL #1,684/2,144 Nat'l #22,764/41,679 Middle Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School C+ FL #217/571 Nat'l #3,033/14,009 High Miami Beach Senior High School F FL #386/667 Nat'l #9,639/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 80/100

Livability — Miami Beach

Score
80/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#1672

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment B Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
City population
90,533
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,753
Household income
$69,793
Rent vs Own
62.8% rent · 37.2% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 40% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 15% Salvadoran 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
56% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
37% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $259,000 MARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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