7753 Paddington Dr · Normandy, MO 63121

$110,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1955 7,840 sqft lot Est $88k · 25% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.6/30.0
• DSCR +7.3/10.0
• 1% rule +5.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Introducing 7753 Paddington Drive, a tenant-occupied investment opportunity offering immediate cash flow and strong rental potential in a convenient St. Louis County location. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home currently generates $1,339/month in rental income, making it a valuable addition to any investor’s portfolio. Offering approximately 999 square feet of living space, the home features a functional single-level layout designed for comfort and long-term tenant appeal. Inside, the property offers spacious living areas with wood flooring throughout the main living room and bedrooms, creating a warm and durable interior finish. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and prep space, while the p

Key facts

• Wood flooring
• 7,840 sq ft lot
• Garage

Tags

• STRONG RENTAL POTENTIAL
• FUNCTIONAL SINGLE LEVEL LAYOUT
• SPACIOUS LIVING AREAS
• WOOD FLOORING
• AMPLE CABINET AND PREP SPACE
• PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Living area listed as 999 (public records)
• Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available; Sewer available
• Home design: Single-family residential home; One level
• Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on the main level)
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Partially finished basement; Ceiling fans

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
• Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#290 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
• Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Berkeley Elementary School (math 4% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,050 of 1,115 statewide, top 94%, 346 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 23 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $75k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $108,350 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.31%
• DSCR: 1.33
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $87,912
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
120 Bernhardt Ave	0.26mi	2/2.0	1,002 (+0%)	1mo	$74,900	$75	86
5520 Holborn Dr	0.27mi	2/2.0	1,032 (+3%)	3mo	$124,000	$120	80
5547 Holborn Dr	0.20mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,032 (+3%)	3mo	$69,900	$68	74
6016 Dupree Ave	0.46mi	2/1.0	1,020 (+2%)	3mo	$34,900	$34	68
5614 Sanborn Dr	0.10mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,120 (+12%)	1mo	$104,999	$94	65
5616 Parchester Dr	0.21mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,102 (+10%)	1mo	$84,900	$77	63
6188 Dupree Ave	0.65mi	3/1.5 (+1)	972 (-3%)	4mo	$75,000	$77	54
4723 N Hills Ln	0.74mi	3/2.0 (+1)	965 (-3%)	0mo	$85,000	$88	54
5633 Parchester Dr	0.20mi	3/1.0 (+1)	864 (-14%)	7mo	$79,900	$92	53
7601 Bermuda Ct	0.46mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,092 (+9%)	6mo	$165,000	$151	53
5300 Bermuda Dr	0.49mi	2/1.0	875 (-12%)	5mo	$45,000	$51	48
5545 Norway Dr	0.50mi	2/1.0	1,148 (+15%)	0mo	$119,900	$104	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.89×
• Total profit: $-3,250
• Equity at exit: $16,401

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.77×
• Total profit: $23,835
• Equity at exit: $9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63121

• Rents YoY: 5.2%
• Active inventory: 23
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,157 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$577
• Tax from tax record: −$104 /mo · $1,249/yr
• Insurance: −$46
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$243
• Net cashflow: $188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $920

Max offer price $110,000

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $27,500
• Closing costs: $3,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7816 Dartmoor Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	950	$1,195	$1.26	43d	1	0.01mi
5900 Sheriton Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	864	$1,050	$1.22	23d	1	0.14mi
5830 Bermuda Dr Unit 30B St. Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	900	$895	$0.99	23d	1	0.18mi
5830 Bermuda Dr Unit 34C St. Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	850	$895	$1.05	43d	1	0.18mi
5925 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	951	$1,200	$1.26	43d	1	0.21mi
7733 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	656	$1,090	$1.66	23d	1	0.36mi
204 Hawkesbury Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	849	$1,250	$1.47	4d	1	0.58mi
6188 Dupree Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.5	972	$1,300	$1.34	43d	1	0.63mi
6180 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	729	$1,300	$1.78	43d	1	0.65mi
26 Arbor Village Ct Ferguson, MO	1.0–2.0	1.0	714	$950	$1.33	23d	1	0.78mi
8408 Hill Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1040	$1,550	$1.49	23d	1	0.81mi
617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	877	$1,200	$1.37	43d	1	0.86mi
801 Thomas Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	864	$1,350	$1.56	43d	1	0.86mi
12 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	832	$1,080	$1.30	7d	1	0.89mi
223 Wiegel Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	864	$1,560	$1.81	12d	1	0.90mi
806 Marvin Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	726	$1,100	$1.52	43d	1	0.95mi
110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	875	$1,050	$1.20	7d	1	0.96mi
5300 Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	840	$1,295	$1.54	23d	1	0.98mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,200	$1.09	43d	1	1.02mi
296 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	960	$1,550	$1.61	14d	1	1.06mi
222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	964	$1,400	$1.45	7d	1	1.08mi
5600 Gatesworth Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	672	$1,095	$1.63	4d	1	1.10mi
7420 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	952	$1,250	$1.31	21d	1	1.13mi
249 S Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	960	$1,220	$1.27	23d	1	1.14mi
7414 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	768	$1,100	$1.43	43d	1	1.15mi
246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1036	$1,600	$1.54	43d	1	1.16mi
7516 Chandler Ave Saint Louis, MO	1.0	1.0	728	$1,000	$1.37	43d	1	1.17mi
7431 Esterbrook Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	792	$1,350	$1.70	43d	1	1.18mi
5613 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	864	$1,300	$1.50	4d	1	1.18mi
709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	975	$1,400	$1.44	43d	1	1.19mi
227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	960	$1,500	$1.56	43d	1	1.22mi
5636 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO	1.0	1.0	777	$1,200	$1.54	23d	1	1.22mi
360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	936	$925	$0.99	43d	1	1.22mi
450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1040	$1,200	$1.15	23d	1	1.24mi
519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	887	$1,297	$1.46	20d	1	1.24mi
7441 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1068	$1,350	$1.26	12d	1	1.25mi
7426 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,125	$1.02	17d	1	1.27mi
945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1110	$1,575	$1.42	43d	1	1.27mi
422 Plaza Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	792	$1,000	$1.26	7d	1	1.32mi
5500 Mable Ave Unit 5518 B4 St. Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	750	$835	$1.11	43d	1	1.36mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $110,000 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $110,000 Active 10 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 693-char remark
12. 2026-06-02
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,249 · $104/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,249 · $104/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,889
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,162
• − Property taxes: −$1,249
• − Insurance: −$550
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,111
• − Management: −$1,111
• − Depreciation: −$3,200
• Taxable income: $506
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$121
• After-tax cash flow: $2,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ferguson-Florissant R-II
• NCES district ID: 2912010
• Math proficiency: 7% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $44,610
• Composite: 11.96/100
• National rank: #9666
• State rank: #311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Normandy

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #290
• US rank: #13498

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Normandy, MO
• County: Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
• City population: 25,008
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 25,008
• Household income: $42,701
• Rent vs Own: 48.4% rent · 51.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1611.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,025,227 people
• By 2030: 1,028,023 · +0.3%
• By 2040: 1,020,940 · -0.4%
• By 2050: 1,007,280 · -1.8%
• By 2075: 987,277 · -3.7%
• By 2100: 921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 80% White 14% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -177.84%
• Current HPI: 100.4494
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.21%
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+46.7% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Listed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2003-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
• 1995-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1995-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1968-02-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,249 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.