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206 Watauga Ave
B Composite 71.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

206 Watauga Ave · Corning, NY 14830
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,650 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1927 8,040 sqft lot $103/sqft · 6% below area Est $181k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom home in a highly desirable area with off street parking! This property features a spacious 2-car detached garage and a welcoming large covered front porch- perfect for relaxing and enjoying the neighborhood. Inside, you'll find the convenience of first-floor laundry and the added value of hardwood floors hidden beneath the existing carpeting, ready to be revealed. Durable vinyl siding enhances the home's low-maintenance appeal. A fantastic opportunity to make this home your own!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Off street parking
  • Vinyl siding

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGDETACHED GARAGECOVERED FRONT PORCHFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYHARDWOOD FLOORSVINYL SIDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 8.0% in Corning — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#14 in NY, #334 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Corning City School District (town): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #406 of 590 in NY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: William E Severn Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 373 students, 55% FRL); Corning-Painted Post Middle School (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #480 of 729 statewide, top 66%, 962 students, 46% FRL); Corning-Painted Post High School (math 93% / reading 98%, grade A+, #82 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,463 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $164,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.69%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$180,761
List price
$169,900
Delta
-6.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
159 Watauga 0.11mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,677 (+2%) 15mo $162,000 $97 73
183 Columbia St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,586 (-4%) 12mo $132,000 $83 69
330 E Third St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,559 (-6%) 15mo $114,000 $73 63
107 E Second St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,769 (+7%) 8mo $132,000 $75 62
65 Glen Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,584 (-4%) 12mo $162,900 $103 58
273 E Third St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,452 (-12%) 12mo $150,000 $103 57
325 E 3rd St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-9%) 8mo $185,000 $123 55
335 East Market Ext St 0.54mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,520 (-8%) 2mo $30,000 $20 53
385 Watauga Avenue Ext 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,798 (+9%) 10mo $115,000 $64 51
104 W 5th St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,710 (+4%) 12mo $222,000 $130 48
241 Walnut St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,822 (+10%) 8mo $85,000 $47 47
110 W 5th St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,805 (+9%) 9mo $303,000 $168 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$9,654
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$56,541
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14830

Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,338 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,637/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$491
Net cashflow
$582

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,601
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $679 -5% $630 +0% $582 +5% $534 +10% $486
Rent -10% $398 -5% $490 +0% $582 +5% $675 +10% $767
Rate -1.0pp $668 -0.5pp $626 base $582 +0.5pp $538 +1.0pp $494

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
171 E 1st St Corning, NY 3.0 2.5 1569 $3,352 $2.14 45d 1 0.38mi
265 Denison Pkwy E Corning, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 910 $1,495 $1.64 45d 1 0.50mi
137 Field St Corning, NY 2.0–3.0 1.0 1125 $1,345 $1.20 45d 3 1.44mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    listed $169,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom home in a highly desirable area with off street parking! This property features a spacious 2-car detached garage and a welcoming large covered front porch- perfect for relaxing and enjoying the neighborhood. Inside, you'll find the convenience of first-floor laundry and the added value of hardwood floors hidden beneath the existing carpeting, ready to be revealed. Durable vinyl siding enhances the home's low-maintenance appeal. A fantastic opportunity to make this home your own!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,637 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,637 · $303/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,059
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$3,637
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,245
− Management
−$2,245
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$4,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,110
After-tax cash flow
$5,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corning City School District
NCES district ID
3608400
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$53,042
Composite
41.8/100
National rank
#3392
State rank
#406 of 590 in NY

Livability — Corning

Score
87/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#334

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A- Cost of living A Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corning, NY
County
Steuben County · 41,193 people
City population
19,015
Metro
Corning, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,015
Household income
$73,263
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
565.0

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.59%
Current HPI
173.9857
Rent YoY
Metro
Corning, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $169,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,637 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…