3216 Potter St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom established in John Barrow neighborhood. Perfect for investment property. City Utilities, no HOA. Near Bale Elementary.
Key facts
- City utilities
- Near bale elementary
- No hoa
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.11%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,322
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -20.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3417 Wynne St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+12%) | 5mo | $52,000 | $46 | 65 |
| 3703 Boyd St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,064 (+7%) | 5mo | $68,000 | $64 | 64 |
| 3500 Whitfield St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 876 (-12%) | 1mo | $84,900 | $97 | 63 |
| 8212 W 24th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,024 (+3%) | 7mo | $143,000 | $140 | 62 |
| 2901 Walker St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (+14%) | 6mo | $138,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 2701 Dorchester Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,081 (+8%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 4105 Zion St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 918 (-8%) | 3mo | $29,000 | $32 | 53 |
| 3700 Malloy St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,064 (+7%) | 4mo | $88,000 | $83 | 51 |
| 6815 W 34 St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,066 (+7%) | 6mo | $104,000 | $98 | 50 |
| 4007 Ludwig St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 876 (-12%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $74 | 44 |
| 3308 Holt St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+8%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $79 | 43 |
| 2112 Singleton Ct | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (+14%) | 4mo | $132,000 | $116 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $9,224
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $41,760
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,052 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $449/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3219 Potter St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $895 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 8 Utica Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1006 | $850 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3324 Tatum St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2412 Vancouver Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2017 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2015 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2011 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2009 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2007 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2005 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2003 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2001 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9024 W 37th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,075 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3219 Holt St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $950 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3510 S Bryant St Unit 50 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $995 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8901 Tanya Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $850 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8900 Tanya Dr Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $750 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8906 Morris Manor Dr Apt 6 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $825 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8906 Morris Manor Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 846 | $850 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9012 Tanya Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,045 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3107 Alameda Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,250 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 46 Glenmere Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1500 Parham Pointe Dr Little Rock, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 941 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 19d | 5 | 1.09mi |
| 9 Barbara Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1801 Labette Manor Dr Unit 1 Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1801 Labette Manor Dr Unit 7 Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 991 | $995 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3415 Town & Country Ave Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $675 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8700 Riley Dr Apt 626 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $3,850 | $3.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $75,000 Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$75,000 New Listing 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Charming 3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom established in John Barrow neighborhood. Perfect for investment property. City Utilities, no HOA. Near Bale Elementary.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $449 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $480 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$31/yr (+$3/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$449
- − Insurance
- −$1,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,010
- − Management
- −$1,010
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,603
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$625
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,010/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $75,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $449 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…