222 Miami St · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- 8,171 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: School bus service available
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 garage space); Asphalt driveway; One total parking space
- Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan and public; Sewer: Public sewer; Electric: Circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (property age ~71-80 years)
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions: 17 x 67 x 90 x 91 x 68 x 16
Interior
- Kitchen: Galley-style kitchen with eating area/table space; Wood laminate flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (12 x 11) with wood laminate flooring; Bedroom on main level (11 x 10) with wood laminate flooring; Bedroom on main level (10 x 8) with wood laminate flooring
- Flooring: Wood laminate flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished attic; Living and dining areas combined; Wood-burning stove in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 9.7% in Park Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $99k implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.72%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,997
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 Miami St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 974 (+2%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $111 | 87 |
| 254 Blackhawk Dr | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $105 | 77 |
| 310 Nassau St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 953 (0%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $135 | 76 |
| 316 Mohawk St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 949 (-0%) | 2mo | $141,000 | $149 | 75 |
| 314 Seminole St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 949 (-0%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $142 | 72 |
| 318 Minocqua St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 974 (+2%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $149 | 71 |
| 429 Natoma St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (+9%) | 0mo | $159,000 | $154 | 67 |
| 354 Marquette St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 973 (+2%) | 2mo | $131,000 | $135 | 63 |
| 223 S Orchard Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 949 (-0%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 434 Shabbona Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+15%) | 0mo | $177,900 | $163 | 58 |
| 425 Neosho St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+15%) | 0mo | $169,900 | $156 | 57 |
| 181 Nanti St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+15%) | 1mo | $179,999 | $165 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $40,956
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $109,142
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,998 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $894
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,971 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,000 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 1d | 11 | 1.09mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,570 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,795 | $1.98 | 1d | 19 | 1.23mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 7d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1021 | $1,365 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 944 | $1,360 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,360 | $1.54 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,325 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22419-109 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,310 | $1.64 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-04-13$109,900 Active
-
2025-09-26historical
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2025-09-26status Temporarily No Showings
-
2025-06-27historical
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2025-06-27status Temporarily No Showings
-
2025-05-12historical
-
2025-05-10price
-
2025-01-05Active
-
2015-01-09soldstatus $29,000 Closed Sale 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2014-12-05status Pending 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2014-11-20price $34,900 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2014-11-20price $30,000 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2014-09-24$39,900 New 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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1999-03-31soldstatus $73,000
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1983-02-01soldstatus $48,984
-
1981-07-01soldstatus $8,000
-
1979-10-29soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,979
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,918
- − Management
- −$1,918
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $9,737
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+144.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-27 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-12 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-10 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-05 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-09 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-05 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-20 Price Changed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-20 Price Changed $34,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-24 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1983-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,984 Public Records
- 1981-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 1979-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2023): $8,784 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…