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222 Miami St
B Composite 74.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

222 Miami St · Park Forest, IL 60466
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 953 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1951 8,171 sqft lot Est $142k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There are no remarks available.

Key facts

  • 8,171 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1951

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: School bus service available
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 garage space); Asphalt driveway; One total parking space
  • Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan and public; Sewer: Public sewer; Electric: Circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (property age ~71-80 years)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions: 17 x 67 x 90 x 91 x 68 x 16

Interior

  • Kitchen: Galley-style kitchen with eating area/table space; Wood laminate flooring
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (12 x 11) with wood laminate flooring; Bedroom on main level (11 x 10) with wood laminate flooring; Bedroom on main level (10 x 8) with wood laminate flooring
  • Flooring: Wood laminate flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished attic; Living and dining areas combined; Wood-burning stove in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 9.7% in Park Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $99k implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.13%
Cash-on-cash
38.72%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,997
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Miami St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 974 (+2%) 1mo $108,000 $111 87
254 Blackhawk Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (+5%) 2mo $105,000 $105 77
310 Nassau St 0.50mi 3/1.0 953 (0%) 1mo $129,000 $135 76
316 Mohawk St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 949 (-0%) 2mo $141,000 $149 75
314 Seminole St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 949 (-0%) 1mo $135,000 $142 72
318 Minocqua St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 974 (+2%) 1mo $145,000 $149 71
429 Natoma St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,035 (+9%) 0mo $159,000 $154 67
354 Marquette St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 973 (+2%) 2mo $131,000 $135 63
223 S Orchard Dr 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 949 (-0%) 0mo $105,000 $111 62
434 Shabbona Dr 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+15%) 0mo $177,900 $163 58
425 Neosho St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+15%) 0mo $169,900 $156 57
181 Nanti St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+15%) 1mo $179,999 $165 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$40,956
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
41.7%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$109,142
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,998 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$894

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
411 Huron St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,300 $2.11 24d 1 0.22mi
277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 3d 1 0.40mi
194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,971 $1.80 22d 1 0.65mi
235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,000 $1.83 24d 1 0.74mi
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,995 $1.94 1d 11 1.09mi
23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL 2.0 2.0 975 $1,570 $1.61 1d 1 1.19mi
3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,795 $1.98 1d 19 1.23mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 13d 1 1.32mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 7d 1 1.32mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 22d 1 1.32mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.5 1021 $1,365 $1.34 7d 1 1.39mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.5 944 $1,360 $1.44 7d 1 1.39mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 882 $1,360 $1.54 7d 1 1.39mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 882 $1,325 $1.50 7d 1 1.39mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22419-109 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 798 $1,310 $1.64 7d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    listed $109,900 Active
  15. 2025-09-26
    historical
  16. 2025-09-26
    status Temporarily No Showings
  17. 2025-06-27
    historical
  18. 2025-06-27
    status Temporarily No Showings
  19. 2025-05-12
    historical
  20. 2025-05-10
    price
  21. 2025-01-05
    listed Active
  22. 2015-01-09
    soldstatus $29,000 Closed Sale 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  23. 2014-12-05
    status Pending 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  24. 2014-11-20
    price $34,900 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  25. 2014-11-20
    price $30,000 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  26. 2014-09-24
    listed $39,900 New 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  27. 1999-03-31
    soldstatus $73,000
  28. 1983-02-01
    soldstatus $48,984
  29. 1981-07-01
    soldstatus $8,000
  30. 1979-10-29
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,979
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,918
− Management
−$1,918
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$9,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,337
After-tax cash flow
$8,397/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-26 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-26 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-27 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-27 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-12 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-05 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-09 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-05 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-20 Price Changed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-20 Price Changed $34,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-24 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 1983-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,984 Public Records
  • 1981-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 1979-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,784 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…