406 N Maple St · Darrouzett, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$102,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice, brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with shower only, lots of built in storage, spacious closets, updated flooring, storm cellar/basement, fenced yard, huge storage shed/shop.
Key facts
- Built in storage
- Fenced yard
- Spacious closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 72 x 140; Residential zoning (7000 series)
- HOA & community: Golf community feature
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Garage faces front; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces west
- Construction: Brick / brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in prior years
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas central heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#802 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Darrouzett ISD (rural): math 35% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #1,027 of 1,141 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($705 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Lipscomb County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.43%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $22,088
- Equity at exit
- $45,864
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $65,053
- Equity at exit
- $70,681
Cash invested: $28,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79024
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,156 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$535
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,189/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,500
- Closing costs
- $3,060
- Reserves months
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- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
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2026-06-18days on market $102,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $102,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $102,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $102,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $102,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $102,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $102,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $102,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $102,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $102,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $102,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-02remarks 185-char remark
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2026-06-02$102,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,189 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,189 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,714
- − Property taxes
- −$2,189
- − Insurance
- −$510
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,109
- − Management
- −$1,109
- − Depreciation
- −$2,967
- Taxable income
- $268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Darrouzett ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816320
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,234
- Composite
- 27.69/100
- National rank
- #12321
- State rank
- #1027 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Darrouzett
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #802
- US rank
- #14650
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Darrouzett, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 351
Population outlook (Lipscomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,045 people
- By 2030
- 4,275 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 4,723 · +16.8%
- By 2050
- 5,121 · +26.6%
- By 2075
- 5,959 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 6,040 · +49.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Lipscomb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.6) · D 9.8% · R 89.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -74.7pp · 2024: -79.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.6 2020: R+79.4 2016: R+77.5 2012: R+79.2 2008: R+74.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $102,000 AARMLS
- 2022-01-21 Listed $107,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,189 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…