14341 Delmar St · Dade City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$211,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home, or investment property. Already an income producing property. 2/1 with a den/office, indoor laundry and large dining room. Oversized fenced yard with beautiful mature trees and quiet corner lot close to parks, schools, major roads and downtown Dade City.
Key facts
- Flood zone x
- Fully fenced lot
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; Living area: 1,152 square feet
- Financial info: No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Security: Owned security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; BB/HS internet available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.21-acre lot
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Located within city limits; Sidewalk; Exterior lighting; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Family room; Inside utility
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $211k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (13.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.6% in Dade City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#307 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pasco Elementary School (math 29% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 586 students, 89% FRL); Pasco High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,639 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 667 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $211k implies a 539% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.68%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $279,936
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13924 Morgan St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-6%) | 15mo | $110,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 37720 Church Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 1,040 (-10%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $293 | 43 |
| 37515 Beauchamp Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+12%) | 2mo | $233,000 | $181 | 35 |
| 13814 Wilson St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 14mo | $157,500 | $122 | 34 |
| 13821 10th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 1,024 (-11%) | 16mo | $257,000 | $251 | 32 |
| 37950 Coleman Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,311 (+14%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $252 | 32 |
| 14734 11th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 988 (-14%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $243 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-25,826
- Equity at exit
- $31,461
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,790
- Equity at exit
- $18,243
Cash invested: $59,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33525
- Home prices YoY
- -15.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 667
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,825 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,107
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,391/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,750
- Closing costs
- $6,330
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13917 2nd St Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 37802 Whitehouse Ave Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,150 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 37540 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit A Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 13650 5th St Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 38714 Island Ave Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,695 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 37329 Magnolia Ave Unit 1234471P Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $3,391 | $2.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 14635 State St Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,761 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 13921 19th St Unit 1234474P Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $2,013 | $2.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $211,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $211,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $211,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $211,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $211,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $211,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $211,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $211,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $211,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $211,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $211,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $211,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $211,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$211,000 Active
-
2023-06-19historical
-
2016-03-08historical 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Great starter home, or investment property. Already an income producing property. 2/1 with a den/office, indoor laundry and large dining room. Oversized fenced yard with beautiful mature trees and quiet corner lot close to parks, schools, major roads and downtown Dade City.
-
2016-03-08soldstatus $33,000
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Great starter home, or investment property. Already an income producing property. 2/1 with a den/office, indoor laundry and large dining room. Oversized fenced yard with beautiful mature trees and quiet corner lot close to parks, schools, major roads and downtown Dade City.
-
2016-03-07soldstatus $33,000 Sold 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Great starter home, or investment property. Already an income producing property. 2/1 with a den/office, indoor laundry and large dining room. Oversized fenced yard with beautiful mature trees and quiet corner lot close to parks, schools, major roads and downtown Dade City.
-
2016-02-12status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Great starter home, or investment property. Already an income producing property. 2/1 with a den/office, indoor laundry and large dining room. Oversized fenced yard with beautiful mature trees and quiet corner lot close to parks, schools, major roads and downtown Dade City.
-
2015-11-30$40,000 Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Great starter home, or investment property. Already an income producing property. 2/1 with a den/office, indoor laundry and large dining room. Oversized fenced yard with beautiful mature trees and quiet corner lot close to parks, schools, major roads and downtown Dade City.
-
2014-10-20soldstatus $35,000 Sold 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
Short Sale . ..
-
2014-06-14status Pending 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
Short Sale . ..
-
2014-06-10historical 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
Short Sale . ..
-
2013-05-20$40,000 15-char remark
Show marketing remark (15 chars)
Short Sale . ..
-
2007-11-13$82,900
-
2007-04-12$82,900
-
2007-04-12historical
-
2006-10-11$99,900
-
2005-05-13soldstatus $82,500
-
2005-05-11soldstatus $82,500
-
2005-02-16$85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,391 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,751 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$360/yr (+$30/mo · 25.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,819
- − Property taxes
- −$1,391
- − Insurance
- −$1,055
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − Depreciation
- −$6,138
- Taxable loss
- −$2,003
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,062/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dade City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #307
- US rank
- #5215
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dade City, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 21,077
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,077
- Household income
- $69,068
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 322.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.48%
- Current HPI
- 358.2149
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+148.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $211,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-19 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2016-03-08 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-07 Sold (MLS) $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-11-30 Listed $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-20 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-20 Listed $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-13 Listed $82,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-12 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-12 Listed $82,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-11 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 2005-05-11 Sold (MLS) $82,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-16 Listed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,391 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…