Triplex
705 Tupper St · Santa Rosa, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$675,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This 1920s triplex offers a rare opportunity just minutes from downtown Santa Rosa. The property consists of two units within the main building, plus a cute detached cottage, providing flexible living and income options. The detached cottage has been owner-occupied for many years, offering privacy and charm, and may be ideal for extended family, guests, or additional rental income. The property would benefit from extensive updates to achieve full market rents, presenting a clear value-add opportunity. With below-market rents, this triplex is well suited for investors or owner-occupants seeking long-term upside. Its location near downtown Santa Rosa provides convenient access to restaurants,
Key facts
- 1920s duplex
- Separate adu
- 6,251 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: 3 total parking spaces; Detached carport
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property; Triplex
- Exterior features: Lot features: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; Two 2-bedroom units; One 1-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Free-standing electric range; Gas water heater; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $675k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($42k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $675k).
- Recommended offer: $594k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 2.5% in Santa Rosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#112 in CA, #3,940 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
- Santa Rosa High (urban): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #703 of 1,400 in CA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,039 units permitted in Sonoma County in 2024 (185 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,968/mo this rent would consume 113% of the median local household income ($105k/yr) (locally 1663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sonoma County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 599 days — a 12% lower offer ($594k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $379k; list at $675k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 599 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.36%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,023,120
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 838 Wheeler St | 0.23mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,484 (+2%) | 4mo | $1,050,000 | $423 | 74 |
| 710 - 712 Rae St | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,240 (-8%) | 14mo | $800,000 | $357 | 68 |
| 502 - 506 Sebastopol Ave | 0.33mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,459 (+1%) | 19mo | $730,000 | $297 | 62 |
| 525 A St | 0.66mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,465 (+1%) | 12mo | $880,000 | $357 | 48 |
| 900 Sonoma Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,260 (-7%) | 21mo | $950,000 | $420 | 48 |
| 748 Morgan St | 0.71mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,320 (-5%) | 14mo | $1,100,000 | $474 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $96,207
- Equity at exit
- $100,645
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $298,596
- Equity at exit
- $58,362
Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95404
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 16.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,968 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,540
- Tax from tax record
- −$532 /mo · $6,378/yr
- Insurance
- −$281
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,093
- Net cashflow
- $3,522
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,904 | -5% $3,713 | +0% $3,522 | +5% $3,331 | +10% $3,140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,735 | -5% $3,128 | +0% $3,522 | +5% $3,916 | +10% $4,310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,862 | -0.5pp $3,694 | base $3,522 | +0.5pp $3,347 | +1.0pp $3,169 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 5 | 3 | $9,969 |
| #1 | 5 | 3 | $3,323 |
| #2 | 5 | 3 | $3,323 |
| #3 | 5 | 3 | $3,323 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,968 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $168,750
- Closing costs
- $20,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19status $675,000 Active 599 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 599 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 598 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 597 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 596 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 594 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 593 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 591 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 590 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 589 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $675,000 Contingent (No Show) 588 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $675,000 Active 585 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $675,000 Active 584 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $675,000 Active 583 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $675,000 Active 582 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $675,000 Active 581 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $675,000 Active 580 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $675,000
-
2026-02-12price $700,000
-
2025-12-30price $750,000
-
2025-11-18price $777,000
-
2025-10-30price $785,000
-
2025-07-31price $795,000
-
2025-06-27price $830,000
-
2025-05-17price $849,000
-
2025-04-15price $875,000
-
2025-01-14price $899,000
-
2024-12-05price $950,000
-
2024-10-27$989,000 Active
-
2001-07-03soldstatus $379,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,378 · $532/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,378 · $532/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $119,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,810
- − Property taxes
- −$6,378
- − Insurance
- −$3,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,569
- − Management
- −$9,569
- − Depreciation
- −$19,636
- Taxable income
- $33,277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,987
- After-tax cash flow
- $34,280/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa High
- NCES district ID
- 0635830
- Math proficiency
- 31% —
- Reading proficiency
- 47% —
- Median HH income
- $62,000
- Composite
- 37.25/100
- National rank
- #8972
- State rank
- #703 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Santa Rosa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #3940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Rosa, CA
- County
- Sonoma County · 449,805 people
- City population
- 210,074
- Metro
- Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,011
- Household income
- $105,437
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1663.0
Population outlook (Sonoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 539,935 people
- By 2030
- 554,870 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 573,262 · +6.2%
- By 2050
- 580,715 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 579,229 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 547,835 · +1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sonoma
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.2) · D 71.4% · R 25.2% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 49.6pp · 2024: 46.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.2 2020: D+51.5 2016: D+47.9 2012: D+44.9 2008: D+49.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -797.65%
- Current HPI
- 244.7593
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.10%
- Metro
- Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+78.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $675,000 BAREIS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $700,000 BAREIS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $750,000 BAREIS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $777,000 BAREIS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $785,000 BAREIS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $795,000 BAREIS
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $830,000 BAREIS
- 2025-05-17 Price Changed $849,000 BAREIS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $875,000 BAREIS
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $899,000 BAREIS
- 2024-12-05 Price Changed $950,000 BAREIS
- 2024-10-27 Listed $989,000 BAREIS
- 2001-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $379,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,378 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…