6748 Old State Route 21 · Barnhart, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
Key facts
- 0.59 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces total; One-car garage; One-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected (single phase); Water connected
- Home design: Single-family attached house; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Board & batten siding
- Exterior features: Back yard; Cleared lot; Gentle sloping terrain; Chain link fencing; Panel and storm doors; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Built-in electric range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (18x13; 13x12; 11x11)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Fireplace in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer hookup; Utility room (15x11)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.1% in Barnhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#299 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Fox C-6 (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #103 of 324 in MO (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Antonia Elem. (math 43% / reading 56%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 482 students, 23% FRL); Seckman Sr. High (math 22% / reading 64%, grade F, #211 of 521 statewide, top 41%, 1,793 students, 18% FRL).
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.86%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-11,454
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $14,785
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63012
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5591 Old State Route 21 House Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 1d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $189,900 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $189,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27historical $189,900
-
2026-03-13soldstatus Closed 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2026-02-11status Pending 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2026-02-05historical Active Under Contract 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2026-01-27price $79,648 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2025-12-04price $84,626 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2025-11-04price $89,604 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2025-10-05price $94,582 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2025-09-05$99,560 Active 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2025-09-03historical $99,560 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This rambling ranch home on .59 ac is unique. It has several additions and enclosures making it 2039 sq ft and it has a style all to it's own. The original house is very rustic with knotty pine paneling on the walls and ceiling. Hardwood floors and that FP in the kitchen/dining area is a classic feature. It certainly gives you that cabin/rustic feeling inside.
-
2010-12-27soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,842 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$378/yr (+$31/mo · 25.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,464
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $576
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$138
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,509/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fox C-6
- NCES district ID
- 2912300
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,849
- Composite
- 37.54/100
- National rank
- #4392
- State rank
- #103 of 324 in MO
Livability — Barnhart
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #299
- US rank
- #13769
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,977
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,088 people
- By 2030
- 238,365 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 240,156 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 234,651 · -0.2%
- By 2075
- 214,569 · -8.7%
- By 2100
- 179,697 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.07%
- Current HPI
- 204.4918
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+90.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Coming Soon $189,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $79,648 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $84,626 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $89,604 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-05 Price Changed $94,582 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Listed $99,560 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Coming Soon $99,560 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,464 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…