2058 W 18th St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 2/1 with fenced yard. Great investment property. Must see to appreciate.
Key facts
- Public pools
- Parks
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.11 acres
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Exterior features: No private pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Ice maker
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Susie E. Tolbert Elementary School (math 34% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,962 of 2,144 statewide, top 92%, 248 students, 89% FRL); Lake Shore Middle School (math 25% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 972 students, 75% FRL); William M. Raines High School (math 14% / reading 13%, grade F, #616 of 667 statewide, top 92%, 1,217 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 49% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 334 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $100k implies a 1076% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 334 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.33%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,052
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2031 Danson St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+2%) | 6mo | $72,000 | $83 | 75 |
| 1751 W 20th St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+4%) | 2mo | $27,500 | $31 | 70 |
| 2208 W 17th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (+10%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $87 | 65 |
| 1753 W 12th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 827 (-2%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $54 | 63 |
| 2009 Almeda St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 889 (+5%) | 2mo | $43,000 | $48 | 62 |
| 1901 Pullman Ct | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 969 (+15%) | 0mo | $98,000 | $101 | 60 |
| 2133 W 15th St W | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+14%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $63 | 60 |
| 2173 W 14th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 936 (+11%) | 4mo | $111,500 | $119 | 60 |
| 3139 Marland St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 854 (+1%) | 5mo | $141,900 | $166 | 58 |
| 1717 W 29th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 802 (-5%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $52 | 54 |
| 3430 Gladys St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 923 (+9%) | 5mo | $62,500 | $68 | 51 |
| 3838 Penton St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+13%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $116 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-6,557
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,304
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32209
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2052 W 17th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $975 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 2604 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2040 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2169 W 14th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2134 Danson St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2134 Danson St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2116 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2100 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2210 Pullman Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,050 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1901 Pullman Ct Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,295 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2036 W 11th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 698 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2020 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1971 W 22nd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 7d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2000 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2016 McMillan St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $650 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2002 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 21d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 2004 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1968 W 23rd St Unit Main Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1845 W 13th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1824 W 14th St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $775 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2012 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2008 Palafox St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2312 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $650 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2310 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $600 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2306 Fairfax St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2306 Fairfax St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2345 W 15th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1934 Ella St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $1,095 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1776 Spires Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,125 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1842 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 933 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1923 Fairfax St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $835 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1721 Campus St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1830 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,375 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1645 W 23rd St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,275 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3516 Penton St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1863 W 29th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,190 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1593 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $922 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1737 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $700 | $0.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1839 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1625 W 26th St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2025-10-14status Active
-
2025-09-15historical
-
2025-07-17price $100,000
-
2025-06-04$105,000 Active
-
2012-06-04soldstatus $8,500 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
Cute 2/1 with fenced yard. Great investment property. Must see to appreciate.
-
2012-05-06$9,900 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
Cute 2/1 with fenced yard. Great investment property. Must see to appreciate.
-
2006-02-09soldstatus $46,900
-
2005-08-13$46,900
-
2002-11-06soldstatus $64,000
-
2002-11-01soldstatus $36,000
-
2002-05-20$51,000
-
1998-10-09soldstatus $47,000
-
1998-10-09soldstatus $47,000
-
1998-05-19soldstatus $7,100
-
1998-05-19soldstatus $7,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,201
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,018
- − Management
- −$1,018
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $472
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$113
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,657
- Household income
- $30,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2921.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.92%
- Current HPI
- 189.5977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1308.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-14 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-09-15 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $100,000 realMLS
- 2025-06-04 Listed $105,000 realMLS
- 2012-06-04 Sold (MLS) $8,500 realMLS
- 2012-05-06 Listed $9,900 realMLS
- 2006-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $46,900 Public Records
- 2005-08-13 Listed $46,900 realMLS
- 2002-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2002-11-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 realMLS
- 2002-05-20 Listed $51,000 realMLS
- 1998-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1998-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $7,100 Public Records
- 1998-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $7,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,201 · +21.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…