🏷️ Likely Rental
3633 Chestnut St · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 790 square feet of comfortable living space on a generous 6,324 square foot lot. Built in 1950, the property features a 1-car garage, slab foundation, hardwood and tile flooring, city water and sewer, and no HOA. A major bonus for investors is the strong rental history, with the home currently renting for $1,200 per month. With a newer 1-year-old HVAC system, a 2-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old shingle roof with approximately 10 years of life remaining, many of the big-ticket items are already in place.
Key facts
- Slab foundation
- City water and sewer
- Newer hvac system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.7% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Windsor Park G/T (math 85% / reading 90%, grade A+, #6 of 4,322 statewide, top 0%, 609 students, 29% FRL); Adkins Middle (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 956 students, 48% FRL); Ray H S (math 49% / reading 47%, grade D, #571 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 1,640 students, 69% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Corpus Christi ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.62%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,180
- List price
- $99,999
- Delta
- -34.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3605 Chestnut St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (-2%) | 2mo | $129,990 | $168 | 92 |
| 4329 Fir St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-1%) | 5mo | $157,000 | $201 | 87 |
| 4409 Cherry St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (+5%) | 8mo | $177,000 | $214 | 81 |
| 4325 Kirkwood Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 812 (+3%) | 5mo | $139,900 | $172 | 74 |
| 3913 Chestnut St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 817 (+3%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 4317 Cedar St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 721 (-9%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $208 | 67 |
| 4625 Cosner Dr | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (-5%) | 6mo | $174,900 | $233 | 66 |
| 5002 Carroll Ln | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 775 (-2%) | 10mo | $149,500 | $193 | 53 |
| 3813 Delphine St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+3%) | 10mo | $139,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 4430 Sherwood Dr | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 690 (-13%) | 1mo | $125,900 | $182 | 49 |
| 4849 Carroll Ln | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 883 (+12%) | 15mo | $156,000 | $177 | 44 |
| 4914 Monitor St | 0.59mi | 2/2.5 | 864 (+9%) | 13mo | $178,500 | $207 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $7,423
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $57,572
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 20 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $132,498 ($164/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 83 d
- This list price
- 15% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +17.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78411
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,222 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,540/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $328 | -5% $299 | +0% $271 | +5% $243 | +10% $215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $223 | +0% $271 | +5% $319 | +10% $368 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $297 | base $271 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4322 Fir St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 758 | $1,195 | $1.58 | 93d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3738 Marion St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 93d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4213 Lowman St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,195 | $1.48 | 70d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4822 Mokry Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 70d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4322 Kostoryz Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,259 | $1.14 | 93d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4942 Anthony St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,595 | $1.57 | 62d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4002 McArdle Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,095 | $1.08 | 62d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3535 Cottonwood St Apt H2 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 731 | $870 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3535 Cottonwood St Apt E6 Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 593 | $750 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3535 Cottonwood St Unit H5 Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 593 | $790 | $1.33 | 93d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4961 Monitor St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,150 | $1.59 | 70d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4625 Kostoryz Rd Unit 121 Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $875 | $1.62 | 93d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4625 Kostoryz Rd Unit 108 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $975 | $1.35 | 93d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1041 Dabney St Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 93d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 3936 Brushwood Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 93d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5220 Weber Rd Unit G-101 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 70d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5220 Weber Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 70d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4805 Lavaca Dr Unit 1 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 70d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1534 Lazy Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 70d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4613 Gollihar Rd Unit 3 Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $925 | $1.24 | 93d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1001 Carmel Pkwy Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $999 | $1.17 | 93d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 100 Buccaneer Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 802 Barry St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $1,529 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3333 S Alameda St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,149 | $1.15 | 93d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1402 Devon Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $795 | $1.47 | 62d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3509 Topeka St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 93d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5623 Carroll Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5623 Carroll Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $725 | $1.12 | 62d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3620 La Paz Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 62d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 621 Glazebrook St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 62d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4502 Corona Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 62d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4022 Montego Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $850 | $0.79 | 93d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3715 La Paz Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,295 | $1.43 | 62d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3619 La Paz Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,195 | $1.32 | 70d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3942 Holly Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,112 | $1.28 | 62d | 11 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- 1-car garageGarage parking (covered)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-storyShingle roofFrame construction with wood sidingSlab foundation
- Construction
- Frame constructionWood siding
- Exterior features
- Wood fencingInterior lotSubdivided lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric ovenElectric rangeRefrigerator
- Flooring
- Hardwood floorsTile floors
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- No additional interior features listed
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $99,999 1039-char remark
-
2026-04-21price $115,000 1039-char remark
-
2026-04-14price $125,000 1039-char remark
-
2026-04-07$140,000 Active 1039-char remark
-
2017-06-07soldstatus
-
1997-05-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,540 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,830 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$290/yr (+$24/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$1,540
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,173
- − Management
- −$1,173
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,769
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$425
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,829/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home is in fair condition with some major repairs needed, including the roof, siding, and landscaping. Painting the exterior and repairing the roof will significantly improve its value and attract more potential buyers or renters.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in fair condition, but the siding is peeling and the paint is chipping.
- Major siding — The siding is peeling and the paint is chipping.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is sparse and overgrown, with some dead grass and debris.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint the exterior and landscaping — Painting the exterior and landscaping will improve the curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both repair the roof — Repairing the roof will prevent further damage and improve the overall condition of the home. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corpus Christi ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815270
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,672
- Composite
- 28.27/100
- National rank
- #6793
- State rank
- #562 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 418,037 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,682
- Household income
- $57,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 58% White 35% Two or more races 29% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.71%
- Current HPI
- 191.7201
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.91%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-28.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $99,999 CBMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $115,000 CBMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $125,000 CBMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $140,000 CBMLS
- 2017-06-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-05-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,540 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…