300 E Carter St · Hastings, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.34%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$152,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Motivated Seller for Cash Offers. Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the heart of Hastings, a growing community with a newly revitalized historic Main Street. Built in 2017, this well-maintained home offers 1,080 square feet of comfortable living space on a peaceful, tree-lined lot within walking distance to the new library. The split floorplan offers an open-concept that seamlessly connects the living room and kitchen, creating a bright and inviting space ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features vinyl wood-effect flooring, generous cabinet space, and a dedicated laundry room conveniently located off the kitchen. The private owner
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Open concept
- Walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-story property; Ground-level entry
- Exterior features: Lot of approximately 0.18 acres (less than 1/4 acre)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Ground-level entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
- Recommended offer: $134k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.8% in Hastings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#410 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 234 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.73%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $107,036
- Equity at exit
- $136,934
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $296,159
- Equity at exit
- $295,303
Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32145
- Home prices YoY
- 19.1%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,777 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$797
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,954/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $381
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $424 | +0% $381 | +5% $338 | +10% $295 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $240 | -5% $310 | +0% $381 | +5% $451 | +10% $521 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $457 | -0.5pp $419 | base $381 | +0.5pp $341 | +1.0pp $301 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,000
- Closing costs
- $4,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Park Ave Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,665 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 614 Hannah St Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1397 | $1,825 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 206 W Fox St Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,985 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 210 W Fox St Hastings, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,750 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18status $152,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,000 Contingent- Accepting Backups 331 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,000 Contingent- Accepting Backups 330 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $152,000 Contingent- Accepting Backups 329 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $152,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $152,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $152,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $152,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $152,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $152,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-04-28historical Contingent- Accepting Backups
-
2026-02-04price $152,000
-
2025-11-20price $159,000
-
2025-09-25price $167,500
-
2025-07-22$175,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,954 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,954 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 34% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,514
- − Property taxes
- −$1,954
- − Insurance
- −$760
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,706
- − Management
- −$1,706
- − Depreciation
- −$4,422
- Taxable income
- $2,263
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$543
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hastings
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #410
- US rank
- #7309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hastings, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,750
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Estonian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.24%
- Current HPI
- 250.8035
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-13.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $152,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $159,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $167,500 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-07-22 Listed $175,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
Property tax history
+14.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,954 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…