None · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1896
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: On-site laundry (association amenity)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt composition roof
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Baseboard heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer available in association laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($930/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Weaver Elem. (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 224 students, 91% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 46% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.37%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,854
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -13.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-15,618
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,782
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65802
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 512
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $626/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 W Webster St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 647 W Central St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $865 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 317 E Chase St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1350 | $1,267 | $0.94 | 14d | 4 | 0.87mi |
| 235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1350 | $1,267 | $0.94 | 23d | 5 | 0.87mi |
| 520 W Olive St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,538 | $1.06 | 14d | 5 | 0.87mi |
| 716 E Locust St Unit A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $850 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1083 | $2,489 | $2.30 | 14d | 8 | 0.91mi |
| 518 W College St Unit UBL 106 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1442 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 23d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1442 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 21d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 535 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 623 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $925 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 710 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1442 N Texas Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1626 | $1,400 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1306 N Frisco Ave Apt A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 970 | $995 | $1.03 | 14d | 19 | 1.09mi |
| 2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,095 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1200 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 14d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 805 E Garfield St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 630 S Market Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1758 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 539 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,025 | $0.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 930 W Harrison St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $895 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1636 N National Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 627 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $895 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 926 E Walnut St Unit 11 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,075 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1339 E Division St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 741 South Ave Unit 5 Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $750 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 937 E Elm St Unit 07 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $1,025 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1014 E Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$139,900 Active 555-char remark
-
2025-11-04status Active
-
2025-07-29price $149,900
-
2025-07-10status Active
-
2025-03-14status Active
-
2024-06-27$155,000 Active
-
2022-08-11soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.
-
2022-06-29status Pending
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.
-
2022-06-22price $139,900
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.
-
2022-04-12$145,000 Active
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $626 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,357 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$731/yr (+$61/mo · 116.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,998
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$626
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$1,473
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$353
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,283/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,739
- Household income
- $55,019
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1818.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.72%
- Current HPI
- 212.9826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-3.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $139,900 SOMO
- 2025-11-04 Relisted — SOMO
- 2025-07-29 Price Changed $149,900 SOMO
- 2025-07-10 Relisted — SOMO
- 2025-03-14 Relisted — SOMO
- 2024-06-27 Listed $155,000 SOMO
- 2022-08-11 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2022-06-29 Pending — SOMO
- 2022-06-22 Price Changed $139,900 SOMO
- 2022-04-12 Listed $145,000 SOMO
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $626 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…