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C- Composite 51.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

None · Springfield, MO 65802
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,470 sqft · Other public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1896 6,970 sqft lot $95/sqft · 11% below area Est $161k · 13% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Built 1896
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: On-site laundry (association amenity)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income property)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt composition roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Baseboard heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer available in association laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($930/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Weaver Elem. (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 224 students, 91% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 46% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,654 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.37%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,854
List price
$139,900
Delta
-13.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,618
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,782
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65802

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
512
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,167 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $626/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,068
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
616 W Webster St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.5 1178 $1,050 $0.89 14d 1 0.10mi
647 W Central St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 882 $1,050 $1.19 23d 1 0.30mi
1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,425 $1.27 44d 1 0.55mi
1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 885 $865 $0.98 23d 1 0.62mi
203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 21d 1 0.62mi
317 E Chase St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 915 $1,100 $1.20 44d 1 0.80mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,267 $0.94 14d 4 0.87mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,267 $0.94 23d 5 0.87mi
520 W Olive St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,538 $1.06 14d 5 0.87mi
716 E Locust St Unit A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 915 $850 $0.93 23d 1 0.90mi
138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $2,489 $2.30 14d 8 0.91mi
518 W College St Unit UBL 106 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,375 $1.15 44d 1 0.93mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 23d 5 0.95mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 21d 5 0.95mi
535 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,495 $1.36 44d 1 0.99mi
623 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 44d 1 0.99mi
2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $925 $1.05 44d 1 1.04mi
710 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,695 $1.26 44d 1 1.04mi
1442 N Texas Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1626 $1,400 $0.86 44d 1 1.06mi
1306 N Frisco Ave Apt A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.5–2.0 970 $995 $1.03 14d 19 1.09mi
2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1084 $1,095 $1.01 44d 1 1.13mi
1200 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 14d 3 1.16mi
805 E Garfield St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 14d 1 1.19mi
630 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1758 $2,150 $1.22 44d 1 1.30mi
539 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,025 $0.68 14d 1 1.33mi
930 W Harrison St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1046 $1,150 $1.10 14d 1 1.33mi
2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 990 $895 $0.90 14d 1 1.33mi
2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 44d 1 1.34mi
1636 N National Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.5 1000 $995 $0.99 44d 1 1.35mi
627 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $895 $1.02 23d 1 1.40mi
926 E Walnut St Unit 11 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 990 $1,075 $1.09 44d 1 1.43mi
1339 E Division St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,350 $1.14 23d 1 1.45mi
741 South Ave Unit 5 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 950 $750 $0.79 44d 1 1.47mi
937 E Elm St Unit 07 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 893 $1,025 $1.15 44d 1 1.47mi
1014 E Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $139,900 Active 555-char remark
  16. 2025-11-04
    status Active
  17. 2025-07-29
    price $149,900
  18. 2025-07-10
    status Active
  19. 2025-03-14
    status Active
  20. 2024-06-27
    listed $155,000 Active
  21. 2022-08-11
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (184 chars)

    Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.

  22. 2022-06-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (184 chars)

    Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.

  23. 2022-06-22
    price $139,900
    Show marketing remark (184 chars)

    Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.

  24. 2022-04-12
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (184 chars)

    Duplex with new exterior insulation and siding. One unit is open and one is rented. Call to schedule a showing today. Owner is license real estate salesperson in the state of Missouri.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$626 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$731/yr (+$61/mo · 116.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,998
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$626
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,120
− Management
−$1,120
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,473
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$353
After-tax cash flow
$1,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
46,739
Household income
$55,019
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
1818.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.72%
Current HPI
212.9826
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $139,900 SOMO
  • 2025-11-04 Relisted SOMO
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $149,900 SOMO
  • 2025-07-10 Relisted SOMO
  • 2025-03-14 Relisted SOMO
  • 2024-06-27 Listed $155,000 SOMO
  • 2022-08-11 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2022-06-29 Pending SOMO
  • 2022-06-22 Price Changed $139,900 SOMO
  • 2022-04-12 Listed $145,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $626 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…