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2005 61st St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 62.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

2005 61st St · Lubbock, TX 79412
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,198 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1950 7,830 sqft lot $67/sqft · 39% below area Est $130k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2005 61st St — a great opportunity whether you're looking for your next home or a strong addition to your investment portfolio. This property has been recently updated by the seller and is currently finishing up a make-ready, putting it in a position to be rent-ready or move-in ready very soon. With a projected market rent of approximately $1,100/month, it offers solid income potential in an area with consistent demand. What truly makes this property stand out is the pricing—offered at approximately 31% below its market value, giving buyers the chance to step into immediate equity and long-term upside. For investors, this is a clean, low-hassle opportunity to place a

Key facts

  • 7,830 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 44 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Paved road access (public maintained); City street frontage
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Construction materials: Unknown; Built above grade (finished area noted)
  • Exterior features: None listed; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: No listed appliances
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $80,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$130,151) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bayless El (math 47% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 518 students, 94% FRL); Atkins Middle (math 24% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 542 students, 87% FRL); Monterey H S (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 2,114 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 60% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.21%
Cash-on-cash
6.85%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,151
List price
$80,000
Delta
-38.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-4,044
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$10,194
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79412

Home prices YoY
-15.3%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,187/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $698
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2035 63rd St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 810 $695 $0.86 21d 1 0.22mi
2035 63rd St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 810 $795 $0.98 43d 1 0.22mi
1618 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.27mi
1608 59th St Unit 3 Lubbock, TX 1.0 1.0 800 $575 $0.72 43d 1 0.27mi
1614 58th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.28mi
1612 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.29mi
1610 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.30mi
6518 Avenue S Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 990 $700 $0.71 21d 1 0.32mi
1341 65th Dr Unit C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1000 $695 $0.69 21d 1 0.42mi
1307 61st St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1073 $1,150 $1.07 13d 1 0.47mi
2304 62nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 838 $800 $0.95 13d 1 0.49mi
1303 65th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $595 $0.70 21d 1 0.58mi
2101 51st St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 21d 1 0.64mi
1316 53rd St Apt D Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $695 $0.92 43d 1 0.68mi
1307 53rd St Unit 1307 C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $695 $0.92 43d 1 0.68mi
1317 52nd St Unit C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $650 $0.86 21d 1 0.69mi
1921 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1121 $1,100 $0.98 43d 1 0.70mi
2105 South Loop 289 Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 962 $950 $0.99 13d 1 0.75mi
2113 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $849 $0.85 43d 1 0.76mi
2113 South Loop 289 Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $900 $0.95 13d 1 0.76mi
5005 Avenue W Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 759 $749 $0.99 44d 1 0.78mi
5005 Avenue W Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 759 $799 $1.05 21d 1 0.78mi
5005 Avenue W Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 759 $699 $0.92 13d 1 0.78mi
1101 52nd St Apt C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 721 $850 $1.18 21d 1 0.84mi
1717 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 830 $775 $0.93 21d 1 0.85mi
2128 74th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.5 1132 $1,350 $1.19 21d 1 0.87mi
7304 Avenue W Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $999 $0.67 13d 1 0.87mi
5512 Avenue G Unit G Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1117 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.89mi
2401 73rd St Unit 14 Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $800 $0.84 13d 1 0.89mi
7404 W Avenue Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $825 $0.87 43d 1 0.91mi
2120 47th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 793 $795 $1.00 21d 1 0.94mi
2707 63rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,050 $0.97 13d 1 0.95mi
2315 48th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 21d 1 0.96mi
7402 Waco Ave Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 784 $649 $0.83 21d 1 0.97mi
7407 Waco Ave Unit C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 775 $695 $0.90 43d 1 1.00mi
7402 Avenue X Unit C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 762 $699 $0.92 43d 1 1.00mi
5614 Avenue A Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1129 $695 $0.62 21d 1 1.00mi
1710 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 714 $595 $0.83 13d 1 1.01mi
1920 45th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 21d 1 1.01mi
1604 45th St Lubbock, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $650 $0.93 43d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $80,000 Active 1016-char remark
  18. 2025-11-18
    price $75,998
  19. 2011-06-02
    soldstatus
  20. 2006-08-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,187 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,464 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$277/yr (+$23/mo · 23.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,325
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,187
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$826
− Management
−$826
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$67
After-tax cash flow
$1,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,018
Household income
$48,878
Rent vs Own
51.2% rent · 48.8% own
Severe rent burden
676.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 25% White 25% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 32% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.95%
Current HPI
188.4033
Rent YoY
▲ 3.87%
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $80,000 LARMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $75,998 LARMLS
  • 2011-06-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-08-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,187 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…