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3004 E Retama St
D- Composite 37.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0

$268,000

3004 E Retama St · Hidalgo, TX 78557
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily · 11 Days on market
Built 2026 6,033 sqft lot Est $267k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this new construction 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering the perfect blend of comfort and efficiency. Ideal for first-time buyers.

Key facts

  • 6,033 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 6,033 sq. ft. (0.1385 acres); Living area reported from blueprints
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present with annual fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, 1 covered space, total 1 parking space)
  • Utilities: Electric service (implied); Public water source not explicitly stated; Public sewer not explicitly stated
  • Home design: Single-family property (per building info); Entry level details not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Stone and stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area about 1,560
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Covered patio; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater; No conveying appliances
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Porcelain tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Quartz countertops; Window coverings; Porcelain tile floors
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-418 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (22.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (32.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#488 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Valley View ISD (suburban): math 24% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #631 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Valley View El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 412 students, 96% FRL); Valley View J H (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 483 students, 95% FRL); Valley View H S (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 1,170 students, 96% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $181,511 (32.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.69%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$266,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2805 Q St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,544 (-1%) 3mo $249,900 $162 89
3003 E Q St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,498 (-4%) 0mo $269,000 $180 84
2409 E Tamarindo Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-6%) 1mo $255,000 $173 77
1607 Las Palmas Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,585 (+2%) 2mo $224,000 $141 76
2412 Sabinal Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,405 (-10%) 1mo $229,000 $163 71
2809 E Palo Blanco Ave 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,745 (+12%) 1mo $299,000 $171 71
2908 E Uva Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,730 (+11%) 3mo $299,900 $173 68
2310 E Sabinal Ave 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,414 (-9%) 1mo $249,500 $176 65
1305 N Sabinas St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,403 (-10%) 3mo $185,000 $132 64
1515 32nd St 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,740 (+12%) 2mo $285,000 $164 62
3104 E Uva Ave E 0.32mi 3/3.5 1,726 (+11%) 2mo $294,900 $171 60
2703 Torreon St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,371 (-12%) 2mo $239,000 $174 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$119,355
Equity at exit
$241,436
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$372,479
Equity at exit
$520,665

Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78557

Home prices YoY
17.9%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,815 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,405
Tax est. 1.5%
$335 /mo · $4,020/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$-418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,344
Max offer price $207,493
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,000
Closing costs
$8,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2304 E Tamarindo Ave Hidalgo, TX 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,950 $1.35 23d 1 0.41mi
2509 Coma St Hidalgo, TX 4.0 2.5 1804 $1,750 $0.97 23d 1 1.00mi
719 Sherryl Ave Pharr, TX 3.0 2.0 1524 $1,500 $0.98 14d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $268,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $268,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $268,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $268,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $268,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $268,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $268,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 138-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $268,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,781
− Mortgage interest
−$15,012
− Property taxes
−$4,020
− Insurance
−$1,340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,743
− Management
−$1,743
− Depreciation
−$7,796
Taxable loss
−$9,872
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,369
After-tax cash flow
$-2,648/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley View ISD
NCES district ID
4843800
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$33,158
Composite
25.37/100
National rank
#7473
State rank
#631 of 826 in TX

Livability — Hidalgo

Score
68/100
State rank
#488
US rank
#9681

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hidalgo, TX
City population
14,250
Population (ZIP)
14,250

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (99%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 99% Two or more races 47%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 93%
Foreign-born
39% · Canada
Languages at home
6% English-only · Spanish 94%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 34.26%
Current HPI
225.701
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $268,000 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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