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9611 Emerson St
B+ Composite 77.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

9611 Emerson St · Wilkinsburg, PA 15235
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1926 7,200 sqft lot Est $129k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful brick cape cod on a quiet neighborhood street. Hardwood floors and fireplace adorn the livingroom and dining room. Full basement waiting for finishing for a grand game room. Close to public transportation and shopping. Dishwasher, microwave oven, and stove included. .. Move right in!!!

Key facts

  • 7,200 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1926

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Public transportation access

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Resale property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Stove; Some electric appliances
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished, walk-up basement; Fireplace in family/living/great room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 11.3% in Wilkinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#411 in PA, #3,754 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Penn Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #496 of 539 in PA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
15.10%
Cash-on-cash
31.44%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9611 Emerson St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,120 (0%) 1mo $75,000 $67 99
139 Howard St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+4%) 5mo $105,000 $91 81
108 Lavern St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,176 (+5%) 4mo $175,000 $149 80
361 Orin St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-2%) 0mo $125,500 $114 77
35 Verona Rd 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,122 (+0%) 5mo $24,900 $22 73
111 Clinton Dr 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,275 (+14%) 5mo $175,000 $137 67
310 Mccutcheon Ln 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,163 (+4%) 5mo $70,000 $60 67
2036 Sampson St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,218 (+9%) 1mo $162,000 $133 62
614 Churchill Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-2%) 5mo $174,500 $159 59
7895 Mark Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+7%) 4mo $115,500 $96 49
711 Gaywood Dr 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,264 (+13%) 2mo $242,000 $191 49
149 Eastminster Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 960 (-14%) 4mo $110,500 $115 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$30,399
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
6.02×
Total profit
$105,446
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15235

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,518 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,694/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$550

Break-even live

Break-even rent $822
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
185 Howard St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 43d 1 0.27mi
10043 Calvin St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 778 $1,195 $1.54 43d 1 0.28mi
10135 Pearl Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1163 $1,450 $1.25 23d 1 0.51mi
103 Grove Rd Verona, PA 3.0 1.5 1460 $1,450 $0.99 12d 1 0.52mi
3005 Laketon Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 14d 1 0.53mi
8918 Frankstown Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,907 $1.36 14d 1 0.54mi
216 Grove Rd Verona, PA 3.0 1.0 1165 $1,550 $1.33 43d 1 0.58mi
648 Southern Ave Penn Hills, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 7d 1 0.61mi
610 Churchill Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 2d 1 0.62mi
8612 Oakcrest Rd Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1218 $1,450 $1.19 23d 1 0.80mi
457 Elias Dr #445 Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 888 $1,200 $1.35 17d 1 0.90mi
251 Selvin Dr Verona, PA 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,295 $0.98 3d 1 0.92mi
2031 Chalfant St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,950 $1.70 43d 1 0.92mi
62 Melvin Ct Penn Hills Township, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,549 $1.88 7d 2 0.92mi
273 Bramble St Verona, PA 3.0 1.5 1076 $1,720 $1.60 4d 1 0.99mi
314 Penn Vista Dr Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 43d 1 1.02mi
131 Jacob Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1144 $2,300 $2.01 1d 1 1.04mi
8075 Chaske St Verona, PA 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,425 $1.30 7d 1 1.05mi
641 Penny Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1199 $1,525 $1.27 14d 1 1.13mi
124 Dauntless Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 23d 1 1.14mi
1713-1715 Clark St Unit 79-1804C Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 972 $1,200 $1.23 4d 1 1.25mi
1250 Blackadore Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,750 $1.22 23d 1 1.29mi
1526 Edwards St Verona, PA 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,730 $1.33 43d 1 1.35mi
7534 Penn Bridge Ct Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,750 $1.39 43d 1 1.36mi
11843 Joan Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,500 $1.31 4d 1 1.47mi
1515 Penn Ave Wilkinsburg, PA 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    historical Contingent
  2. 2026-04-02
    listed $75,000 Active
  3. 2024-01-22
    soldstatus $60,000
  4. 2012-05-31
    listed $60,000 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    Beautiful brick cape cod on a quiet neighborhood street. Hardwood floors and fireplace adorn the livingroom and dining room. Full basement waiting for finishing for a grand game room. Close to public transportation and shopping. Dishwasher, microwave oven, and stove included. .. Move right in!!!

  5. 1993-03-30
    soldstatus $37,000
  6. 1984-04-03
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,694 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,694 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,217
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,694
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,457
− Management
−$1,457
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,851
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,404
After-tax cash flow
$5,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn Hills SD
NCES district ID
4218590
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,794
Composite
16.42/100
National rank
#9192
State rank
#496 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkinsburg

Score
76/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#3754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
29,513
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,951
Household income
$67,240
Rent vs Own
25.2% rent · 74.8% own
Severe rent burden
955.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 40% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.68%
Current HPI
235.4861
Rent YoY
▲ 7.63%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2012-05-31 Listed $60,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1993-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1984-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,694 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…