3109 E Mulberry St #26 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable mobile home in Fort Collins under $100,000! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in The Villas community offers a rare opportunity for low-cost homeownership just minutes from Old Town Fort Collins and I-25.Featuring an open floor plan, this home includes an updated kitchen with gas stove, flexible living space, and room for a full dining area. With three bedrooms, there's plenty of space for guests, a home office, or everyday living. Located in a convenient Fort Collins location near shopping, dining, and the new Bloom development, this home combines accessibility with value-perfect for buyers looking for an affordable alternative to renting in Northern Colorado. Lot rent is
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Full dining area
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Privately maintained road up to county standards; Lot is level and paved
- Financial info: Tax information is available
- HOA & community: No association fees or transfer fees reported
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features listed
- Utilities: City water with water meter installed; Natural gas available (Xcel); Electricity available; Trash and recycle provided through lot rent
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home
- Construction: Other construction materials; Composition and rubber roofing
- Exterior features: Land lease; Storage structure on site
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range and gas range; Downdraft; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave; Freezer; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; All bedrooms are non-conforming
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Electric range and gas range; Downdraft; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave; Freezer; Disposal; Fire alarm
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 2.6% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Riffenburgh Elementary School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #207 of 966 statewide, top 24%, 479 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.71%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,328
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3109 E Mulberry St #5 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (0%) | 16mo | $134,900 | $111 | 82 |
| 3109 E Mulberry St #30 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (0%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $99 | 78 |
| 3109 E Mulberry St #1 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-10%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $98 | 77 |
| 3109 E Mullberry St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-10%) | 1mo | $117,000 | $108 | 76 |
| 3109 E Mulberry St #24 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-10%) | 1mo | $117,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 3109 E Mulberry St #10 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-10%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $101 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $44,192
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 45.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.56×
- Total profit
- $121,355
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80524
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,859 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $342/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $902
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 739 Riverbend Dr Unit Shop Fort Collins, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,525 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3210 Sykes Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1485 | $2,700 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 802 Waterglen Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1285 | $2,075 | $1.61 | 23d | 2 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$95,000 Active
-
2025-05-22historical
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2025-03-31historical Active - Backup
-
2025-03-14price $89,000
-
2025-03-10$92,000 Active
-
2025-03-06historical
-
2025-02-18price $93,000
-
2025-02-04status Active
-
2025-01-24historical Active - Backup
-
2024-12-19$98,000 Active
-
2022-10-12soldstatus $75,000 Sold
-
2022-08-29historical Active - Backup
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2022-08-22$75,000 Active
-
2021-08-19soldstatus $60,000 Sold
-
2021-08-16status Pending
-
2021-07-22price $80,000
-
2021-07-02price $88,000
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2021-06-22$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $342 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $522 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$181/yr (+$15/mo · 52.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,309
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$342
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,785
- − Management
- −$1,785
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $9,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,361
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,468/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,030
- Household income
- $85,035
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1860.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -581.67%
- Current HPI
- 274.4026
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $95,000 IRES
- 2025-05-22 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2025-03-31 Contingent — IRES
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $89,000 IRES
- 2025-03-10 Listed $92,000 IRES
- 2025-03-06 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $93,000 IRES
- 2025-02-04 Relisted — IRES
- 2025-01-24 Contingent — IRES
- 2024-12-19 Listed $98,000 IRES
- 2022-10-12 Sold (MLS) $75,000 IRES
- 2022-08-29 Contingent — IRES
- 2022-08-22 Listed $75,000 IRES
- 2021-08-19 Sold (MLS) $60,000 IRES
- 2021-08-16 Pending — IRES
- 2021-07-22 Price Changed $80,000 IRES
- 2021-07-02 Price Changed $88,000 IRES
- 2021-06-22 Listed $95,000 IRES
Property tax history
+18.4%/yrLatest (2025): $342 · +163.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…