156 County Road 1304 · Wake Village, TX 75501

$89,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 2008 0.50 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Move-in Ready 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home, nicely updated with fresh paint, new flooring, fixtures, mini blinds throughout! Tucked away, but conveniently located to all the city's amenities!

Key facts

• 0.5 acre lot
• Built 2008
• Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family residence; Double-wide mobile home body type; One level
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Deck; Road frontage on a county road

Interior

• Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Carpet and linoleum flooring; Wood-burning fireplace with glass doors

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#51 in TX, #2,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F.
• Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.70%
• DSCR: 1.97
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.50×
• Total profit: $12,498
• Equity at exit: $13,270

10-year hold

• IRR: 20.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.63×
• Total profit: $40,710
• Equity at exit: $7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75501

• Home prices YoY: -34.9%
• Rents YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 320
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,319 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$467
• Tax from tax record: −$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$277
• Net cashflow: $451

Break-even live

Break-even rent $748

Max offer price $89,000

Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,250
• Closing costs: $2,670
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
411 Redwater Rd Wake Village, TX	2.0	1.0	900	$1,500	$1.67	44d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-17
   status Pending 189-char remark
2. 2026-05-15
   listed $89,000 Active 189-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,046 · $87/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,629 · $136/mo
• Expected delta: +$583/yr (+$49/mo · 55.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,823
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,985
• − Property taxes: −$1,046
• − Insurance: −$445
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,266
• − Management: −$1,266
• − Depreciation: −$2,589
• Taxable income: $4,226
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,014
• After-tax cash flow: $4,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Texarkana ISD
• NCES district ID: 4842480
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $35,692
• Composite: 31.87/100
• National rank: #5867
• State rank: #472 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wake Village

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #51
• US rank: #2068

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bowie County · 61,238 people
• Metro: Texarkana, TX-AR
• Population (ZIP): 34,866
• Household income: $45,995
• Rent vs Own: 42.9% rent · 57.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1289.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 94,699 people
• By 2030: 94,824 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 94,870 · +0.2%
• By 2050: 93,686 · -1.1%
• By 2075: 90,082 · -4.9%
• By 2100: 76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -79.14%
• Current HPI: 147.9402
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.63%
• Metro: Texarkana, TX-AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) — TBOR
• 2026-05-17 Pending — TBOR
• 2026-05-15 Listed $89,000 TBOR

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,046 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.