3305 Jonquil · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This would be a great project for an investor or a flip. Priced to sell!
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1955
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service (municipal/Entergy)
- Home design: Frame construction
- Construction: Frame exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Lot approximately 55 x 130; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Free-standing stove
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($917 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 9.0% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Watson Chapel School District (urban): math 10% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #228 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $55k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.92%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,649
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1906 Edmar Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,267 (+1%) | 2mo | $42,500 | $34 | 87 |
| 3003 Jonquil St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (-3%) | 3mo | $9,000 | $7 | 86 |
| 4010 W 17th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,303 (+4%) | 0mo | $149,500 | $115 | 63 |
| 3502 Lilac | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-15%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $75 | 61 |
| 2802 Edgewood Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+2%) | 17mo | $58,000 | $45 | 60 |
| 2827 E Edgewood Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,316 (+5%) | 11mo | $136,500 | $104 | 55 |
| 1718 S Marsh | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-14%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $28 | 52 |
| 2917 Edgewood Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (-5%) | 12mo | $68,000 | $57 | 47 |
| 3007 Taylor Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,388 (+10%) | 9mo | $107,500 | $77 | 44 |
| 4111 Faucet Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,416 (+13%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $25 | 43 |
| 2408 W 26th Ave | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,336 (+6%) | 18mo | $49,500 | $37 | 37 |
| 2912 Edgewood | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (+13%) | 17mo | $120,000 | $84 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $14,721
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $43,244
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71603
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $504/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $402 | -5% $387 | +0% $371 | +5% $356 | +10% $340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $299 | -5% $335 | +0% $371 | +5% $407 | +10% $444 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $399 | -0.5pp $385 | base $371 | +0.5pp $357 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3109 Daffodil St Pine Bluff, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $825 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2319 W 27th Ave Unit B Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1907 W 28th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 947 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1107 S Cypress St Unit 1 Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $700 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $55,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 New Listing 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 New Listing 5 DOM
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2026-05-25$55,000 New Listing
-
2026-01-03historical
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2025-07-23$65,000 New Listing
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2024-09-24soldstatus $10,000 Sold 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
This would be a great project for an investor or a flip. Priced to sell!
-
2024-09-19soldstatus $32,000
-
2024-08-02status Under Contract 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
This would be a great project for an investor or a flip. Priced to sell!
-
2024-07-16$10,000 New Listing 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
This would be a great project for an investor or a flip. Priced to sell!
-
2021-09-15soldstatus $14,000
-
2020-10-04historical
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2020-06-13$25,000 New Listing
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2019-02-01soldstatus $22,000
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2019-01-31soldstatus $22,000 Sold
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2019-01-29status Under Contract
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2018-11-17price $22,000
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2018-10-24$30,000 New Listing
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1992-04-28soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $504 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $504 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$504
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$880
- − Management
- −$880
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $3,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Watson Chapel School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513930
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,521
- Composite
- 9.55/100
- National rank
- #9845
- State rank
- #228 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- County
- Jefferson County · 29,578 people
- City population
- 29,578
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,578
- Household income
- $53,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 206.5994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+103.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $55,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-03 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-07-23 Listed $65,000 CARMLS
- 2024-09-24 Sold (MLS) $10,000 CARMLS
- 2024-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-02 Pending — CARMLS
- 2024-07-16 Listed $10,000 CARMLS
- 2021-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-04 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2020-06-13 Listed $25,000 CARMLS
- 2019-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-31 Sold (MLS) $22,000 CARMLS
- 2019-01-29 Pending — CARMLS
- 2018-11-17 Price Changed $22,000 CARMLS
- 2018-10-24 Listed $30,000 CARMLS
- 1992-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $504 · +124.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…