1006 Douglas St · Ottawa, IL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing or immediate
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One story; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Lot dimensions approximately 149 x 126
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8 x 14) with vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (10 x 12) with hardwood flooring; Second bedroom on main level (11 x 11) with hardwood flooring; Additional bedrooms (listed)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and family room
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement; One wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Ottawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IL, #3,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities D.
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $115k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.97%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,515
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1506 Phelps St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (-4%) | 7mo | $162,500 | $171 | 65 |
| 922 W Lafayette St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+2%) | 6mo | $97,000 | $96 | 62 |
| 1203 W Washington St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (-6%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $97 | 59 |
| 1428 Pickwick St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-5%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $198 | 59 |
| 809 Poplar St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+9%) | 6mo | $146,000 | $135 | 57 |
| 1446 Erie St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-9%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $200 | 56 |
| 408 Marcy St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (+11%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $55 | 51 |
| 1445 Pickwick St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,042 (+5%) | 4mo | $136,000 | $131 | 50 |
| 1107 Sanger St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (+13%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $160 | 48 |
| 1116 Chestnut St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,096 (+11%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $109 | 47 |
| 1012 1/2 W Lafayette St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-13%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $122 | 46 |
| 1521 Birchlawn Pl | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+13%) | 8mo | $229,000 | $204 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,225
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $17,272
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61350
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,442 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $241
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 1/2 W Madison St Ottawa, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,999 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,999 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,999 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,999 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,999 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,999 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,999 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,999 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,999 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,999 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,999 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,999 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,999 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,999 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,999 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-01-08price $114,999
-
2025-10-13$145,000 Active
-
2010-04-15soldstatus $62,500 Closed Sale 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.
-
2010-03-18historical Contingent 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.
-
2010-02-23$66,950 New 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.
-
2003-04-11soldstatus $103,000
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2002-09-23soldstatus $95,000
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1999-08-12soldstatus $83,500
-
1998-06-22soldstatus $87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,975 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,975 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,309
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,975
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,385
- − Management
- −$1,385
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,202
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$289
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
- NCES district ID
- 1730330
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,828
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #12528
- State rank
- #545 of 919 in IL
Livability — Ottawa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #3175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ottawa, IL
- County
- La Salle County · 41,676 people
- City population
- 23,713
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,713
- Household income
- $77,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 628.0
Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,080 people
- By 2030
- 104,196 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 97,413 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 90,294 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 76,252 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 61,339 · -42.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.46%
- Current HPI
- 183.6833
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+31.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $114,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-13 Listed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-15 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-18 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-23 Listed $66,950 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 1998-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2024): $2,975 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…