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1006 Douglas St
B- Composite 65.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,999

1006 Douglas St · Ottawa, IL 61350
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 989 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 249 Days on market
Built 1950 0.43 ac lot Est $134k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.

Key facts

  • 0.43 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing or immediate
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One story; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Lot dimensions approximately 149 x 126

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8 x 14) with vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (10 x 12) with hardwood flooring; Second bedroom on main level (11 x 11) with hardwood flooring; Additional bedrooms (listed)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and family room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement; One wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Ottawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IL, #3,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities D.
  • Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $115k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,199 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.97%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,515
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1506 Phelps St 0.49mi 2/1.0 950 (-4%) 7mo $162,500 $171 65
922 W Lafayette St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+2%) 6mo $97,000 $96 62
1203 W Washington St 0.58mi 2/1.0 930 (-6%) 4mo $90,000 $97 59
1428 Pickwick St 0.67mi 2/1.0 936 (-5%) 1mo $185,000 $198 59
809 Poplar St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+9%) 6mo $146,000 $135 57
1446 Erie St 0.48mi 2/1.0 900 (-9%) 8mo $180,000 $200 56
408 Marcy St 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+11%) 2mo $60,000 $55 51
1445 Pickwick St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,042 (+5%) 4mo $136,000 $131 50
1107 Sanger St 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,120 (+13%) 1mo $179,000 $160 48
1116 Chestnut St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,096 (+11%) 2mo $120,000 $109 47
1012 1/2 W Lafayette St 0.55mi 2/1.0 864 (-13%) 9mo $105,000 $122 46
1521 Birchlawn Pl 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+13%) 8mo $229,000 $204 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-3,225
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$17,272
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61350

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,442 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$248 /mo · $2,975/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,138
Max offer price $114,999
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
224 1/2 W Madison St Ottawa, IL 1.0 1.0 950 $1,600 $1.68 18d 1 0.68mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,999 Active 249 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,999 Active 248 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,999 Active 247 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,999 Active 246 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,999 Active 245 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,999 Active 243 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $114,999 Active 242 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,999 Active 239 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,999 Active 238 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,999 Active 237 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $114,999 Active 234 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,999 Active 232 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,999 Active 231 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,999 Active 230 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,999 Active 229 DOM
  16. 2026-01-08
    price $114,999
  17. 2025-10-13
    listed $145,000 Active
  18. 2010-04-15
    soldstatus $62,500 Closed Sale 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.

  19. 2010-03-18
    historical Contingent 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.

  20. 2010-02-23
    listed $66,950 New 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Ranch home on huge lot. ALL OFFERS REQUIRE $1000 IN EARNEST MONEY, CASH OFFER NEED PROOF OF FUNDS LETTER AND LOANS REQUIRE PRE-APPROVAL LETTERS.

  21. 2003-04-11
    soldstatus $103,000
  22. 2002-09-23
    soldstatus $95,000
  23. 1999-08-12
    soldstatus $83,500
  24. 1998-06-22
    soldstatus $87,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,975 · $248/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,975 · $248/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,309
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$2,975
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,385
− Management
−$1,385
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,202
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$289
After-tax cash flow
$2,599/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
NCES district ID
1730330
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,828
Composite
26.85/100
National rank
#12528
State rank
#545 of 919 in IL

Livability — Ottawa

Score
77/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#3175

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ottawa, IL
County
La Salle County · 41,676 people
City population
23,713
Metro
Ottawa, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,713
Household income
$77,921
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
628.0

Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,080 people
By 2030
104,196 · -2.7%
By 2040
97,413 · -9.0%
By 2050
90,294 · -15.7%
By 2075
76,252 · -28.8%
By 2100
61,339 · -42.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle

2024 margin
R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.46%
Current HPI
183.6833
Rent YoY
Metro
Ottawa, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $114,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-15 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-18 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-23 Listed $66,950 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
  • 2002-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 1999-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
  • 1998-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,975 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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