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878 Nelson Dr 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 27.57
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,900

878 Nelson Dr · Poinciana, FL 34758
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,746 sqft · Land · 285 Days on market
Built 2025 9,503 sqft lot $20/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

Key facts

  • Breakfast island
  • Tile flooring
  • Granite countertops

Tags

LANDSCAPED COURTYARD ENTRYWAYGRANITE COUNTERTOPSTILE FLOORINGBREAKFAST ISLANDQUICK ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total acreage: less than 1/4 acre (approx. 0.22 acres); Lot area approximately 883 sq meters; Direction faces southwest
  • HOA & community: HOA: The Association of Poinciana Villages; Annual association fee $242 (includes cable TV and internet); monthly equivalent about $20.17; Association fee required; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approximately 20x18)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Under construction (projected completion: 2025-09-30); One story; Southwest facing; Residential property
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction; Builder: Hutchinson Homes (model: BRANDYWINE)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Flag lot; Asphalt road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Open floorplan; Programmable thermostat; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-589 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (25.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (34.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (34.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Deerwood Elementary School (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 530 students, 62% FRL); Discovery Intermediate School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #495 of 571 statewide, top 87%, 898 students, 62% FRL); Poinciana High School (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #470 of 667 statewide, top 71%, 2,455 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Osceola average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 612 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 285 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $330k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,608 (34.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 285 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.65%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.1%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-95,555
Equity at exit
$49,189
10-year hold
IRR
-51.7%
Equity multiple
-0.62×
Total profit
$-149,568
Equity at exit
$28,524

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34758

Home prices YoY
-14.3%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
612
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,166 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax est. 1.5%
$412 /mo · $4,948/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$20
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$-589

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,911
Max offer price $244,720
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-361 -5% $-475 +0% $-589 +5% $-703 +10% $-817
Rent -10% $-760 -5% $-674 +0% $-589 +5% $-503 +10% $-418
Rate -1.0pp $-423 -0.5pp $-505 base $-589 +0.5pp $-674 +1.0pp $-761

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
318 Montgomery Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1872 $1,800 $0.96 25d 1 0.10mi
324 Montgomery Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,800 $1.22 6d 1 0.11mi
661 N Delmonte Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1694 $1,895 $1.12 25d 1 0.20mi
661 N Delmonte Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1694 $1,895 $1.12 0d 1 0.20mi
305 Chiquita Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1704 $2,050 $1.20 25d 1 0.27mi
945 Delano Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1556 $1,935 $1.24 25d 1 0.35mi
917 Delano Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1704 $2,029 $1.19 0d 1 0.41mi
837 Del Prado Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,650 $1.53 25d 1 0.41mi
839 Valnera Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1647 $1,885 $1.14 23d 1 0.44mi
832 Valnera Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 3.0 1774 $2,200 $1.24 25d 1 0.45mi
702 Cotulla Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,699 $1.44 0d 1 0.46mi
214 Magellan Dr Kissimmee, FL 4.0 3.0 2052 $1,850 $0.90 25d 1 0.47mi
326 Medina Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1666 $2,395 $1.44 25d 1 0.49mi
651 Cotulla Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,579 $1.34 0d 1 0.49mi
673 Cotulla Dr Kissimmee, FL 5.0 2.0 1825 $2,800 $1.53 12d 1 0.50mi
704 Swan Way Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.5 2224 $1,900 $0.85 25d 1 0.50mi
259 Magellan Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1282 $1,795 $1.40 25d 1 0.52mi
517 Maricopa Dr Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.5 2094 $2,500 $1.19 12d 1 0.53mi
306 Colony Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1647 $1,775 $1.08 25d 1 0.53mi
320 Mariana Way Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1865 $2,200 $1.18 9d 1 0.56mi
311 Ferrara Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1668 $1,809 $1.08 23d 1 0.60mi
542 Kilimanjaro Dr Unit B Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,600 $1.32 25d 1 0.63mi
520 Nogales Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.5 1771 $2,450 $1.38 9d 1 0.63mi
202 Chadworth Dr Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1889 $1,900 $1.01 0d 1 0.66mi
330 Colonade Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,695 $1.47 4d 1 0.66mi
526 Kilimanjaro Dr Unit A Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,750 $1.54 25d 1 0.70mi
211 Cobalt Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1406 $1,830 $1.30 25d 1 0.80mi
546 Imperial Pl Unit 548 Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,700 $1.38 25d 1 0.80mi
623 Polynesian Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,500 $1.47 4d 1 0.81mi
118 Pompei Dr Kissimmee, FL 4.0 3.0 1661 $2,000 $1.20 25d 1 0.82mi
232 Cobalt Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1609 $1,890 $1.17 3d 1 0.87mi
404 Hunter Cir Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.5 1586 $1,695 $1.07 23d 1 0.93mi
178 Aurelia Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1816 $2,200 $1.21 19d 1 0.93mi
518 Carlsbad Dr Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,820 $1.17 25d 1 0.95mi
826 San Jose Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,110 $1.16 16d 1 0.96mi
913 San Rafael Way Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1329 $1,800 $1.35 9d 1 0.98mi
818 San Jose Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1208 $1,690 $1.40 19d 1 1.01mi
507 Hunter Cir Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.5 1586 $1,625 $1.02 6d 1 1.02mi
649 Rosaro Ct Kissimmee, FL 4.0 2.0 2204 $1,919 $0.87 9d 1 1.03mi
907 Salerno Ct Kissimmee, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,799 $1.64 25d 1 1.05mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$20 · $240/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $329,900 Active 285 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $329,900 Active 282 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,900 Active 281 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,900 Active 280 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,900 Active 279 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,900 Active 277 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,900 Active 276 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $329,900 Active 273 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,900 Active 272 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,900 Active 271 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $329,900 Active 268 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,900 Active 267 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,900 Active 266 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,900 Active 265 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,900 Active 264 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    price $329,900
  17. 2025-11-08
    price $331,900
  18. 2025-09-09
    price $339,900
  19. 2025-09-09
    listed $332,900 Active
  20. 2025-02-20
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  21. 2024-11-09
    price $57,000 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  22. 2024-08-27
    price $58,000 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  23. 2024-07-30
    price $59,000 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  24. 2024-01-22
    price $60,000 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  25. 2024-01-02
    price $61,000 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  26. 2023-10-23
    status Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  27. 2023-10-17
    status Pending 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  28. 2023-10-15
    price $62,000 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  29. 2023-08-13
    price $56,000 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  30. 2023-01-30
    listed $60,000 Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Build your dream home on this BEAUTIFUL flag lot in the Osceola County side of Poinciana. Just waiting for you to build your dream home now. Community has community pool, Club House, Recreation Center, football, soccer, tennis courts, racket ball courts, baseball, softball, fitness trails, parks, dog parks and lakes for fishing. Near shopping centers, restaurants, medical offices, and the new Hospital, Banks, bus lines, schools, Valencia College. Very close to Disney's parks and all the attractions. Come and make this piece of paradise your own!

  31. 2018-05-15
    historical
  32. 2017-09-26
    price $12,900
  33. 2017-06-27
    listed $14,000 Active
  34. 2016-01-09
    historical
  35. 2015-07-02
    status Active
  36. 2015-06-30
    historical
  37. 2015-06-23
    listed $9,200 Active
  38. 2014-04-01
    historical
  39. 2013-09-25
    listed $6,700 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,993
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$4,948
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,079
− Management
−$2,079
− HOA
−$240
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable loss
−$13,081
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,139
After-tax cash flow
$-3,925/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osceola
NCES district ID
1201470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,528
Composite
35.7/100
National rank
#4865
State rank
#60 of 73 in FL

Livability — Poinciana

Score
57/100
State rank
#859
US rank
#21760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poinciana, FL
County
Osceola County · 410,217 people
City population
91,336
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
46,768
Household income
$66,339
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
1302.0

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,624 people
By 2030
511,823 · +14.3%
By 2040
642,986 · +43.6%
By 2050
774,552 · +73.0%
By 2075
1,078,144 · +140.9%
By 2100
1,269,660 · +183.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% Black 22% Two or more races 16% White 13% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 36% Cuban 3% Dominican 7%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.53%
Current HPI
295.8928
Rent YoY
▲ 0.82%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4823.9% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $329,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $331,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $339,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-09 Listed $332,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-20 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-09 Price Changed $57,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-27 Price Changed $58,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-30 Price Changed $59,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-22 Price Changed $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-02 Price Changed $61,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-23 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-17 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-15 Price Changed $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-13 Price Changed $56,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-30 Listed $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-15 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-26 Price Changed $12,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-27 Listed $14,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-09 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-02 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-23 Listed $9,200 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-01 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-09-25 Listed $6,700 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $538 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…