108 Walnut St · Proctorville, OH
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 Bedrooms, 2 1/2 bath on a large, fenced level lot in the Heart of Proctorville. With over 2200 sq feet, this home features large rooms with soaring ceilings. With a little TLC it can be the showplace it once was. Newer engineered hardwood and vinyl flooring throughout the main living areas. Enter into a sun-filled enclosed all-seasons room then into the spacious living room featuring a beautiful staircase and fireplace (nonworking). If you like to host large dinner parties, you will love the large dining room with a custom built-in. The kitchen features an abundance of cabinet storage as well as a separate panty/laundry room. 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths on the first floor and 2 bedrooms a
Key facts
- Large dining room
- Custom built-in
- Fenced level lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (14.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (27.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#147 in OH, #2,275 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment D-.
- Fairland Local (suburban): math 63% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #177 of 656 in OH (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $144k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.84%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $306,058
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Ferry St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,016 (-10%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $149 | 52 |
| 185 Township Road 1370 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,941 (-13%) | 16mo | $252,575 | $130 | 28 |
| 91 Township Road 1152 | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,080 (-7%) | 23mo | $285,000 | $137 | 25 |
| 49 Township Road 1370 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,947 (-13%) | 23mo | $257,900 | $132 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.76% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-27,447
- Equity at exit
- $34,920
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-27,280
- Equity at exit
- $31,678
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45669
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $-139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-43 | -5% $-91 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-237 | -5% $-188 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-42 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-54 | -0.5pp $-96 | base $-139 | +0.5pp $-183 | +1.0pp $-228 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-03-29$170,000 Active
-
2021-04-08soldstatus $144,000
-
1997-11-21soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,059 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,856 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- +$796/yr (+$66/mo · 75.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,850
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,059
- − Insurance
- −$1,648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,188
- − Management
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$4,701
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,128
- After-tax cash flow
- $-545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairland Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904793
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,234
- Composite
- 57.41/100
- National rank
- #1077
- State rank
- #177 of 656 in OH
Livability — Proctorville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #2275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Proctorville, OH
- County
- Lawrence · 57,020 people
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,085
- Household income
- $65,824
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.1
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,915 people
- By 2030
- 55,650 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 50,523 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 45,103 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 32,441 · -44.0%
- By 2100
- 21,754 · -62.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Russian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Korean 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.76%
- Current HPI
- 212.88
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+126.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $170,000 HBRMLS
- 2021-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,059 · -23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…