12 Longwood Ct W · Towamencin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well cared for home in sought after Walnut Meadows. The kitchen is bright and cheery, Lots of wood cabinets for storage. Stainless steel sink, gas range, and plenty of counter space . Large Main Bedroom with a walk-in closet and bathroom A new water heater is being installed . The garbage disposal is also being replaced in the next few days. Won't last long so schedule your showing! Back on the market as buyer's financing fell through. Home is being sold "as is. "
Key facts
- Newer kitchen
- Community pool
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property manager present; Assessor sources used for year built and area measurements
- Financial info: Monthly land lease: $1,000; Land lease has approximately 100 years remaining; Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Manufactured home; Land lease ownership; Located in a senior community (55+)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Finished above-grade area recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: Community pool; Ground rent exists (paid annually)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: No basement; Living area measured per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- North Penn SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #76 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.59%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $28,398
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $98,571
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19438
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,572 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,407/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $902
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,003 | -5% $952 | +0% $902 | +5% $851 | +10% $800 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $698 | -5% $800 | +0% $902 | +5% $1,003 | +10% $1,105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $992 | -0.5pp $947 | base $902 | +0.5pp $855 | +1.0pp $808 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2523 Devonshire Ct Lansdale, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2225 Mulberry Ct Lansdale, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,000 | $0.82 | 12d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1203 Crosshill Ct Lansdale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,900 | $2.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17 Mainland Rd Unit 126 Lower Salford Township, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1583 Yeakel Way Lansdale, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $2,700 | $2.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 108 Continental Dr Unit 281 Harleysville, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1331 | $2,300 | $1.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 100 Jacobs Hall Ln Lansdale, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1348 | $3,604 | $2.67 | 2d | 9 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 447-char remark
-
2026-06-08$179,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,407 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,118 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$711/yr (+$59/mo · 50.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,407
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,470
- − Management
- −$2,470
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $8,394
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,015
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,806/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Penn SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217280
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,866
- Composite
- 51.5/100
- National rank
- #1722
- State rank
- #76 of 539 in PA
Livability — Towamencin
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kulpsville, PA
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,438
- Household income
- $138,134
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 653.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Subsaharan African 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.96%
- Current HPI
- 280.149
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+2.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $179,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-29 Sold (MLS) $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-15 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-14 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-04 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,407 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…