Fourplex
265 Mclane Cir · Corning, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 43 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 44 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$380,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Don't miss this excellent investment opportunity! This 4-plex is part of the McLane Circle community which consists of five total 4-plex buildings located in a quiet and peaceful well-established neighborhood. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom with an open-concept kitchen and living area. Tenants enjoy convenient off-street parking and it's very close to local amenities. Don't miss this outstanding opportunity to expand your investment portfolio!
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Off-street parking
- Built 1972
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $280/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $380k).
- Recommended offer: $369k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.1% in Corning — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#417 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Corning Union High (rural): math 12% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #1,151 of 1,400 in CA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 186 units permitted in Tehama County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tehama County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $129k; list at $380k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.62%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $9,583
- Equity at exit
- $56,659
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $99,627
- Equity at exit
- $32,855
Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96021
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 29.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,349 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,993
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$913
- Net cashflow
- $1,119
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,334 | -5% $1,227 | +0% $1,119 | +5% $1,012 | +10% $904 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $776 | -5% $947 | +0% $1,119 | +5% $1,291 | +10% $1,463 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,311 | -0.5pp $1,216 | base $1,119 | +0.5pp $1,021 | +1.0pp $921 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,348 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,349 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $95,000
- Closing costs
- $11,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 McLane Cir Unit 211 Corning, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 800 Butte St Corning, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1205 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-02-10$380,000 Active
-
2024-07-17status Pending
-
2024-07-17historical
-
2024-07-16Active
-
2003-02-27soldstatus $129,000
-
1993-03-18soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,985 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,888 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- +$903/yr (+$75/mo · 45.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 43 unhealthy d/yr today · 44 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,286
- − Property taxes
- −$1,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,175
- − Management
- −$4,175
- − Depreciation
- −$11,055
- Taxable income
- $7,613
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,827
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corning Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0609810
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,060
- Composite
- 25.18/100
- National rank
- #12925
- State rank
- #1151 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Corning
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #417
- US rank
- #14246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corning, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,076
Population outlook (Tehama County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,058 people
- By 2030
- 59,493 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 56,076 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 52,372 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 43,895 · -28.1%
- By 2100
- 34,186 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 44% Two or more races 20% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 40%
Political lean MEDSL · Tehama
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 27.9% · R 69.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+35.6 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.81%
- Current HPI
- 272.9407
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+985.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — SAOR
- 2026-02-10 Listed $380,000 SAOR
- 2024-07-17 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-07-17 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-07-16 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2003-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,985 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…