529 N New St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity to own single family home that can produce a double-digit CAP Rate at this price. Home has open LR and DR combination and eat-in kitchen. LOW TAXES. This property is priced based on condition, and is being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Built 1880
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (100 amp, circuit breakers)
- Home design: 3-story property; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Yard fenced; Fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas hot water heating; 100 amp service with circuit breakers
- Interior features: Dining area; Basement (other)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,093/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $185k implies a 311% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.69%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,204
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 634 N New St | 0.09mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,391 (+1%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $155 | 87 |
| 816 W Allen St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,328 (-3%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $124 | 79 |
| 736 N Lumber St | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,330 (-3%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $147 | 77 |
| 732 N 10th St | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,310 (-5%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $187 | 74 |
| 318 N Lumber | 0.25mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 2mo | $132,000 | $92 | 74 |
| 526 N Fountain St | 0.02mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,186 (-14%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $148 | 71 |
| 234 N Poplar St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,456 (+6%) | 2mo | $206,500 | $142 | 63 |
| 613 W Allen St | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,480 (+8%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $149 | 63 |
| 242 Hall St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-13%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $129 | 55 |
| 732 W Whitehall St | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,524 (+11%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $151 | 52 |
| 534 W Cedar St | 0.52mi | 5/1.5 | 1,578 (+15%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $162 | 48 |
| 1455 W Tilghman St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,520 (+11%) | 3mo | $203,000 | $134 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,739
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $64,989
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18102
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,093 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,741/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $461
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $566 | -5% $514 | +0% $461 | +5% $409 | +10% $357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $296 | -5% $379 | +0% $461 | +5% $544 | +10% $627 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $555 | -0.5pp $508 | base $461 | +0.5pp $413 | +1.0pp $365 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,250 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 626 N 11th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1642 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 814 Washington St #2 Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 823 W Washington St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 631 W Allen St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1695 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 622 Park St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1638 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 856 N 8th St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1499 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 432 N Law St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1338 W Liberty St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1526 | $2,000 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 913 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1476 | $1,698 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1348 W Liberty St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1561 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1455 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1538 Chew St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1874 | $2,800 | $1.49 | 20d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 144 S 12th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 213 Chew St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1725 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 216 S 14th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1640 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 164 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1801 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1542 Walnut St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,850 | $1.63 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1658 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1111 Fullerton Ave Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1670 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $185,000 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 463-char remark
-
2026-06-01remarks 413-char remark
-
2026-06-01$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,741 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,332 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$591/yr (+$49/mo · 33.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,741
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,010
- − Management
- −$2,010
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $2,690
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,001
- Household income
- $43,085
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4313.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.01%
- Current HPI
- 404.834
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+436.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $185,000 GLVRMLS
- 2019-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-08 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GLVRMLS
- 2018-10-17 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2018-10-17 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2018-10-12 Listed $45,000 GLVRMLS
- 2018-10-12 Listed $45,000 GLVRMLS
- 2013-02-06 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2012-12-05 Listed $44,900 GLVRMLS
- 2012-08-10 Sold (MLS) $27,500 GLVRMLS
- 2012-07-25 Listed $27,500 GLVRMLS
- 2011-12-31 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2011-09-23 Listed $49,500 GLVRMLS
- 2006-09-13 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2006-07-24 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
- 2003-12-04 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-12-04 Sold (MLS) $35,000 GLVRMLS
- 2003-11-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-09-03 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-09-03 Listed $45,900 GLVRMLS
- 1994-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,108 Public Records
- 1986-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,741 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…