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529 N New St
C+ Composite 64.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

529 N New St · Allentown, PA 18102
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,373 sqft · Townhouse public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1880 907 sqft lot Est $203k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent opportunity to own single family home that can produce a double-digit CAP Rate at this price. Home has open LR and DR combination and eat-in kitchen. LOW TAXES. This property is priced based on condition, and is being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Built 1880
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (100 amp, circuit breakers)
  • Home design: 3-story property; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Construction: Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Yard fenced; Fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas hot water heating; 100 amp service with circuit breakers
  • Interior features: Dining area; Basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
  • Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,093/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $185k implies a 311% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.69%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,204
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
634 N New St 0.09mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,391 (+1%) 2mo $216,000 $155 87
816 W Allen St 0.14mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,328 (-3%) 0mo $165,000 $124 79
736 N Lumber St 0.23mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,330 (-3%) 2mo $196,000 $147 77
732 N 10th St 0.22mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,310 (-5%) 1mo $245,000 $187 74
318 N Lumber 0.25mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (+5%) 2mo $132,000 $92 74
526 N Fountain St 0.02mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,186 (-14%) 1mo $175,000 $148 71
234 N Poplar St 0.38mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (+6%) 2mo $206,500 $142 63
613 W Allen St 0.34mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,480 (+8%) 1mo $220,000 $149 63
242 Hall St 0.36mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-13%) 3mo $155,000 $129 55
732 W Whitehall St 0.47mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,524 (+11%) 3mo $230,000 $151 52
534 W Cedar St 0.52mi 5/1.5 1,578 (+15%) 2mo $255,000 $162 48
1455 W Tilghman St 0.65mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,520 (+11%) 3mo $203,000 $134 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$4,739
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$64,989
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18102

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,093 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,741/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,509
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $566 -5% $514 +0% $461 +5% $409 +10% $357
Rent -10% $296 -5% $379 +0% $461 +5% $544 +10% $627
Rate -1.0pp $555 -0.5pp $508 base $461 +0.5pp $413 +1.0pp $365

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA 4.0 2.5 1628 $2,250 $1.38 3d 1 0.20mi
626 N 11th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 1642 $2,200 $1.34 3d 1 0.23mi
814 Washington St #2 Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 3d 1 0.25mi
823 W Washington St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 15d 1 0.26mi
631 W Allen St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1695 $2,100 $1.24 44d 1 0.29mi
622 Park St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1638 $2,300 $1.40 3d 1 0.30mi
856 N 8th St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1499 $1,975 $1.32 20d 1 0.36mi
535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 3d 1 0.42mi
432 N Law St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1328 $1,500 $1.13 15d 1 0.42mi
1338 W Liberty St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1526 $2,000 $1.31 15d 1 0.51mi
913 N 6th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1476 $1,698 $1.15 15d 1 0.53mi
1348 W Liberty St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1561 $1,900 $1.22 24d 1 0.54mi
1455 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 1520 $1,850 $1.22 44d 1 0.67mi
1538 Chew St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1874 $2,800 $1.49 20d 1 0.80mi
144 S 12th St Allentown, PA 4.0 2.0 1242 $2,000 $1.61 3d 1 0.83mi
213 Chew St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1725 $2,100 $1.22 44d 1 0.93mi
216 S 14th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 1640 $2,300 $1.40 3d 1 0.98mi
164 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA 5.0 2.0 1801 $2,250 $1.25 24d 1 1.01mi
1542 Walnut St Apt 2 Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1132 $1,850 $1.63 22d 1 1.03mi
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,700 $1.22 24d 1 1.08mi
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,600 $1.15 3d 1 1.08mi
111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1658 $1,650 $1.00 44d 1 1.13mi
1111 Fullerton Ave Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1670 $2,200 $1.32 44d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $185,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    remarks 463-char remark
  8. 2026-06-01
    remarks 413-char remark
  9. 2026-06-01
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,741 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,332 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$591/yr (+$49/mo · 33.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,120
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,741
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,010
− Management
−$2,010
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$2,690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$646
After-tax cash flow
$4,891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allentown City SD
NCES district ID
4202280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,337
Composite
12.43/100
National rank
#9630
State rank
#513 of 539 in PA

Livability — Allentown

Score
81/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#1440

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Allentown, PA
County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
172,996
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
51,001
Household income
$43,085
Rent vs Own
67.9% rent · 32.1% own
Severe rent burden
4313.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.01%
Current HPI
404.834
Rent YoY
▲ 5.48%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+436.2% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $185,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2019-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2018-11-08 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2018-10-17 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2018-10-17 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2018-10-12 Listed $45,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2018-10-12 Listed $45,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2013-02-06 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2012-12-05 Listed $44,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2012-08-10 Sold (MLS) $27,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2012-07-25 Listed $27,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2011-12-31 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2011-09-23 Listed $49,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2006-09-13 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2006-07-24 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2003-12-04 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-12-04 Sold (MLS) $35,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2003-11-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-09-03 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-09-03 Listed $45,900 GLVRMLS
  • 1994-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,108 Public Records
  • 1986-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,741 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…