7133 Bay Dr #705 · Miami Beach, FL 33141

$269,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo public records · 31 Days on market

Built 1969 $663/mo HOA · 17% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.8/30.0
• 1% rule +9.9/10.0
• DSCR +8.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Spacious and well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence in a desirable location. This bright unit features impact windows and a brand-new A/C unit, offering comfort, efficiency, and peace of mind. The building has successfully completed its 40-year recertification and, with no known special assessments currently expected. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and beaches, this property is ideal as a primary residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity.

Key facts

• Brand new a/c unit
• Impact windows
• $663 HOA

Tags

• IMPACT WINDOWS
• BRAND NEW A/C UNIT
• 40 YEAR RECERTIFICATION
• 50 YEAR RECERTIFICATION

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Pets allowed (size limit, more than 20 lbs permitted)
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes common areas, grounds maintenance, parking, pest control, and pool(s); Association amenities: laundry, pool, elevators

Exterior

• Parking: Garage with 1 covered space; One parking space
• Security: Complex fenced; Secured garage/parking; Intercom; Key card entry; Phone entry; Security/high-impact doors
• Utilities: Water: connected; Sewer: connected; Electric: connected
• Home design: Attached property; 9-story building; Entry on level 7; Has a view
• Construction: Block construction; Resale property
• Exterior features: Balcony; Barbecue; Fence; Canal access; Association pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Impact glass windows; Kitchen island; Open living/dining room; Tub/shower; Walk-in closet(s)
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $269k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $269k).
• Recommended offer: $261k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 644 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,017/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $148k; list at $269k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $260,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.37%
• DSCR: 1.46
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-38,669
• Equity at exit: $40,109

10-year hold

• IRR: -14.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.31×
• Total profit: $-51,648
• Equity at exit: $23,258

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33141

• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 644
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,017 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,411
• Tax from tax record: −$337 /mo · $4,043/yr
• Insurance: −$112
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$663
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$844
• Net cashflow: $224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,733

Max offer price $269,000

Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $67,250
• Closing costs: $8,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $663 · $7,956/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $269,000 Active 31 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $269,000 Active 30 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $269,000 Active 29 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $269,000 Active 28 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $269,000 Active 26 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $269,000 Active 22 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $269,000 Active 21 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $269,000 Active 20 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $269,000 Active 17 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,000 Active 16 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 15 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,000 Active 14 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 13 DOM
14. 2026-05-17
    listed $269,000 Active
15. 2026-02-04
    historical
16. 2025-11-24
    listed $289,000 Active
17. 2025-10-02
    historical
18. 2025-10-02
    historical
19. 2025-05-14
    listed $289,000
20. 2025-05-14
    listed $289,000
21. 2025-04-29
    historical
22. 2025-02-04
    historical $2,200
23. 2025-01-26
    listed $2,200
24. 2024-10-30
    listed $289,000
25. 2015-11-24
    soldstatus $148,000
26. 2000-06-29
    soldstatus $55,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,043 · $337/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,043 · $337/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $48,204
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,068
• − Property taxes: −$4,043
• − Insurance: −$6,464
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,856
• − Management: −$3,856
• − HOA: −$7,956
• − Depreciation: −$7,825
• Taxable loss: −$865
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$208
• After-tax cash flow: $2,898/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami Beach

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #108
• US rank: #1672

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment B Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Miami Beach, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• City population: 90,533
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 36,438
• Household income: $68,738
• Rent vs Own: 62.5% rent · 37.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 3521.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 27% Salvadoran 6%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
• Foreign-born: 62% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 18% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -472.71%
• Current HPI: 336.7298
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.44%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+387.3% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-17 Listed $269,000 MARMLS
• 2026-02-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2025-11-24 Listed $289,000 MARMLS
• 2025-10-02 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2025-10-02 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2025-05-14 Listed $289,000 Beaches MLS
• 2025-05-14 Listed $289,000 MARMLS
• 2025-04-29 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2025-02-04 Rental Removed $2,200 GFLMLS
• 2025-01-26 Listed for Rent $2,200 GFLMLS
• 2024-10-30 Listed $289,000 Beaches MLS
• 2015-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
• 2000-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,043 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.