4025 W Main St · Milan, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home would make great investment.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Durable metal roof
- Large shady lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Main St in downtown Milan, proceed north on Main toward Trenton, go left on W Main. The property will be on the left.
- Financial info: Annual tax amount approximately $444.37
Exterior
- Parking: 4 parking spaces
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story
- Exterior features: 0.8-acre lot; Lot dimensions approximately 120 M x 540 M (irregular)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Interior features: 7 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($707/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $83k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#78 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Milan (rural): math 36% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #55 of 139 in TN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Milan Elementary (math 37% / reading 29%, grade F, #361 of 952 statewide, top 38%, 870 students, 0% FRL); Milan Middle School (math 41% / reading 23%, grade F, #87 of 333 statewide, top 26%, 579 students, 0% FRL); Milan High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 521 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.54%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-12,410
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,139
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38358
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $834 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $444/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$175
- Net cashflow
- $59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $115 | -5% $87 | +0% $59 | +5% $31 | +10% $3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-7 | -5% $26 | +0% $59 | +5% $92 | +10% $125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $109 | -0.5pp $84 | base $59 | +0.5pp $33 | +1.0pp $7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12$99,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $444 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $706 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$262/yr (+$22/mo · 59.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$444
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$801
- − Management
- −$801
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable loss
- −$999
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$240
- After-tax cash flow
- $947/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milan
- NCES district ID
- 4702970
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,434
- Composite
- 25.79/100
- National rank
- #7365
- State rank
- #55 of 139 in TN
Livability — Milan
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #9084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milan, TN
- City population
- 12,511
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,511
Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,793 people
- By 2030
- 48,221 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 46,793 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 44,909 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 40,191 · -17.6%
- By 2100
- 33,574 · -31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Gibson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.28%
- Current HPI
- 208.8671
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+298.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Relisted — CWTAR
- 2026-06-11 Delisted — CWTAR
- 2026-06-11 Listed $99,500 CWTAR
- 2021-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
- 2017-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-17 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CWTAR
- 2017-07-06 Listed $25,000 CWTAR
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $444 · +186.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…