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4025 W Main St
D Composite 43.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

4025 W Main St · Milan, TN 38358
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 752 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1955 0.80 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home would make great investment.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Durable metal roof
  • Large shady lot

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHDECK IN BACKLARGE SHADY LOTBONUS SPACEFRESH EXTERIOR FINISHESDURABLE METAL ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Main St in downtown Milan, proceed north on Main toward Trenton, go left on W Main. The property will be on the left.
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount approximately $444.37

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story
  • Exterior features: 0.8-acre lot; Lot dimensions approximately 120 M x 540 M (irregular)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($707/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#78 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Milan (rural): math 36% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #55 of 139 in TN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Milan Elementary (math 37% / reading 29%, grade F, #361 of 952 statewide, top 38%, 870 students, 0% FRL); Milan Middle School (math 41% / reading 23%, grade F, #87 of 333 statewide, top 26%, 579 students, 0% FRL); Milan High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 521 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $68k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,442 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.54%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-12,410
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,139
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38358

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$834 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $444/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$175
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $115 -5% $87 +0% $59 +5% $31 +10% $3
Rent -10% $-7 -5% $26 +0% $59 +5% $92 +10% $125
Rate -1.0pp $109 -0.5pp $84 base $59 +0.5pp $33 +1.0pp $7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $99,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$444 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$706 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$262/yr (+$22/mo · 59.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,013
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$444
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$801
− Management
−$801
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable loss
−$999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$240
After-tax cash flow
$947/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milan
NCES district ID
4702970
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,434
Composite
25.79/100
National rank
#7365
State rank
#55 of 139 in TN

Livability — Milan

Score
68/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#9084

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milan, TN
City population
12,511
Population (ZIP)
12,511

Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,793 people
By 2030
48,221 · -1.2%
By 2040
46,793 · -4.1%
By 2050
44,909 · -8.0%
By 2075
40,191 · -17.6%
By 2100
33,574 · -31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Gibson

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.28%
Current HPI
208.8671
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+298.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Relisted CWTAR
  • 2026-06-11 Delisted CWTAR
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $99,500 CWTAR
  • 2021-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
  • 2017-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2017-07-17 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CWTAR
  • 2017-07-06 Listed $25,000 CWTAR

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $444 · +186.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…