2204 Freeport Rd · New Kensington, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,190
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated kitchen, furnace, a/c, paint. Move in condition. Space for 4 cars off street parking in rear of house. Close to supermarket, shoping and rt. 28 expressway.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax year 2025; Annual tax amount $1,199
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 space)
- Utilities: Other water source
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Other foundation; Year built (estimated)
- Exterior features: Above-grade other structure
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling; Other hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.9% vs local median 7.1% in New Kensington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#840 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- New Kensington-Arnold SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #483 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $222 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $966 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 80.64%
- DSCR
- 4.59
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,153
- List price
- $32,190
- Delta
- -71.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 79.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.57×
- Total profit
- $32,183
- Equity at exit
- $4,800
- IRR
- 82.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.10×
- Total profit
- $72,972
- Equity at exit
- $2,783
Cash invested: $9,013 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15068
- Home prices YoY
- -12.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$169
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,222/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $606
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $624 | -5% $615 | +0% $606 | +5% $597 | +10% $587 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $517 | -5% $561 | +0% $606 | +5% $650 | +10% $695 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $622 | -0.5pp $614 | base $606 | +0.5pp $597 | +1.0pp $589 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,048
- Closing costs
- $966
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Craigdell Rd New Kensington, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,130 | $0.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1330 Woodmont Ave New Kensington, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 875 1st Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,399 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $32,190 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $32,190 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,190 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,190 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,190 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,190 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,190 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,190 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $32,190 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $32,190 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $32,190 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $32,190 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,190 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,190 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$32,190 Active 526-char remark
-
2011-09-27soldstatus $50,000
-
2011-09-23price $57,500 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Updated kitchen, furnace, a/c, paint. Move in condition. Space for 4 cars off street parking in rear of house. Close to supermarket, shoping and rt. 28 expressway.
-
2011-09-23soldstatus $50,000 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Updated kitchen, furnace, a/c, paint. Move in condition. Space for 4 cars off street parking in rear of house. Close to supermarket, shoping and rt. 28 expressway.
-
2011-07-06$50,000 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Updated kitchen, furnace, a/c, paint. Move in condition. Space for 4 cars off street parking in rear of house. Close to supermarket, shoping and rt. 28 expressway.
-
2007-07-17soldstatus $15,500
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Agents view offer management at www. meridiansells.com & submit offers online. SOLD AS-IS !!! Contact Floor Agent For Assess Code.
-
2007-01-23$20,000
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Agents view offer management at www. meridiansells.com & submit offers online. SOLD AS-IS !!! Contact Floor Agent For Assess Code.
-
2000-06-15soldstatus $37,300
-
2000-06-09soldstatus $37,300
-
1999-12-27$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,222 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,222 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,222
- − Insurance
- −$161
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$936
- Taxable income
- $7,230
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,735
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Kensington-Arnold SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216740
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,386
- Composite
- 19.26/100
- National rank
- #8805
- State rank
- #483 of 539 in PA
Livability — New Kensington
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #840
- US rank
- #8791
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Kensington, PA
- County
- Westmoreland County · 183,777 people
- City population
- 36,203
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,203
- Household income
- $63,426
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 967.0
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Subsaharan African 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.50%
- Current HPI
- 305.926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-19.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $32,190 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2011-09-23 Sold (MLS) $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2011-09-23 Price Changed $57,500 West Penn MLS
- 2011-07-06 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2007-07-17 Sold (MLS) $15,500 West Penn MLS
- 2007-01-23 Listed $20,000 West Penn MLS
- 2000-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $37,300 Public Records
- 2000-06-09 Sold (MLS) $37,300 West Penn MLS
- 1999-12-27 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,222 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…