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23708 Locust Way #23
B+ Composite 78.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,500

23708 Locust Way #23 · Bothell West, WA 98021
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 778 sqft · Manufactured public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1974 $121/sqft · 10% below area Est $105k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Country Club Estates — an ALL-AGES PARK offering comfort, convenience, and community! Step into this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring modern finishes and a bright, airy feel throughout. The inviting open-concept living area is perfect for entertaining, while the spacious bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Enjoy community amenities including a clubhouse, laundry facilities, and scenic walking trails. Ideally located near shopping, restaurants, and public transportation, this home offers easy commuting and everyday convenience. Don’t miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem — schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Easy commuting
  • Clubhouse

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREACOMMUNITY AMENITIESCLUBHOUSELAUNDRY FACILITIESSCENIC WALKING TRAILSEASY COMMUTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land lease amount applies (space rent); Calculated living area reported as 778 square feet
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Park-approved for sale; County Club Estates mobile home park; Park amenities: clubhouse, laundry, trails; Approximately 136 homes in the park; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; see remarks); Bus line nearby; Land lease (space rent) applies

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer included in space rent; Power by Snohomish County PUD
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Moduline 12x60 model; One story; Mobile home remains; Average condition
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl construction materials; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Manufactured house structure type; Built as single wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Patio/porch/deck; Metal/vinyl exterior; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Laminate flooring throughout
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath (includes 1 bathtub and 1 shower)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric energy source
  • Interior features: Entry; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.4% vs local median 2.2% in Bothell West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#2 in WA, #63 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($184k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $653 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $91,665 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.79%
Cap rate
25.42%
Cash-on-cash
68.30%
DSCR
4.04
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,208
List price
$94,500
Delta
-10.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23708 Locust Way Unit 26B 0.00mi 2/1.0 728 (-6%) 8mo $115,000 $158 82
23708 Locust Way #42 0.00mi 2/1.0 720 (-8%) 14mo $121,500 $169 76
23708 Locust Way #29 0.00mi 2/1.0 675 (-13%) 5mo $48,000 $71 74
23708 Locust Way #37 0.00mi 2/1.0 723 (-7%) 20mo $115,000 $159 72
23708 LOCUST Way #30 0.00mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 15mo $64,000 $95 65
23708 Locust #26 0.00mi 2/1.0 880 (+13%) 19mo $80,000 $91 62
23708 Locust Way #4 0.00mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 23mo $35,000 $52 58
1121 244th St SW #28 0.52mi 2/1.0 817 (+5%) 21mo $124,070 $152 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.3%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$77,318
Equity at exit
$14,090
10-year hold
IRR
70.2%
Equity multiple
7.72×
Total profit
$177,696
Equity at exit
$8,171

Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98021

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,637 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$496
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $507/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$554
Net cashflow
$1,506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $731
Max offer price $94,500
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,625
Closing costs
$2,835
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24107 7th Ave W Bothell, WA 3.0 1.0 975 $2,795 $2.87 4d 1 0.85mi
18930 68th Ave NE Kenmore, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 799 $2,497 $3.13 2d 6 1.22mi
4208 236th St SW Mountlake Terrace, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 926 $2,338 $2.52 2d 26 1.42mi
6711 NE 182nd St Kenmore, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,644 $2.94 2d 10 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,500 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,500 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,500 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,500 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,500 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,500 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,500 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,500 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,500 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,500 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,500 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,500 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,500 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,500 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    listed $94,500 Active
  16. 2023-05-15
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$507 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$926 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$419/yr (+$35/mo · 82.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,643
− Mortgage interest
−$5,293
− Property taxes
−$507
− Insurance
−$472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,531
− Management
−$2,531
− Depreciation
−$2,749
Taxable income
$17,558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,214
After-tax cash flow
$13,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northshore School District
NCES district ID
5305910
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$92,951
Composite
67.41/100
National rank
#826
State rank
#9 of 291 in WA

Livability — Bothell West

Score
91/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#63

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bothell West, WA
County
Snohomish County · 786,756 people
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
35,631
Household income
$183,786
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
413.0

Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
899,800 people
By 2030
960,975 · +6.8%
By 2040
1,074,447 · +19.4%
By 2050
1,171,954 · +30.2%
By 2075
1,384,849 · +53.9%
By 2100
1,497,296 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Asian 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
29% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
65% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Chinese 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish

2024 margin
D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -903.22%
Current HPI
380.5475
Rent YoY
▲ 1.75%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $94,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-15 Listed NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $507 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…